Prediction: Victoriano Arenas vs Deportivo Paraguayo
Expected goals: 1.76 (Victoriano Arenas 1.13 · Deportivo Paraguayo 0.64). The model gives 47% home, 33% draw, 20% away. Under 1.75 goals (51%) and not both to score (55%). Most likely score: 0-0.
Recent form leaves Victoriano Arenas with 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses over 10 games; Deportivo Paraguayo has piled up 1-5-4 in the same span. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Victoriano Arenas won 3 and Deportivo Paraguayo 0, with 3 draws.
| Victoriano Arenas | Draw | Deportivo Paraguayo | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 34% | 19% |
| Market | 48% | 31% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Victoriano Arenas (rating 1540 vs 1440).
- H2H favours Victoriano Arenas: 3-3-0.
- High corners: 11 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 10 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Victoriano Arenas | Deportivo Paraguayo | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 0.9 | 0.5 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.4 | 0.3 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 10/50/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.3 / 5.9 | 2.7 / 5.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.1 / 0.1 | 4.9 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Victoriano Arenas 3–3–0 Deportivo Paraguayo
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/02/26 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Deportivo Paraguayo | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Victoriano Arenas |
| 19/07/25 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Deportivo Paraguayo | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Victoriano Arenas |
| 05/04/25 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Victoriano Arenas | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Deportivo Paraguayo |
| 21/09/24 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Victoriano Arenas | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Deportivo Paraguayo |
| 21/04/24 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Deportivo Paraguayo | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Victoriano Arenas |
| 14/03/18 Argentina Primera D Metropolitana | Deportivo Paraguayo | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Victoriano Arenas |
Standings · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · Primera C 2026, Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Centro Espanol | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 26 | 14 | 29 |
| 2 | Berazategui | 17 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 22 | 12 | 29 |
| 3 | Sacachispas | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 14 | 28 |
| 4 | Victoriano Arenas | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 11 | 25 |
| 5 | Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 16 | 25 |
| 6 | CA Lugano | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 24 |
| 7 | Puerto Nuevo | 17 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 15 | 18 | 23 |
| 8 | Club Leandro N. Alem | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 22 | 29 | 23 |
| 9 | Club Mercedes | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 10 | 22 |
| 10 | Juventud Unida San Miguel | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Defensores de Cambaceres | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 18 | 20 |
| 12 | Argentino de Rosario | 17 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 22 | 15 |
| 13 | Deportivo Paraguayo | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 24 | 15 |
| 14 | JJ Urquiza | 17 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 18 | 14 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Victoriano Arenas | Deportivo Paraguayo |
|---|---|---|
| Puerto Nuevo | 1-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Club Leandro N. Alem | 0-0 D | 2-4 L |
| Defensores de Cambaceres | 1-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Juventud Unida San Miguel | 1-1 D | 3-2 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 1 L | 1 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Victoriano Arenas (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Victoriano Arenas
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | Puerto Nuevo Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 10 | L |
| 13/06 | Club Leandro N. Alem Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 07/06 | Defensores de Cambaceres Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 10 | W |
| 31/05 | Juventud Unida San Miguel Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 4 | D |
| 25/05 | Sacachispas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 17/05 | Canuelas FC Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 09/05 | Argentino de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 03/05 | Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 26/04 | Berazategui Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 3-2 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 17/04 | General Lamadrid Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-1 | 12 | 0 | L |
Deportivo Paraguayo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Centro Espanol Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 13/06 | JJ Urquiza Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 06/06 | Club Mercedes Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 8 | D |
| 30/05 | CA Lugano Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 23/05 | Puerto Nuevo Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 17/05 | Lujan Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 9 | L |
| 10/05 | Club Leandro N. Alem Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
2-1 | 2-4 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 02/05 | Defensores de Cambaceres Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 2 | D |
| 25/04 | Juventud Unida San Miguel Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-2 | 3-2 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 20/04 | Sportivo Barracas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Victoriano Arenas vs Deportivo Paraguayo?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Victoriano Arenas win (47%). Probabilities: Victoriano Arenas 47%, draw 33%, Deportivo Paraguayo 20%.
How many goals are expected in Victoriano Arenas vs Deportivo Paraguayo?
The model expects 1.76 goals (Victoriano Arenas 1.13 · Deportivo Paraguayo 0.64), with a 51% chance of under 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Victoriano Arenas vs Deportivo Paraguayo?
The model gives a 55% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.