Football · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · 12/07, 20:00
Prediction: Club Leandro N. Alem vs Argentino de Rosario
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.66Total
Club Leandro N. Alem1.39
Argentino de Rosario1.27
1X2
Club Leandro N. Alem
Draw
Argentino de Rosario
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Club Leandro N. Alem
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Argentino de Rosario
1-6-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Club Leandro N. Alem
3–1–2
Argentino de Rosario
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Club Leandro N. Alem 1515 · Argentino de Rosario 1461
| Club Leandro N. Alem | Draw | Argentino de Rosario | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 28% | 33% |
| Market | 37% | 33% | 31% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.66 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.7
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Club Leandro N. Alem (rating 1515 vs 1461).
- H2H favours Club Leandro N. Alem: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 12.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Club Leandro N. Alem | Argentino de Rosario | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.4 | 1.1 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.6 | 0.4 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 30/20/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 3.4 | 1.6 / 3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.6 / 1.1 | 7 / 0.7 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Club Leandro N. Alem 3–1–2 Argentino de Rosario
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/03/26 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Argentino de Rosario | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Club Leandro N. Alem |
| 04/10/25 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Argentino de Rosario | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Club Leandro N. Alem |
| 29/09/25 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Club Leandro N. Alem | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Argentino de Rosario |
| 07/09/24 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Argentino de Rosario | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Club Leandro N. Alem |
| 07/04/24 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Club Leandro N. Alem | 0-5 HT 0-1 | Argentino de Rosario |
| 17/04/17 Argentina Primera D Metropolitana | Club Leandro N. Alem | 3-0 HT 0-0 | Argentino de Rosario |
Standings · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · Primera C 2026, Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sacachispas | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 22 | 14 | 31 |
| 2 | Centro Espanol | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 26 | 17 | 29 |
| 3 | Berazategui | 18 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 22 | 14 | 29 |
| 4 | Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 21 | 16 | 28 |
| 5 | Victoriano Arenas | 18 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 16 | 11 | 26 |
| 6 | Puerto Nuevo | 18 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 17 | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Club Mercedes | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 18 | 10 | 25 |
| 8 | CA Lugano | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 25 |
| 9 | Club Leandro N. Alem | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 32 | 23 |
| 10 | Juventud Unida San Miguel | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 19 | 21 |
| 11 | Defensores de Cambaceres | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 19 | 21 |
| 12 | Argentino de Rosario | 18 | 2 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 23 | 16 |
| 13 | Deportivo Paraguayo | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 24 | 16 |
| 14 | JJ Urquiza | 18 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 18 | 15 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Club Leandro N. Alem | Argentino de Rosario |
|---|---|---|
| Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn | 0-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Berazategui | 1-1 D | 2-2 D |
| Victoriano Arenas | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| Centro Espanol | 0-3 L | 2-3 L |
| CA Lugano | 2-2 D | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 3 D 2 L | 1 W 3 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Argentino de Rosario (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Club Leandro N. Alem
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-3 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 28/06 | Berazategui Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 8 | D |
| 13/06 | Victoriano Arenas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 06/06 | Centro Espanol Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-2 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 31/05 | JJ Urquiza Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 9 | W |
| 23/05 | Club Mercedes Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 17/05 | Deportivo Muniz Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 10/05 | Deportivo Paraguayo Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-2 | 4-2 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 03/05 | Puerto Nuevo Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
2-0 | 4-1 | 4 | 9 | W |
| 25/04 | CA Lugano Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 9 | D |
Argentino de Rosario
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Defensores de Cambaceres Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 8 | D |
| 28/06 | Union de Arroyo Seco Argentina Copa Santa Fe |
1-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 27/06 | Juventud Unida San Miguel Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 15/06 | Sacachispas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 06/06 | CA Lugano Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 30/05 | Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 12 | D |
| 24/05 | Berazategui Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 11 | D |
| 17/05 | Central Cordoba de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 10 | D |
| 09/05 | Victoriano Arenas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 04/05 | Centro Espanol Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 2-3 | 1 | 7 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Club Leandro N. Alem vs Argentino de Rosario?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Club Leandro N. Alem win (37%). Probabilities: Club Leandro N. Alem 37%, draw 31%, Argentino de Rosario 32%.
How many goals are expected in Club Leandro N. Alem vs Argentino de Rosario?
The model expects 2.66 goals (Club Leandro N. Alem 1.39 · Argentino de Rosario 1.27), with a 56% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Club Leandro N. Alem vs Argentino de Rosario?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.