Football · Netherlands Eredivisie Women · 06/09, 12:15

Prediction: Feyenoord (W) vs PSV (W)

Team pages: Feyenoord (W) · PSV (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.13Total

Feyenoord (W)1.15

PSV (W)1.98

1X2

21% 24% 56%

Feyenoord (W) Draw PSV (W)

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Feyenoord (W) 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WWLDDWWWWL

PSV (W) 8-2-0 (W-D-L)

WWWDWWWWWD

Head-to-head

Feyenoord (W) 0–3–3 PSV (W) (6 last)

Feyenoord (W)2-2PSV (W)
PSV (W)1-1Feyenoord (W)
PSV (W)3-2Feyenoord (W)
Feyenoord (W)0-3PSV (W)
Feyenoord (W)1-4PSV (W)
PSV (W)1-1Feyenoord (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Feyenoord (W) 1499 · PSV (W) 1628

	Feyenoord (W)	Draw	PSV (W)
Our model	21%	24%	56%
Market	21%	24%	56%

Estimated total (ours) 3.13 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours PSV (W) (rating 1499 vs 1628).
H2H favours PSV (W): 3-3-0.
High corners: 14.6 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Feyenoord (W)	PSV (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 0.8	2.4 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.6	1.2 / 0.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/20/30%	60/30/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.1 / 8	2.3 / 6.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.3 / 0	1.9 / 0

Odds Bet365

14.33

X3.80

21.61

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.75)1.98

2 (-0.75)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.80

Under 2.52.00

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 2.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 19:14

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.33 → 4.33	Pinn 5.03 ★
X	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
2	1.61 → 1.61	Bet365 1.61

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3% Pinnacle margin 9.3%

Time*	1	X	2
19:07 +8’	4.33	3.80	1.61

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
14:31 +2’	5.03	3.67	1.61

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Feyenoord (W) 0–3–3 PSV (W)

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
01/02/26 Netherlands Eredivisie Women	Feyenoord (W)	2-2 HT 1-2	PSV (W)
21/12/25 Netherlands Eredivisie Women	PSV (W)	1-1 HT 1-0	Feyenoord (W)
17/05/25 Netherlands Eredivisie Women	PSV (W)	3-2 HT 2-1	Feyenoord (W)
15/04/25 Netherlands Cup Women	Feyenoord (W)	0-3 HT 0-1	PSV (W)
21/12/24 Netherlands Eredivisie Women	Feyenoord (W)	1-4 HT 0-3	PSV (W)
24/03/24 Netherlands Eredivisie Women	PSV (W)	1-1 HT 0-0	Feyenoord (W)

Standings · Netherlands Eredivisie Women

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Twente (W)	2	2	0	0	9	2	6
2	VV Alkmaar (W)	2	2	0	0	4	2	6
3	Ajax (W)	2	2	0	0	2	0	6
4	PSV (W)	2	1	1	0	3	1	4
5	Feyenoord (W)	2	1	0	1	3	3	3
6	De Graafschap (W)	2	1	0	1	2	2	3
7	FC Utrecht (W)	2	0	1	1	1	2	1
8	Heerenveen (W)	2	0	0	2	1	3	0
9	PEC Zwolle (W)	2	0	0	2	0	3	0
10	ADO Den Haag (W)	2	0	0	2	2	9	0

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Feyenoord (W)	PSV (W)
VV Alkmaar (W)	1-2 L	3-2 W
Heerenveen (W)	2-1 W	1-0 W
NAC (W)	3-0 W	4-1 W
Excelsior (W)	3-0 W	6-0 W
FC Utrecht (W)	3-0 W	1-1 D
Ajax (W)	0-0 D	1-1 D
FC Twente (W)	2-0 W	2-1 W
PEC Zwolle (W)	1-0 W	2-0 W
Record vs common	6 W 1 D 1 L	6 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: PSV (W) (3 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Feyenoord (W)

WWLDDWWWWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/08	VV Alkmaar (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women	0-2	1-2	7	3	L
16/08	Heerenveen (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women	0-1	2-1	16	2	W
22/05	NAC (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women	2-0	3-0	15	1	W
08/05	Excelsior (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women	1-0	3-0	6	4	W
03/05	FC Utrecht (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women	1-0	3-0	8	2	W
26/04	Ajax (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women	0-0	0-0	7	3	D
05/04	VV Alkmaar (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women	1-2	3-3	5	3	D
29/03	Heerenveen (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women	1-1	1-2	9	0	L
11/03	FC Twente (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women	1-0	2-0	6	1	W
22/02	PEC Zwolle (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women	1-0	1-0	1	4	W

PSV (W)

WWWDWWWWWD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/08	FC Utrecht (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women	0-1	1-1	10	2	D
16/08	PEC Zwolle (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women	0-0	2-0	1	4	W
22/05	FC Twente (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women	2-0	2-1	7	3	W
08/05	ADO Den Haag (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women	1-0	2-0	8	6	W
03/05	HERA United (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women	2-0	2-1	4	0	W
26/04	Heerenveen (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women	0-0	1-0	6	1	W
05/04	Ajax (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women	0-0	1-1	3	0	D
29/03	NAC (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women	3-0	4-1	11	0	W
12/03	Excelsior (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women	3-0	6-0	9	2	W
22/02	VV Alkmaar (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women	1-0	3-2	7	1	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Feyenoord (W) vs PSV (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an PSV (W) win (56%). Probabilities: Feyenoord (W) 21%, draw 24%, PSV (W) 56%.

How many goals are expected in Feyenoord (W) vs PSV (W)?

The model expects 3.13 goals (Feyenoord (W) 1.15 · PSV (W) 1.98), with a 56% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Feyenoord (W) vs PSV (W)?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.