Football · Netherlands Eredivisie Women · 06/09, 16:45
Prediction: PEC Zwolle (W) vs ADO Den Haag (W)
Team pages: PEC Zwolle (W) · ADO Den Haag (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.11Total
PEC Zwolle (W)2.12
ADO Den Haag (W)0.99
1X2
PEC Zwolle (W)
Draw
ADO Den Haag (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 62%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
PEC Zwolle (W)
2-1-7 (W-D-L)
ADO Den Haag (W)
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
PEC Zwolle (W)
2–2–2
ADO Den Haag (W)
(6 last)
- ADO Den Haag (W)3-0PEC Zwolle (W)
- PEC Zwolle (W)2-1ADO Den Haag (W)
- ADO Den Haag (W)1-0PEC Zwolle (W)
- PEC Zwolle (W)1-1ADO Den Haag (W)
- PEC Zwolle (W)0-0ADO Den Haag (W)
- ADO Den Haag (W)1-2PEC Zwolle (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · PEC Zwolle (W) 1439 · ADO Den Haag (W) 1493
| PEC Zwolle (W) | Draw | ADO Den Haag (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 22% | 16% |
| Market | 62% | 22% | 16% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.11 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours ADO Den Haag (W) (rating 1439 vs 1493).
- Cards-heavy: 5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| PEC Zwolle (W) | ADO Den Haag (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.8 | 1.7 / 2.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.9 | 0.9 / 1.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/20/60% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 6.3 | 2.2 / 3.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2 / 0.2 | 3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · PEC Zwolle (W) 2–2–2 ADO Den Haag (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/05/26 Netherlands Eredivisie Women | ADO Den Haag (W) | 3-0 HT 3-0 | PEC Zwolle (W) |
| 12/10/25 Netherlands Eredivisie Women | PEC Zwolle (W) | 2-1 HT 1-0 | ADO Den Haag (W) |
| 19/04/25 Netherlands Eredivisie Women | ADO Den Haag (W) | 1-0 HT 1-0 | PEC Zwolle (W) |
| 23/11/24 Netherlands Eredivisie Women | PEC Zwolle (W) | 1-1 HT 0-0 | ADO Den Haag (W) |
| 02/03/24 Netherlands Eredivisie Women | PEC Zwolle (W) | 0-0 HT 0-0 | ADO Den Haag (W) |
| 30/09/23 Netherlands Eredivisie Women | ADO Den Haag (W) | 1-2 HT 1-0 | PEC Zwolle (W) |
Standings · Netherlands Eredivisie Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Twente (W) | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | VV Alkmaar (W) | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | Ajax (W) | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 |
| 4 | PSV (W) | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 5 | Feyenoord (W) | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 6 | De Graafschap (W) | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 7 | FC Utrecht (W) | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| 8 | Heerenveen (W) | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 9 | PEC Zwolle (W) | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 | ADO Den Haag (W) | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | PEC Zwolle (W) | ADO Den Haag (W) |
|---|---|---|
| PSV (W) | 0-2 L | 0-2 L |
| HERA United (W) | 3-2 W | 3-1 W |
| FC Twente (W) | 2-3 L | 1-7 L |
| Excelsior (W) | 4-1 W | 3-2 W |
| FC Utrecht (W) | 0-3 L | 0-5 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 3 L | 2 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: PEC Zwolle (W) (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
PEC Zwolle (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Ajax (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 16/08 | PSV (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 22/05 | ADO Den Haag (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
0-3 | 0-3 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 08/05 | HERA United (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
1-1 | 3-2 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 03/05 | FC Twente (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
1-0 | 2-3 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 26/04 | Excelsior (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
3-0 | 4-1 | 12 | 0 | W |
| 05/04 | FC Utrecht (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
0-1 | 0-3 | 6 | 0 | L |
| 29/03 | Ajax (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 15/03 | Heerenveen (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 12 | 1 | D |
| 22/02 | Feyenoord (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
ADO Den Haag (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08 | FC Twente (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
0-3 | 1-7 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 16/08 | VV Alkmaar (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 22/05 | PEC Zwolle (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
3-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 08/05 | PSV (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 6 | L |
| 03/05 | NAC (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
1-1 | 4-2 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 26/04 | VV Alkmaar (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 05/04 | FC Twente (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 29/03 | Excelsior (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
1-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 15/03 | HERA United (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
3-1 | 3-1 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 22/02 | FC Utrecht (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
0-3 | 0-5 | 2 | 1 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in PEC Zwolle (W) vs ADO Den Haag (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a PEC Zwolle (W) win (62%). Probabilities: PEC Zwolle (W) 62%, draw 22%, ADO Den Haag (W) 16%.
How many goals are expected in PEC Zwolle (W) vs ADO Den Haag (W)?
The model expects 3.11 goals (PEC Zwolle (W) 2.12 · ADO Den Haag (W) 0.99), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in PEC Zwolle (W) vs ADO Den Haag (W)?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.