Football · Netherlands Eredivisie Women · 13/09, 16:45
Prediction: FC Utrecht (W) vs PEC Zwolle (W)
Team pages: FC Utrecht (W) · PEC Zwolle (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.95Total
FC Utrecht (W)1.35
PEC Zwolle (W)1.59
1X2
FC Utrecht (W)
Draw
PEC Zwolle (W)
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
FC Utrecht (W)
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
PEC Zwolle (W)
2-1-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FC Utrecht (W)
4–1–1
PEC Zwolle (W)
(6 last)
- FC Utrecht (W)3-0PEC Zwolle (W)
- PEC Zwolle (W)1-2FC Utrecht (W)
- FC Utrecht (W)0-0PEC Zwolle (W)
- PEC Zwolle (W)0-4FC Utrecht (W)
- FC Utrecht (W)5-0PEC Zwolle (W)
- FC Utrecht (W)2-4PEC Zwolle (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · FC Utrecht (W) 1509 · PEC Zwolle (W) 1427
| FC Utrecht (W) | Draw | PEC Zwolle (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 31% | 27% | 42% |
| Market | 32% | 26% | 42% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.95 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Utrecht (W) (rating 1509 vs 1427).
- H2H favours FC Utrecht (W): 4-1-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FC Utrecht (W) | PEC Zwolle (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 0.9 | 1.2 / 2.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.4 | 0.7 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/20/40% | 20/30/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 3.8 | 2.8 / 6.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.4 / 0 | 1.8 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Utrecht (W) 4–1–1 PEC Zwolle (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/04/26 Netherlands Eredivisie Women | FC Utrecht (W) | 3-0 HT 1-0 | PEC Zwolle (W) |
| 07/09/25 Netherlands Eredivisie Women | PEC Zwolle (W) | 1-2 HT 0-0 | FC Utrecht (W) |
| 17/05/25 Netherlands Eredivisie Women | FC Utrecht (W) | 0-0 HT 0-0 | PEC Zwolle (W) |
| 05/10/24 Netherlands Eredivisie Women | PEC Zwolle (W) | 0-4 HT 0-2 | FC Utrecht (W) |
| 05/09/24 Women’s Friendly | FC Utrecht (W) | 5-0 HT 2-0 | PEC Zwolle (W) |
| 01/05/24 Netherlands Eredivisie Women | FC Utrecht (W) | 2-4 HT 0-1 | PEC Zwolle (W) |
Standings · Netherlands Eredivisie Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Twente (W) | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 3 | 9 |
| 2 | VV Alkmaar (W) | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 9 |
| 3 | Ajax (W) | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 9 |
| 4 | PSV (W) | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 7 |
| 5 | De Graafschap (W) | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| 6 | ADO Den Haag (W) | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 3 |
| 7 | Feyenoord (W) | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 3 |
| 8 | FC Utrecht (W) | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| 9 | PEC Zwolle (W) | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 | Heerenveen (W) | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FC Utrecht (W) | PEC Zwolle (W) |
|---|---|---|
| PSV (W) | 1-1 D | 0-2 L |
| Ajax (W) | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| HERA United (W) | 2-1 W | 3-2 W |
| Heerenveen (W) | 5-1 W | 1-1 D |
| FC Twente (W) | 2-0 W | 2-3 L |
| Excelsior (W) | 2-0 W | 4-1 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 1 D 1 L | 2 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: FC Utrecht (W) (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FC Utrecht (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | VV Alkmaar (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 22/08 | PSV (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 16/08 | Ajax (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 22/05 | HERA United (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 08/05 | Heerenveen (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
3-0 | 5-1 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 03/05 | Feyenoord (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
0-1 | 0-3 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 26/04 | FC Twente (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 05/04 | PEC Zwolle (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 29/03 | VV Alkmaar (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | D |
| 21/03 | Excelsior (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
PEC Zwolle (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | ADO Den Haag (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
2-2 | 2-4 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 22/08 | Ajax (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 16/08 | PSV (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 22/05 | ADO Den Haag (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
0-3 | 0-3 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 08/05 | HERA United (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
1-1 | 3-2 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 03/05 | FC Twente (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
1-0 | 2-3 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 26/04 | Excelsior (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
3-0 | 4-1 | 12 | 0 | W |
| 05/04 | FC Utrecht (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
0-1 | 0-3 | 6 | 0 | L |
| 29/03 | Ajax (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 15/03 | Heerenveen (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 12 | 1 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FC Utrecht (W) vs PEC Zwolle (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an PEC Zwolle (W) win (42%). Probabilities: FC Utrecht (W) 32%, draw 26%, PEC Zwolle (W) 42%.
How many goals are expected in FC Utrecht (W) vs PEC Zwolle (W)?
The model expects 2.95 goals (FC Utrecht (W) 1.35 · PEC Zwolle (W) 1.59), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in FC Utrecht (W) vs PEC Zwolle (W)?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.