Prediction: Floriana vs Mosta FC
Team pages: Floriana · Mosta FC
- Floriana2-1Mosta FC
- Mosta FC0-1Floriana
- Floriana3-0Mosta FC
- Floriana2-0Mosta FC
- Floriana2-2Mosta FC
- Floriana1-0Mosta FC
| Floriana | Draw | Mosta FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 26% | 21% |
| Market | 54% | 24% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Floriana (rating 1557 vs 1487).
- H2H favours Floriana: 5-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Floriana | Mosta FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 0.9 | 1.2 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.6 | 0.6 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/20/40% | 40/20/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 5.4 | 1.6 / 2.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.4 / 0.1 | 3.9 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Floriana 5–1–0 Mosta FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/01/26 Malta Premier League | Floriana | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Mosta FC |
| 27/09/25 Malta Premier League | Mosta FC | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Floriana |
| 27/04/25 Malta Premier League | Floriana | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Mosta FC |
| 05/03/25 Malta FA Trophy | Floriana | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Mosta FC |
| 02/03/25 Malta Premier League | Floriana | 2-2 HT 0-1 | Mosta FC |
| 23/11/24 Malta Premier League | Floriana | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Mosta FC |
Standings · Malta Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Valletta | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 6 | 16 |
| 2 | Marsaxlokk FC | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 10 | 14 |
| 3 | Floriana | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 8 | 14 |
| 4 | Mosta FC | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 12 |
| 5 | Hamrun Spartans | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 8 | 11 |
| 6 | Sliema Wanderers | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 11 |
| 7 | Balzan FC | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 10 |
| 8 | Birkirkara | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 6 | 10 |
| 9 | Hibernians | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 6 |
| 10 | Saint Patrick FC Zabbar | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 5 |
| 11 | Gzira United | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 3 |
| 12 | Birzebbuga | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 16 | 1 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Floriana | Mosta FC |
|---|---|---|
| Balzan FC | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| Hibernians | 4-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Marsaxlokk FC | 2-5 L | 1-1 D |
| Gzira United | 4-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Hamrun Spartans | 1-1 D | 2-0 W |
| Sliema Wanderers | 2-0 W | 1-3 L |
| Birzebbuga | 3-0 W | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 4 W 2 D 1 L | 2 W 3 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Floriana (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Floriana
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Balzan FC Malta Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 20/09 | Hibernians Malta Premier League |
2-0 | 4-0 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 12/09 | Marsaxlokk FC Malta Premier League |
1-3 | 2-5 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 02/09 | Gzira United Malta Premier League |
0-0 | 4-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 29/08 | Hamrun Spartans Malta Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 21/08 | Sliema Wanderers Malta Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 14/08 | Birzebbuga Malta Premier League |
1-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 16/05 | Marsaxlokk FC Malta Premier League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 09/05 | Valletta Malta Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 30/04 | Gzira United Malta Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
Mosta FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/10 | Gzira United Malta Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 8 | D |
| 09/10 | Birzebbuga Malta Premier League |
0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 13/09 | Sliema Wanderers Malta Premier League |
0-2 | 1-3 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 05/09 | Marsaxlokk FC Malta Premier League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 30/08 | Birkirkara Malta Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 23/08 | Balzan FC Malta Premier League |
2-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 17/08 | Hamrun Spartans Malta Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 10/05 | Naxxar Lions Malta Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 30/04 | Birkirkara Malta Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | D |
| 24/04 | Hibernians Malta Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Floriana vs Mosta FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Floriana win (54%). Probabilities: Floriana 54%, draw 25%, Mosta FC 21%.
How many goals are expected in Floriana vs Mosta FC?
The model expects 2.79 goals (Floriana 1.76 · Mosta FC 1.03), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Floriana vs Mosta FC?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.