Football · Netherlands Eredivisie Women · 27/09, 12:15
Prediction: VV Alkmaar (W) vs FC Twente (W)
Team pages: VV Alkmaar (W) · FC Twente (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.64Total
VV Alkmaar (W)0.87
FC Twente (W)2.77
1X2
VV Alkmaar (W)
Draw
FC Twente (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
0-2 10%
Recent form · 10 last
VV Alkmaar (W)
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
FC Twente (W)
7-0-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
VV Alkmaar (W)
0–2–4
FC Twente (W)
(6 last)
- VV Alkmaar (W)1-1FC Twente (W)
- FC Twente (W)4-1VV Alkmaar (W)
- VV Alkmaar (W)0-4FC Twente (W)
- FC Twente (W)3-2VV Alkmaar (W)
- VV Alkmaar (W)0-1FC Twente (W)
- VV Alkmaar (W)2-2FC Twente (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · VV Alkmaar (W) 1495 · FC Twente (W) 1593
| VV Alkmaar (W) | Draw | FC Twente (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 9% | 15% | 76% |
| Market | 8% | 16% | 76% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.64 goals · Bet365 line 3.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Twente (W) (rating 1495 vs 1593).
- H2H favours FC Twente (W): 4-2-0.
- High corners: 11.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 4.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| VV Alkmaar (W) | FC Twente (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 2 | 2.9 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.6 | 1.2 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/20/20% | 50/30/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 4.7 | 3.1 / 6.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.3 / 0 | 2.6 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · VV Alkmaar (W) 0–2–4 FC Twente (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07/26 Women’s Friendly | VV Alkmaar (W) | 1-1 | FC Twente (W) |
| 08/02/26 Netherlands Eredivisie Women | FC Twente (W) | 4-1 HT 1-1 | VV Alkmaar (W) |
| 25/01/26 Netherlands Eredivisie Women | VV Alkmaar (W) | 0-4 HT 0-2 | FC Twente (W) |
| 17/05/25 Netherlands Eredivisie Women | FC Twente (W) | 3-2 HT 1-2 | VV Alkmaar (W) |
| 22/12/24 Netherlands Eredivisie Women | VV Alkmaar (W) | 0-1 HT 0-0 | FC Twente (W) |
| 23/03/24 Netherlands Eredivisie Women | VV Alkmaar (W) | 2-2 HT 1-2 | FC Twente (W) |
Standings · Netherlands Eredivisie Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Twente (W) | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 3 | 15 |
| 2 | Ajax (W) | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 12 |
| 3 | VV Alkmaar (W) | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 12 |
| 4 | PSV (W) | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 7 |
| 5 | ADO Den Haag (W) | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 15 | 7 |
| 6 | De Graafschap (W) | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 6 |
| 7 | Feyenoord (W) | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 6 |
| 8 | Heerenveen (W) | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 4 |
| 9 | PEC Zwolle (W) | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 3 |
| 10 | FC Utrecht (W) | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 1 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | VV Alkmaar (W) | FC Twente (W) |
|---|---|---|
| PSV (W) | 3-1 W | 4-0 W |
| FC Utrecht (W) | 1-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Feyenoord (W) | 2-1 W | 4-0 W |
| ADO Den Haag (W) | 2-1 W | 7-1 W |
| Heerenveen (W) | 1-5 L | 5-1 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 0 D 1 L | 4 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: FC Twente (W) (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
VV Alkmaar (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Ajax (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
0-3 | 1-5 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 13/09 | PSV (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
1-0 | 3-1 | 0 | 2 | W |
| 06/09 | FC Utrecht (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 22/08 | Feyenoord (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
2-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 16/08 | ADO Den Haag (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 22/05 | Excelsior (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 08/05 | Ajax (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
0-0 | 1-3 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 03/05 | Heerenveen (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
1-1 | 1-5 | 15 | 2 | L |
| 26/04 | ADO Den Haag (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 05/04 | Feyenoord (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
2-1 | 3-3 | 5 | 3 | D |
FC Twente (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | PSV (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
2-0 | 4-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 13/09 | Feyenoord (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
2-0 | 4-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 06/09 | Heerenveen (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
3-0 | 5-1 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 23/08 | ADO Den Haag (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
3-0 | 7-1 | 9 | 6 | W |
| 16/08 | De Graafschap (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
2-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 22/05 | PSV (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 08/05 | NAC (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
0-0 | 3-0 | 19 | 0 | W |
| 03/05 | PEC Zwolle (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
0-1 | 3-2 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 26/04 | FC Utrecht (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 05/04 | ADO Den Haag (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in VV Alkmaar (W) vs FC Twente (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Twente (W) win (76%). Probabilities: VV Alkmaar (W) 8%, draw 16%, FC Twente (W) 76%.
How many goals are expected in VV Alkmaar (W) vs FC Twente (W)?
The model expects 3.64 goals (VV Alkmaar (W) 0.87 · FC Twente (W) 2.77), with a 52% chance of under 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in VV Alkmaar (W) vs FC Twente (W)?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.