Football · Denmark Division 2 · 10/10, 14:00

Prediction: FA 2000 vs Naestved

Team pages: FA 2000 · Naestved

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.61Total

FA 20000.86

Naestved1.75

1X2

17% 24% 58%

FA 2000 Draw Naestved

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

FA 2000 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

LWLLDDLLLL

Naestved 3-6-1 (W-D-L)

DDWLWDWDDD

Head-to-head

FA 2000 2–1–1 Naestved (4 last)

FA 20002-1Naestved
Naestved2-1FA 2000
Naestved0-0FA 2000
FA 20003-1Naestved

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FA 2000 1436 · Naestved 1531

	FA 2000	Draw	Naestved
Our model	17%	26%	58%
Market	18%	24%	58%

Estimated total (ours) 2.61 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Naestved (rating 1436 vs 1531).
H2H favours FA 2000: 2-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FA 2000	Naestved
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 2.2	1.4 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.1 / 1	0.6 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/50/50%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 3.3	1.8 / 3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.5 / 0	3.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

15.00

X3.80

21.53

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1)1.82

2 (-1)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.93

Under 2.751.88

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:53

	Bet365	Best now
1	5.00 → 5.00	Bet365 5.00
X	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
2	1.53 → 1.53	Bet365 1.53

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
16:46 +7’	5.00	3.80	1.53

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · FA 2000 2–1–1 Naestved

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Date	Home	Score	Away
12/03/22 Denmark Division 2	FA 2000	2-1 HT 1-0	Naestved
03/10/21 Denmark Division 2	Naestved	2-1 HT 1-0	FA 2000
18/04/21 Denmark 2. Division Group 2	Naestved	0-0 HT 0-0	FA 2000
14/11/20 Denmark 2. Division Group 2	FA 2000	3-1 HT 1-0	Naestved

Standings · Denmark Division 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Nykobing	10	6	4	0	25	11	22
2	VSK Arhus	10	5	3	2	14	7	18
3	Middelfart	10	4	5	1	18	10	17
4	FC Roskilde	9	3	6	0	16	10	15
5	B93 Copenhagen	10	4	3	3	16	13	15
6	Naestved	10	3	6	1	14	12	15
7	Skive	10	4	2	4	13	12	14
8	Fremad Amager	10	3	5	2	13	15	14
9	Brabrand	10	2	3	5	12	18	9
10	Hellerup IK	10	2	2	6	8	18	8
11	FA 2000	10	1	2	7	10	22	5
12	Thisted FC	9	1	1	7	8	19	4

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FA 2000	Naestved
Middelfart	0-1 L	2-2 D
Fremad Amager	1-2 L	1-1 D
FC Roskilde	1-5 L	2-2 D
Nykobing	1-3 L	1-1 D
Skive	2-2 D	2-1 W
VSK Arhus	0-0 D	0-2 L
Brabrand	2-4 L	1-0 W
Hellerup IK	1-2 L	1-1 D
Thisted FC	1-0 W	3-1 W
B93 Copenhagen	1-3 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 7 L	3 W 6 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Naestved (9 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FA 2000

LWLLDDLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	Middelfart Denmark Division 2	0-0	0-1	1	7	L
26/09	Fremad Amager Denmark Division 2	0-0	1-2	4	4	L
18/09	FC Roskilde Denmark Division 2	0-2	1-5	3	3	L
13/09	Nykobing Denmark Division 2	0-2	1-3	6	1	L
05/09	Skive Denmark Division 2	1-1	2-2	5	7	D
29/08	VSK Arhus Denmark Division 2	0-0	0-0	1	5	D
22/08	Brabrand Denmark Division 2	0-1	2-4	–	–	L
14/08	Hellerup IK Denmark Division 2	0-2	1-2	–	–	L
08/08	Thisted FC Denmark Division 2	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
31/07	B93 Copenhagen Denmark Division 2	0-2	1-3	–	–	L

Naestved

DDWLWDWDDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/10	Nykobing Denmark Division 2	0-0	1-1	3	6	D
27/09	Middelfart Denmark Division 2	0-0	2-2	2	2	D
18/09	Fremad Amager Denmark Division 2	0-0	1-1	6	5	D
13/09	Thisted FC Denmark Division 2	2-0	3-1	3	4	W
04/09	B93 Copenhagen Denmark Division 2	0-1	1-1	3	1	D
30/08	Skive Denmark Division 2	1-0	2-1	1	2	W
23/08	VSK Arhus Denmark Division 2	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
14/08	Brabrand Denmark Division 2	1-0	1-0	–	–	W
09/08	Hellerup IK Denmark Division 2	1-1	1-1	–	–	D
31/07	FC Roskilde Denmark Division 2	1-2	2-2	–	–	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FA 2000 vs Naestved?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Naestved win (58%). Probabilities: FA 2000 17%, draw 24%, Naestved 58%.

How many goals are expected in FA 2000 vs Naestved?

The model expects 2.61 goals (FA 2000 0.86 · Naestved 1.75), with a 54% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in FA 2000 vs Naestved?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.