Football · Uruguay Torneo Intermedio · 11/07, 00:00

Prediction: Deportivo Maldonado vs Albion FC

Expected goals: 2.62 (Deportivo Maldonado 1.38 · Albion FC 1.24). The model gives 39% home, 29% draw, 32% away. Under 2.5 goals (52%) and both teams to score (54%). Most likely score: 1-1.

Recent form leaves Deportivo Maldonado with 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses over 10 games; Albion FC has piled up 6-2-2 in the same span. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings the record reads 2 wins for Deportivo Maldonado and 3 for Albion FC, with 1 draw.

39%1
39% 29% 32%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Deportivo Maldonado 1571 · Albion FC 1551
Deportivo MaldonadoDrawAlbion FC
Our model39%29%32%
Market39%29%32%
Estimated total (ours) 2.62 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Expected goals2.62Deportivo Maldonado 1.38 · Albion FC 1.24
Over / Under 2.5Under 2.5 · 52%
BTTSYes · 54%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Albion FC: 3-1-2.
  • Cards-heavy: 11.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Deportivo MaldonadoAlbion FC
Goals for / against (FT)2.2 / 11.8 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)1 / 0.71 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/60/10%40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)2.3 / 4.91.7 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)6 / 0.55.3 / 0.8

Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportivo Maldonado 213 Albion FC

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DateHomeScoreAway
25/04/26
Uruguay Apertura
Deportivo Maldonado1-2
HT 1-1
Albion FC
14/09/25
Uruguay Segunda
Albion FC1-0
HT 1-0
Deportivo Maldonado
22/06/25
Uruguay Segunda
Deportivo Maldonado0-1
HT 0-1
Albion FC
24/10/22
Uruguay Clausura
Albion FC1-3
HT 1-1
Deportivo Maldonado
15/07/22
Uruguay Torneo Intermedio
Albion FC2-3
HT 2-1
Deportivo Maldonado
04/06/22
Uruguay Apertura
Deportivo Maldonado0-0
HT 0-0
Albion FC

Standings · Uruguay Torneo Intermedio · Primera Division 2026, Torneo Intermedio, Group B

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Deportivo Maldonado 4310 11410
2 Nacional De Football 4301 559
3 Montevideo Wanderers 4130 636
4 Torque 4202 786
5 Albion FC 4112 344
6 Juventud De Las Piedras 3102 573
7 Club Atletico Progreso 4103 473
8 Danubio 3012 251

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentDeportivo MaldonadoAlbion FC
Torque 4-2 W 1-2 L
Nacional De Football 3-0 W 0-1 L
Montevideo Wanderers 1-1 D 0-0 D
Danubio 3-1 W 1-0 W
Record vs common 3 W 1 D 0 L 1 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Deportivo Maldonado (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Deportivo Maldonado

WWDLWWWDWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
06/06 Torque
Uruguay Torneo Intermedio
2-1 4-2 15 W
31/05 Nacional De Football
Uruguay Torneo Intermedio
0-0 3-0 77 W
24/05 Montevideo Wanderers
Uruguay Torneo Intermedio
1-1 1-1 64 D
18/05 Danubio
Uruguay Torneo Intermedio
2-0 3-1 49 W
11/05 Boston River
Uruguay Apertura
1-1 2-1 74 W
02/05 Cerro
Uruguay Apertura
0-0 1-0 116 W
25/04 Albion FC
Uruguay Apertura
1-1 1-2 26 L
19/04 Danubio
Uruguay Apertura
0-1 1-1 75 D
12/04 Nacional De Football
Uruguay Apertura
2-2 4-2 39 W
05/04 Liverpool Montevideo
Uruguay Apertura
1-0 2-0 110 W

Albion FC

DWWWWWDLLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
07/06 Club Atletico Progreso
Uruguay Torneo Intermedio
2-0 2-1 46 W
31/05 Torque
Uruguay Torneo Intermedio
1-2 1-2 49 L
23/05 Nacional De Football
Uruguay Torneo Intermedio
0-0 0-1 012 L
17/05 Montevideo Wanderers
Uruguay Torneo Intermedio
0-0 0-0 33 D
09/05 Danubio
Uruguay Apertura
1-0 1-0 57 W
04/05 Nacional De Football
Uruguay Apertura
3-1 3-2 13 W
25/04 Deportivo Maldonado
Uruguay Apertura
1-1 2-1 56 W
18/04 Central Espanol
Uruguay Apertura
0-1 6-1 74 W
11/04 Torque
Uruguay Apertura
1-0 1-0 54 W
05/04 Cerro Largo
Uruguay Apertura
1-1 2-2 67 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Deportivo Maldonado vs Albion FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Deportivo Maldonado win (39%). Probabilities: Deportivo Maldonado 39%, draw 29%, Albion FC 32%.

How many goals are expected in Deportivo Maldonado vs Albion FC?

The model expects 2.62 goals (Deportivo Maldonado 1.38 · Albion FC 1.24), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Deportivo Maldonado vs Albion FC?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.