Football · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · 12/07, 19:00
Prediction: JJ Urquiza vs Centro Espanol
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.71Total
JJ Urquiza0.76
Centro Espanol0.95
1X2
JJ Urquiza
Draw
Centro Espanol
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 52%
Not both to score 55%
Most likely score
0-0
Recent form · 10 last
JJ Urquiza
1-4-5 (W-D-L)
Centro Espanol
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
JJ Urquiza
1–1–1
Centro Espanol
(3 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · JJ Urquiza 1453 · Centro Espanol 1523
| JJ Urquiza | Draw | Centro Espanol | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 26% | 36% | 37% |
| Market | 28% | 33% | 39% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.71 goals · Bet365 line 1.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 75%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Centro Espanol (rating 1453 vs 1523).
- Cards-heavy: 11.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| JJ Urquiza | Centro Espanol | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.2 / 1.1 | 1.5 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0 / 0.7 | 0.5 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/60/40% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.2 / 2.9 | 2.1 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 6.1 / 0.6 | 5.3 / 0.6 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · JJ Urquiza 1–1–1 Centro Espanol
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/03/26 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Centro Espanol | 0-0 HT 0-0 | JJ Urquiza |
| 04/10/24 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Centro Espanol | 1-0 HT 0-0 | JJ Urquiza |
| 05/05/24 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | JJ Urquiza | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Centro Espanol |
Standings · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · Primera C 2026, Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sacachispas | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 22 | 14 | 31 |
| 2 | Centro Espanol | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 26 | 17 | 29 |
| 3 | Berazategui | 18 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 22 | 14 | 29 |
| 4 | Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 21 | 16 | 28 |
| 5 | Victoriano Arenas | 18 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 16 | 11 | 26 |
| 6 | Puerto Nuevo | 18 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 17 | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Club Mercedes | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 18 | 10 | 25 |
| 8 | CA Lugano | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 25 |
| 9 | Club Leandro N. Alem | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 32 | 23 |
| 10 | Juventud Unida San Miguel | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 19 | 21 |
| 11 | Defensores de Cambaceres | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 19 | 21 |
| 12 | Argentino de Rosario | 18 | 2 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 23 | 16 |
| 13 | Deportivo Paraguayo | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 24 | 16 |
| 14 | JJ Urquiza | 18 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 18 | 15 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | JJ Urquiza | Centro Espanol |
|---|---|---|
| Club Mercedes | 0-5 L | 0-3 L |
| Deportivo Paraguayo | 0-0 D | 2-0 W |
| Puerto Nuevo | 0-1 L | 2-0 W |
| Club Leandro N. Alem | 0-2 L | 3-0 W |
| Defensores de Cambaceres | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Juventud Unida San Miguel | 1-0 W | 2-3 L |
| Sacachispas | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| Argentino de Rosario | 1-1 D | 3-2 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 3 D 4 L | 4 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Centro Espanol (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
JJ Urquiza
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | CA Lugano Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 27/06 | Club Mercedes Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-4 | 0-5 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 13/06 | Deportivo Paraguayo Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 06/06 | Puerto Nuevo Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 31/05 | Club Leandro N. Alem Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 9 | L |
| 23/05 | Defensores de Cambaceres Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 16/05 | General Lamadrid Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 10 | L |
| 09/05 | Juventud Unida San Miguel Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 04/05 | Sacachispas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 25/04 | Argentino de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 9 | D |
Centro Espanol
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07 | Club Mercedes Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-3 | 8 | 9 | L |
| 27/06 | Deportivo Paraguayo Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 14/06 | Puerto Nuevo Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 06/06 | Club Leandro N. Alem Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
2-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 31/05 | Defensores de Cambaceres Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 23/05 | Juventud Unida San Miguel Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 16/05 | Fenix Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 11/05 | Sacachispas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 04/05 | Argentino de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 3-2 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 26/04 | Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 9 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in JJ Urquiza vs Centro Espanol?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Centro Espanol win (38%). Probabilities: JJ Urquiza 27%, draw 35%, Centro Espanol 38%.
How many goals are expected in JJ Urquiza vs Centro Espanol?
The model expects 1.71 goals (JJ Urquiza 0.76 · Centro Espanol 0.95), with a 53% chance of under 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in JJ Urquiza vs Centro Espanol?
The model gives a 55% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.