Football · Spain Primera Women · 17/10, 20:30
Prediction: Real Madrid (W) vs Espanyol (W)
Team pages: Real Madrid (W) · Espanyol (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.12Total
Real Madrid (W)2.45
Espanyol (W)0.67
1X2
Real Madrid (W)
Draw
Espanyol (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 62%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
2-0 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Real Madrid (W)
8-1-1 (W-D-L)
Espanyol (W)
2-5-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Real Madrid (W)
6–0
Espanyol (W)
(6 last)
- Real Madrid (W)3-0Espanyol (W)
- Espanyol (W)0-4Real Madrid (W)
- Espanyol (W)0-1Real Madrid (W)
- Real Madrid (W)5-0Espanyol (W)
- Espanyol (W)0-5Real Madrid (W)
- Real Madrid (W)4-1Espanyol (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Real Madrid (W) 1636 · Espanyol (W) 1487
| Real Madrid (W) | Draw | Espanyol (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 76% | 17% | 7% |
| Market | 77% | 15% | 8% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.12 goals · Bet365 line 3.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Real Madrid (W) (rating 1636 vs 1487).
- H2H favours Real Madrid (W): 6-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 5.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Real Madrid (W) | Espanyol (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.2 / 1.3 | 1.3 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.8 | 0.8 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 20/70/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.2 / 6.3 | 2 / 3.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.9 / 0.2 | 2.5 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Real Madrid (W) 6–0–0 Espanyol (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/02/26 Spain Primera Women | Real Madrid (W) | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Espanyol (W) |
| 20/12/25 Spain Copa De La Reina | Espanyol (W) | 0-4 HT 0-2 | Real Madrid (W) |
| 01/11/25 Spain Primera Women | Espanyol (W) | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Real Madrid (W) |
| 31/01/25 Spain Primera Women | Real Madrid (W) | 5-0 HT 2-0 | Espanyol (W) |
| 06/09/24 Spain Primera Women | Espanyol (W) | 0-5 HT 0-2 | Real Madrid (W) |
| 07/03/21 Spain Primera Women | Real Madrid (W) | 4-1 HT 1-0 | Espanyol (W) |
Standings · Spain Primera Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona (W) | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 28 | 2 | 18 |
| 2 | Real Madrid (W) | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 14 | 16 |
| 3 | Athletic Bilbao (W) | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 8 | 14 |
| 4 | Madrid CFF (W) | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 9 | 13 |
| 5 | Eibar (W) | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 11 |
| 6 | Tenerife (W) | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 11 | 11 |
| 7 | Granada (W) | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 10 |
| 8 | Atletico Madrid (W) | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 11 | 9 |
| 9 | Espanyol (W) | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 8 |
| 10 | FC Badalona (W) | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 12 | 8 |
| 11 | Sevilla (W) | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 7 |
| 12 | Logrono United (W) | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 6 |
| 13 | CD Alaves (W) | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 6 |
| 14 | Deportivo A Coruna (W) | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 5 |
| 15 | Real Sociedad (W) | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 5 |
| 16 | Valencia (W) | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Real Madrid (W) | Espanyol (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Deportivo A Coruna (W) | 2-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Eibar (W) | 0-0 D | 0-1 L |
| FC Badalona (W) | 4-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Sevilla (W) | 2-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 0 L | 0 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Real Madrid (W) (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Real Madrid (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | Barcelona (W) Spain Primera Women |
0-5 | 0-7 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 26/09 | Real Sociedad (W) Spain Primera Women |
1-1 | 5-3 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 19/09 | Valencia (W) Spain Primera Women |
2-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 11/09 | Deportivo A Coruna (W) Spain Primera Women |
2-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 06/09 | Eibar (W) Spain Primera Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 16 | 3 | D |
| 30/08 | Atletico Madrid (W) Spain Primera Women |
3-2 | 3-2 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 31/05 | Granada (W) Spain Primera Women |
0-0 | 2-0 | 11 | 2 | W |
| 26/05 | FC Badalona (W) Spain Primera Women |
0-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 10/05 | Atletico Madrid (W) Spain Primera Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 02/05 | Sevilla (W) Spain Primera Women |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
Espanyol (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10 | CD Alaves (W) Spain Primera Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 27/09 | Deportivo A Coruna (W) Spain Primera Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 3 | D |
| 19/09 | Madrid CFF (W) Spain Primera Women |
3-1 | 5-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 12/09 | Athletic Bilbao (W) Spain Primera Women |
1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 05/09 | FC Badalona (W) Spain Primera Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 29/08 | Eibar (W) Spain Primera Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 31/05 | Sevilla (W) Spain Primera Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 27/05 | Deportivo A Coruna (W) Spain Primera Women |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 09/05 | FC Badalona (W) Spain Primera Women |
1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 01/05 | Alhama CF (W) Spain Primera Women |
1-2 | 1-3 | 6 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Real Madrid (W) vs Espanyol (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Real Madrid (W) win (76%). Probabilities: Real Madrid (W) 76%, draw 16%, Espanyol (W) 8%.
How many goals are expected in Real Madrid (W) vs Espanyol (W)?
The model expects 3.12 goals (Real Madrid (W) 2.45 · Espanyol (W) 0.67), with a 53% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Real Madrid (W) vs Espanyol (W)?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.