Football · Netherlands Eredivisie Women · 27/09, 16:45
Prediction: Heerenveen (W) vs FC Utrecht (W)
Team pages: Heerenveen (W) · FC Utrecht (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.56Total
Heerenveen (W)1.89
FC Utrecht (W)1.67
1X2
Heerenveen (W)
Draw
FC Utrecht (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
1-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Heerenveen (W)
2-1-7 (W-D-L)
FC Utrecht (W)
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Heerenveen (W)
1–5
FC Utrecht (W)
(6 last)
- Heerenveen (W)3-1FC Utrecht (W)
- FC Utrecht (W)5-1Heerenveen (W)
- Heerenveen (W)1-2FC Utrecht (W)
- FC Utrecht (W)4-2Heerenveen (W)
- Heerenveen (W)2-3FC Utrecht (W)
- FC Utrecht (W)2-1Heerenveen (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Heerenveen (W) 1455 · FC Utrecht (W) 1476
| Heerenveen (W) | Draw | FC Utrecht (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 24% | 34% |
| Market | 42% | 26% | 33% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.56 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.6
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours FC Utrecht (W): 5-0-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Heerenveen (W) | FC Utrecht (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 2.3 | 1.6 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.9 | 0.5 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/20/30% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 3.2 | 1.8 / 3.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1 / 0 | 1.5 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Heerenveen (W) 1–0–5 FC Utrecht (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08/26 Women’s Friendly | Heerenveen (W) | 3-1 | FC Utrecht (W) |
| 08/05/26 Netherlands Eredivisie Women | FC Utrecht (W) | 5-1 HT 3-0 | Heerenveen (W) |
| 21/12/25 Netherlands Eredivisie Women | Heerenveen (W) | 1-2 HT 0-2 | FC Utrecht (W) |
| 14/12/25 Netherlands Cup Women | FC Utrecht (W) | 4-2 HT 1-0 | Heerenveen (W) |
| 03/05/25 Netherlands Eredivisie Women | Heerenveen (W) | 2-3 HT 1-3 | FC Utrecht (W) |
| 10/11/24 Netherlands Eredivisie Women | FC Utrecht (W) | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Heerenveen (W) |
Standings · Netherlands Eredivisie Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Twente (W) | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 3 | 15 |
| 2 | Ajax (W) | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 12 |
| 3 | VV Alkmaar (W) | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 12 |
| 4 | PSV (W) | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 7 |
| 5 | ADO Den Haag (W) | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 15 | 7 |
| 6 | De Graafschap (W) | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 6 |
| 7 | Feyenoord (W) | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 6 |
| 8 | Heerenveen (W) | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 4 |
| 9 | PEC Zwolle (W) | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 3 |
| 10 | FC Utrecht (W) | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 1 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Heerenveen (W) | FC Utrecht (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Ajax (W) | 3-1 W | 0-1 L |
| FC Twente (W) | 1-5 L | 2-0 W |
| Feyenoord (W) | 1-2 L | 0-3 L |
| VV Alkmaar (W) | 5-1 W | 0-1 L |
| PSV (W) | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| HERA United (W) | 1-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 4 L | 2 W 1 D 3 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Heerenveen (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | ADO Den Haag (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
2-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | D |
| 13/09 | Ajax (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
1-0 | 3-1 | 1 | 1 | W |
| 06/09 | FC Twente (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
0-3 | 1-5 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 23/08 | De Graafschap (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 16/08 | Feyenoord (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
1-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 22/05 | Ajax (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
1-0 | 1-3 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 08/05 | FC Utrecht (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
0-3 | 1-5 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 03/05 | VV Alkmaar (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
1-1 | 5-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 26/04 | PSV (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 05/04 | HERA United (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
1-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | L |
FC Utrecht (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Feyenoord (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
0-0 | 0-3 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 13/09 | PEC Zwolle (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
0-3 | 3-4 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 06/09 | VV Alkmaar (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 22/08 | PSV (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 16/08 | Ajax (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 22/05 | HERA United (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 08/05 | Heerenveen (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
3-0 | 5-1 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 03/05 | Feyenoord (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
0-1 | 0-3 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 26/04 | FC Twente (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 05/04 | PEC Zwolle (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Heerenveen (W) vs FC Utrecht (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Heerenveen (W) win (42%). Probabilities: Heerenveen (W) 42%, draw 25%, FC Utrecht (W) 33%.
How many goals are expected in Heerenveen (W) vs FC Utrecht (W)?
The model expects 3.56 goals (Heerenveen (W) 1.89 · FC Utrecht (W) 1.67), with a 55% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Heerenveen (W) vs FC Utrecht (W)?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.