Football · Netherlands Eredivisie Women · 26/09, 16:30

Prediction: Feyenoord (W) vs PEC Zwolle (W)

Team pages: Feyenoord (W) · PEC Zwolle (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.33Total

Feyenoord (W)1.82

PEC Zwolle (W)1.51

1X2

44% 25% 31%

Feyenoord (W) Draw PEC Zwolle (W)

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Feyenoord (W) 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

DDWWWWLLLW

PEC Zwolle (W) 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

LWLWLLLLWL

Head-to-head

Feyenoord (W) 5–1–0 PEC Zwolle (W) (6 last)

PEC Zwolle (W)0-1Feyenoord (W)
Feyenoord (W)0-0PEC Zwolle (W)
Feyenoord (W)1-0PEC Zwolle (W)
PEC Zwolle (W)0-6Feyenoord (W)
Feyenoord (W)2-0PEC Zwolle (W)
Feyenoord (W)4-0PEC Zwolle (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Feyenoord (W) 1526 · PEC Zwolle (W) 1426

	Feyenoord (W)	Draw	PEC Zwolle (W)
Our model	44%	25%	31%
Market	44%	25%	31%

Estimated total (ours) 3.33 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Feyenoord (W) (rating 1526 vs 1426).
H2H favours Feyenoord (W): 5-1-0.
High corners: 13.1 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Feyenoord (W)	PEC Zwolle (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 1.6	1.7 / 2.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.9	1 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/20/50%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.1 / 7.2	2.9 / 5.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.3 / 0	1.6 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.05

X3.60

22.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.85

2 (+0.25)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 31.90

Under 31.90

Diff.: 0.8 · xG: 3.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:17

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.05 → 2.05	Bet365 2.05
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	2.90 → 2.90	Bet365 2.90

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11%

Time*	1	X	2
13:45 +32’	2.05	3.60	2.90

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Feyenoord (W) 5–1–0 PEC Zwolle (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
22/02/26 Netherlands Eredivisie Women	PEC Zwolle (W)	0-1 HT 0-1	Feyenoord (W)
12/12/25 Netherlands Cup Women	Feyenoord (W)	0-0 HT 0-0	PEC Zwolle (W)
07/12/25 Netherlands Eredivisie Women	Feyenoord (W)	1-0 HT 1-0	PEC Zwolle (W)
23/03/25 Netherlands Eredivisie Women	PEC Zwolle (W)	0-6 HT 0-6	Feyenoord (W)
09/11/24 Netherlands Eredivisie Women	Feyenoord (W)	2-0 HT 2-0	PEC Zwolle (W)
10/03/24 Netherlands Eredivisie Women	Feyenoord (W)	4-0 HT 1-0	PEC Zwolle (W)

Standings · Netherlands Eredivisie Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Twente (W)	5	5	0	0	22	3	15
2	Ajax (W)	5	4	0	1	9	4	12
3	VV Alkmaar (W)	5	4	0	1	9	8	12
4	PSV (W)	5	2	1	2	10	8	7
5	ADO Den Haag (W)	5	2	1	2	11	15	7
6	De Graafschap (W)	5	2	0	3	7	8	6
7	Feyenoord (W)	5	2	0	3	6	13	6
8	Heerenveen (W)	5	1	1	3	7	11	4
9	PEC Zwolle (W)	5	1	0	4	8	13	3
10	FC Utrecht (W)	5	0	1	4	4	10	1

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Feyenoord (W)	PEC Zwolle (W)
FC Utrecht (W)	3-0 W	4-3 W
FC Twente (W)	0-4 L	2-3 L
PSV (W)	0-6 L	0-2 L
Excelsior (W)	3-0 W	4-1 W
Ajax (W)	0-0 D	0-1 L
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 2 L	2 W 0 D 3 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Feyenoord (W)

DDWWWWLLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	FC Utrecht (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women	0-0	3-0	5	0	W
13/09	FC Twente (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women	0-2	0-4	3	5	L
06/09	PSV (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women	0-2	0-6	0	0	L
22/08	VV Alkmaar (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women	0-2	1-2	7	3	L
16/08	Heerenveen (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women	0-1	2-1	16	2	W
22/05	NAC (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women	2-0	3-0	15	1	W
08/05	Excelsior (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women	1-0	3-0	6	4	W
03/05	FC Utrecht (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women	1-0	3-0	8	2	W
26/04	Ajax (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women	0-0	0-0	7	3	D
05/04	VV Alkmaar (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women	1-2	3-3	5	3	D

PEC Zwolle (W)

LWLWLLLLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	De Graafschap (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women	0-1	2-3	2	0	L
13/09	FC Utrecht (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women	3-0	4-3	6	2	W
06/09	ADO Den Haag (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women	2-2	2-4	6	2	L
22/08	Ajax (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women	0-1	0-1	8	1	L
16/08	PSV (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women	0-0	0-2	3	4	L
22/05	ADO Den Haag (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women	0-3	0-3	5	2	L
08/05	HERA United (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women	1-1	3-2	5	4	W
03/05	FC Twente (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women	1-0	2-3	6	1	L
26/04	Excelsior (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women	3-0	4-1	12	0	W
05/04	FC Utrecht (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women	0-1	0-3	6	0	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Feyenoord (W) vs PEC Zwolle (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Feyenoord (W) win (44%). Probabilities: Feyenoord (W) 44%, draw 25%, PEC Zwolle (W) 31%.

How many goals are expected in Feyenoord (W) vs PEC Zwolle (W)?

The model expects 3.33 goals (Feyenoord (W) 1.82 · PEC Zwolle (W) 1.51), with a 52% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Feyenoord (W) vs PEC Zwolle (W)?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.