Football · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · 12/07, 20:00
Prediction: Puerto Nuevo vs Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.96Total
Puerto Nuevo0.84
Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn1.12
1X2
Puerto Nuevo
Draw
Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 60%
Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
0-0
Recent form · 10 last
Puerto Nuevo
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Puerto Nuevo
0–1–0
Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Puerto Nuevo 1519 · Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn 1528
| Puerto Nuevo | Draw | Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 26% | 33% | 40% |
| Market | 26% | 33% | 41% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.96 goals · Bet365 line 1.75 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 68%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 13.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Puerto Nuevo | Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 1.1 | 1.1 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.4 | 0.4 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 4 | 2.3 / 4.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 6.2 / 0.7 | 7.2 / 0.9 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Puerto Nuevo 0–1–0 Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/03/26 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Puerto Nuevo |
Standings · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · Primera C 2026, Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sacachispas | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 22 | 14 | 31 |
| 2 | Centro Espanol | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 26 | 17 | 29 |
| 3 | Berazategui | 18 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 22 | 14 | 29 |
| 4 | Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 21 | 16 | 28 |
| 5 | Victoriano Arenas | 18 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 16 | 11 | 26 |
| 6 | Puerto Nuevo | 18 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 17 | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Club Mercedes | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 18 | 10 | 25 |
| 8 | CA Lugano | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 25 |
| 9 | Club Leandro N. Alem | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 32 | 23 |
| 10 | Juventud Unida San Miguel | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 19 | 21 |
| 11 | Defensores de Cambaceres | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 19 | 21 |
| 12 | Argentino de Rosario | 18 | 2 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 23 | 16 |
| 13 | Deportivo Paraguayo | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 24 | 16 |
| 14 | JJ Urquiza | 18 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 18 | 15 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Puerto Nuevo | Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn |
|---|---|---|
| Berazategui | 2-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Victoriano Arenas | 2-1 W | 0-3 L |
| Centro Espanol | 0-2 L | 1-0 W |
| CA Lugano | 0-3 L | 3-2 W |
| Club Leandro N. Alem | 1-4 L | 3-0 W |
| Defensores de Cambaceres | 0-0 D | 3-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 3 L | 4 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Puerto Nuevo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Berazategui Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 8 | W |
| 28/06 | Victoriano Arenas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
2-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 10 | W |
| 14/06 | Centro Espanol Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 06/06 | JJ Urquiza Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 30/05 | Club Mercedes Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 23/05 | Deportivo Paraguayo Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 17/05 | Central Ballester Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 10/05 | CA Lugano Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-2 | 0-3 | 6 | 8 | L |
| 03/05 | Club Leandro N. Alem Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-2 | 1-4 | 6 | 9 | L |
| 26/04 | Defensores de Cambaceres Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | D |
Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Club Leandro N. Alem Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 3-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 28/06 | Defensores de Cambaceres Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 14/06 | Juventud Unida San Miguel Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 06/06 | Sacachispas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 13 | D |
| 30/05 | Argentino de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 12 | D |
| 23/05 | CA Lugano Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 11 | W |
| 16/05 | Yupanqui Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 8 | D |
| 09/05 | Berazategui Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 7 | D |
| 03/05 | Victoriano Arenas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 26/04 | Centro Espanol Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Puerto Nuevo vs Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn win (41%). Probabilities: Puerto Nuevo 26%, draw 33%, Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn 41%.
How many goals are expected in Puerto Nuevo vs Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn?
The model expects 1.96 goals (Puerto Nuevo 0.84 · Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn 1.12), with a 52% chance of over 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Puerto Nuevo vs Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.