Football · Denmark Division 2 · 23/10, 19:00

Prediction: FA 2000 vs Hellerup IK

Team pages: FA 2000 · Hellerup IK

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.69Total

FA 20001.34

Hellerup IK1.34

1X2

36% 28% 36%

FA 2000 Draw Hellerup IK

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

FA 2000 0-3-7 (W-D-L)

LLDDLLLLDL

Hellerup IK 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

WLLWLLDLDW

Head-to-head

FA 2000 1–1–4 Hellerup IK (6 last)

Hellerup IK2-1FA 2000
FA 20000-1Hellerup IK
Hellerup IK1-1FA 2000
Hellerup IK4-2FA 2000
FA 20002-0Hellerup IK
FA 20000-1Hellerup IK

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FA 2000 1419 · Hellerup IK 1471

	FA 2000	Draw	Hellerup IK
Our model	36%	28%	36%
Market	36%	27%	36%

Estimated total (ours) 2.69 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hellerup IK (rating 1419 vs 1471).
H2H favours Hellerup IK: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FA 2000	Hellerup IK
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 2.2	0.9 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.1 / 1.1	0.5 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/40/60%	10/50/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 3.3	2.6 / 5.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.1 / 0	3.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.45

X3.30

22.45

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.90

2 (0)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.85

Under 2.51.95

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 2.8

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 13:06

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.80 → 2.45▼	Bet365 2.45
X	3.30 → 3.30	Pinn 3.45
2	2.20 → 2.45▲	Pinn 2.57 ★

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.9% Pinnacle margin 9.2%

Time*	1	X	2
11:55 +12’	2.80	3.30	2.20
13:00 +6’	2.45▼	3.30	2.45▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
12:02 +4’	2.42	3.45	2.57

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · FA 2000 1–1–4 Hellerup IK

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/08/26 Denmark Division 2	Hellerup IK	2-1 HT 2-0	FA 2000
08/06/24 Denmark Division 2	FA 2000	0-1 HT 0-1	Hellerup IK
03/05/24 Denmark Division 2	Hellerup IK	1-1 HT 1-0	FA 2000
28/03/24 Denmark Division 2	Hellerup IK	4-2 HT 0-1	FA 2000
08/09/23 Denmark Division 2	FA 2000	2-0 HT 1-0	Hellerup IK
23/07/22 Europe Friendlies	FA 2000	0-1 HT 0-1	Hellerup IK

Standings · Denmark Division 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Nykobing	12	7	4	1	30	15	25
2	FC Roskilde	12	5	7	0	24	13	22
3	VSK Arhus	12	5	4	3	17	12	19
4	Naestved	12	4	7	1	17	14	19
5	Middelfart	12	4	6	2	22	16	18
6	B93 Copenhagen	12	5	3	4	20	16	18
7	Skive	12	5	2	5	15	15	17
8	Fremad Amager	12	4	5	3	16	18	17
9	Brabrand	12	3	3	6	13	19	12
10	Hellerup IK	12	3	3	6	10	19	12
11	Thisted FC	12	1	3	8	11	24	6
12	FA 2000	12	1	3	8	11	25	6

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FA 2000	Hellerup IK
Skive	0-2 L	0-2 L
Middelfart	0-1 L	1-2 L
Fremad Amager	1-2 L	1-2 L
FC Roskilde	1-5 L	1-1 D
Nykobing	1-3 L	0-3 L
Brabrand	2-4 L	1-0 W
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 6 L	1 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Hellerup IK (2 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FA 2000

LLDDLLLLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Skive Denmark Division 2	0-2	0-2	3	2	L
10/10	Naestved Denmark Division 2	0-1	1-1	3	4	D
03/10	Middelfart Denmark Division 2	0-0	0-1	1	7	L
26/09	Fremad Amager Denmark Division 2	0-0	1-2	4	4	L
18/09	FC Roskilde Denmark Division 2	0-2	1-5	3	3	L
13/09	Nykobing Denmark Division 2	0-2	1-3	6	1	L
05/09	Skive Denmark Division 2	1-1	2-2	5	7	D
29/08	VSK Arhus Denmark Division 2	0-0	0-0	1	5	D
22/08	Brabrand Denmark Division 2	0-1	2-4	–	–	L
14/08	Hellerup IK Denmark Division 2	0-2	1-2	–	–	L

Hellerup IK

WLLWLLDLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Brabrand Denmark Division 2	0-0	1-0	3	6	W
10/10	Thisted FC Denmark Division 2	0-1	1-1	7	4	D
03/10	Skive Denmark Division 2	0-1	0-2	7	3	L
25/09	FC Roskilde Denmark Division 2	0-0	1-1	7	6	D
18/09	Nykobing Denmark Division 2	0-2	0-3	7	1	L
11/09	Fremad Amager Denmark Division 2	1-1	1-2	4	1	L
05/09	Brabrand Denmark Division 2	1-1	2-1	6	5	W
29/08	Middelfart Denmark Division 2	1-2	1-2	5	0	L
21/08	B93 Copenhagen Denmark Division 2	0-0	0-3	–	–	L
14/08	FA 2000 Denmark Division 2	2-0	2-1	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FA 2000 vs Hellerup IK?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FA 2000 win (36%). Probabilities: FA 2000 36%, draw 28%, Hellerup IK 36%.

How many goals are expected in FA 2000 vs Hellerup IK?

The model expects 2.69 goals (FA 2000 1.34 · Hellerup IK 1.34), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in FA 2000 vs Hellerup IK?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.