Football · Netherlands Eredivisie Women · 19/09, 14:00
Prediction: PSV (W) vs FC Twente (W)
Team pages: PSV (W) · FC Twente (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.02Total
PSV (W)1.47
FC Twente (W)1.55
1X2
PSV (W)
Draw
FC Twente (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 64%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
PSV (W)
7-2-1 (W-D-L)
FC Twente (W)
7-0-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
PSV (W)
3–1–2
FC Twente (W)
(6 last)
- PSV (W)3-0FC Twente (W)
- PSV (W)2-0FC Twente (W)
- FC Twente (W)1-2PSV (W)
- FC Twente (W)2-2PSV (W)
- PSV (W)1-3FC Twente (W)
- FC Twente (W)3-2PSV (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · PSV (W) 1601 · FC Twente (W) 1573
| PSV (W) | Draw | FC Twente (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 35% | 26% | 39% |
| Market | 35% | 27% | 39% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.02 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours PSV (W): 3-1-2.
- High corners: 14.4 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| PSV (W) | FC Twente (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.2 / 0.8 | 2.8 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.2 | 1.1 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/30/20% | 50/30/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 6.9 | 3.5 / 7.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.8 / 0 | 2.3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · PSV (W) 3–1–2 FC Twente (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/07/26 Netherlands Super Cup Women | PSV (W) | 3-0 HT 0-0 | FC Twente (W) |
| 25/05/26 Netherlands Cup Women | PSV (W) | 2-0 HT 2-0 | FC Twente (W) |
| 22/05/26 Netherlands Eredivisie Women | FC Twente (W) | 1-2 HT 0-2 | PSV (W) |
| 16/05/26 Netherlands Cup Women | FC Twente (W) | 2-2 HT 0-1 | PSV (W) |
| 04/10/25 Netherlands Eredivisie Women | PSV (W) | 1-3 HT 1-0 | FC Twente (W) |
| 23/08/25 Netherlands Super Cup Women | FC Twente (W) | 3-2 HT 0-1 | PSV (W) |
Standings · Netherlands Eredivisie Women
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Twente (W) | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 3 | 12 |
| 2 | VV Alkmaar (W) | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 12 |
| 3 | Ajax (W) | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 9 |
| 4 | PSV (W) | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 4 | 7 |
| 5 | ADO Den Haag (W) | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 13 | 6 |
| 6 | De Graafschap (W) | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 3 |
| 7 | PEC Zwolle (W) | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 3 |
| 8 | Heerenveen (W) | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 3 |
| 9 | Feyenoord (W) | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 3 |
| 10 | FC Utrecht (W) | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 1 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | PSV (W) | FC Twente (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Feyenoord (W) | 6-0 W | 4-0 W |
| FC Utrecht (W) | 1-1 D | 0-2 L |
| PEC Zwolle (W) | 2-0 W | 3-2 W |
| ADO Den Haag (W) | 2-0 W | 7-1 W |
| HERA United (W) | 2-1 W | 3-0 W |
| Heerenveen (W) | 1-0 W | 5-1 W |
| NAC (W) | 4-1 W | 3-0 W |
| Record vs common | 6 W 1 D 0 L | 6 W 0 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
PSV (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | VV Alkmaar (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
0-1 | 1-3 | 10 | 2 | L |
| 06/09 | Feyenoord (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
2-0 | 6-0 | 9 | 0 | W |
| 22/08 | FC Utrecht (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 2 | D |
| 16/08 | PEC Zwolle (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
0-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 22/05 | FC Twente (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
2-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 08/05 | ADO Den Haag (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 03/05 | HERA United (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
2-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 26/04 | Heerenveen (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 05/04 | Ajax (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | D |
| 29/03 | NAC (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
3-0 | 4-1 | 11 | 0 | W |
FC Twente (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Feyenoord (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
2-0 | 4-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 06/09 | Heerenveen (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
3-0 | 5-1 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 23/08 | ADO Den Haag (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
3-0 | 7-1 | 9 | 6 | W |
| 16/08 | De Graafschap (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
2-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 22/05 | PSV (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 08/05 | NAC (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
0-0 | 3-0 | 19 | 0 | W |
| 03/05 | PEC Zwolle (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
0-1 | 3-2 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 26/04 | FC Utrecht (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 05/04 | ADO Den Haag (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 29/03 | HERA United (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
1-0 | 3-0 | 8 | 0 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in PSV (W) vs FC Twente (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Twente (W) win (39%). Probabilities: PSV (W) 35%, draw 27%, FC Twente (W) 39%.
How many goals are expected in PSV (W) vs FC Twente (W)?
The model expects 3.02 goals (PSV (W) 1.47 · FC Twente (W) 1.55), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in PSV (W) vs FC Twente (W)?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.