Football · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · 13/07, 20:00
Prediction: Fenix vs Sportivo Barracas
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.87Total
Fenix0.78
Sportivo Barracas1.09
1X2
Fenix
Draw
Sportivo Barracas
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 57%
Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
0-0
Recent form · 10 last
Fenix
2-1-7 (W-D-L)
Sportivo Barracas
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Fenix
1–0
Sportivo Barracas
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Fenix 1455 · Sportivo Barracas 1490
| Fenix | Draw | Sportivo Barracas | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 24% | 34% | 41% |
| Market | 26% | 32% | 43% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.87 goals · Bet365 line 1.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 69%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 12.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Fenix | Sportivo Barracas | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.6 / 1.2 | 1.1 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.6 | 0.3 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/50/40% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 4.2 | 1.9 / 4.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.8 / 0.3 | 6.4 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Fenix 1–0–0 Sportivo Barracas
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/03/26 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Sportivo Barracas | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Fenix |
Standings · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · Primera C 2026, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lujan | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 14 | 32 |
| 2 | Canuelas FC | 18 | 7 | 9 | 2 | 21 | 12 | 30 |
| 3 | Leones de Rosario | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 16 | 28 |
| 4 | Yupanqui | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 19 | 27 |
| 5 | General Lamadrid | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 18 | 17 | 27 |
| 6 | Sportivo Barracas | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 16 | 25 |
| 7 | Deportivo Espanol | 18 | 5 | 10 | 3 | 16 | 13 | 25 |
| 8 | El Porvenir | 18 | 4 | 12 | 2 | 15 | 13 | 24 |
| 9 | CA Atlas | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 17 | 22 |
| 10 | Central Cordoba de Rosario | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 14 | 20 |
| 11 | CA Claypole | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 22 | 20 |
| 12 | Central Ballester | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 21 | 19 |
| 13 | Deportivo Muniz | 18 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 17 | 15 |
| 14 | Fenix | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 20 | 14 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Fenix | Sportivo Barracas |
|---|---|---|
| Lujan | 1-2 L | 2-0 W |
| General Lamadrid | 3-1 W | 2-0 W |
| Leones de Rosario | 0-1 L | 0-2 L |
| CA Atlas | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Canuelas FC | 0-2 L | 1-3 L |
| Deportivo Muniz | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| Deportivo Espanol | 1-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Central Cordoba de Rosario | 0-1 L | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 5 L | 3 W 2 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Sportivo Barracas (3 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Fenix
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Lujan Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 29/06 | General Lamadrid Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
2-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 9 | W |
| 15/06 | Leones de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 06/06 | CA Atlas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 01/06 | Canuelas FC Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 25/05 | Deportivo Muniz Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 11 | L |
| 16/05 | Centro Espanol Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 11/05 | Deportivo Espanol Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 02/05 | Central Cordoba de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 26/04 | CA Claypole Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 8 | L |
Sportivo Barracas
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07 | Yupanqui Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
2-0 | 2-3 | 6 | 8 | L |
| 29/06 | Lujan Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 15/06 | General Lamadrid Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 12 | W |
| 06/06 | Leones de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-2 | 11 | 3 | L |
| 01/06 | CA Atlas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 23/05 | Canuelas FC Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-3 | 1-3 | 8 | 7 | L |
| 18/05 | Defensores de Cambaceres Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 10 | W |
| 11/05 | Deportivo Muniz Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | D |
| 04/05 | Deportivo Espanol Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 27/04 | Central Cordoba de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Fenix vs Sportivo Barracas?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Sportivo Barracas win (42%). Probabilities: Fenix 25%, draw 33%, Sportivo Barracas 42%.
How many goals are expected in Fenix vs Sportivo Barracas?
The model expects 1.87 goals (Fenix 0.78 · Sportivo Barracas 1.09), with a 50% chance of over 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Fenix vs Sportivo Barracas?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.