Football · Malta Premier League · 17/10, 15:30

Prediction: Valletta vs Sliema Wanderers

Team pages: Valletta · Sliema Wanderers

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.6Total

Valletta1.65

Sliema Wanderers0.94

1X2

53% 27% 20%

Valletta Draw Sliema Wanderers

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Valletta 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WDLWWLWDWW

Sliema Wanderers 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

DDLLLWWWDD

Head-to-head

Valletta 1–2–3 Sliema Wanderers (6 last)

Valletta0-1Sliema Wanderers
Valletta1-2Sliema Wanderers
Sliema Wanderers1-3Valletta
Sliema Wanderers1-1Valletta
Valletta1-1Sliema Wanderers
Sliema Wanderers1-0Valletta

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Valletta 1549 · Sliema Wanderers 1537

	Valletta	Draw	Sliema Wanderers
Our model	53%	27%	20%
Market	53%	28%	20%

Estimated total (ours) 2.6 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Sliema Wanderers: 3-2-1.
High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Valletta	Sliema Wanderers
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 0.9	1.2 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.8	0.7 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/30/40%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 5	2.3 / 5.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5 / 0.1	4.8 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

11.70

X3.25

24.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.98

2 (+0.75)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 2.252.00

Under 2.251.80

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 2.65

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 19:39

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.30 → 1.70▼	Pinn 1.83 ★
X	3.10 → 3.25▲	Bet365 3.25
2	2.88 → 4.50▲	Bet365 4.50

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 11.8% Pinnacle margin 13.3%

Time*	1	X	2
13:07 +9’	2.30	3.10	2.88
13:43 +8’	1.85▼	3.25▲	3.80▲
19:32 +7’	1.70▼	3.25	4.50▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
16:12	1.94	3.01	3.77
18:57 +42’	1.83▼	3.03▲	3.92▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Valletta 1–2–3 Sliema Wanderers

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
21/02/26 Malta Premier League	Valletta	0-1 HT 0-0	Sliema Wanderers
14/12/25 Malta Premier League	Valletta	1-2 HT 1-0	Sliema Wanderers
08/12/25 Malta Jubilee Cup	Sliema Wanderers	1-3 HT 0-1	Valletta
21/09/25 Malta Premier League	Sliema Wanderers	1-1 HT 0-0	Valletta
03/02/24 Malta Premier League	Valletta	1-1 HT 0-0	Sliema Wanderers
24/09/23 Malta Premier League	Sliema Wanderers	1-0 HT 0-0	Valletta

Standings · Malta Premier League

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Valletta	7	5	1	1	17	6	16
2	Marsaxlokk FC	7	4	2	1	13	10	14
3	Floriana	7	4	2	1	17	8	14
4	Mosta FC	7	3	3	1	10	8	12
5	Hamrun Spartans	7	3	2	2	11	8	11
6	Sliema Wanderers	7	3	2	2	8	8	11
7	Balzan FC	7	2	4	1	10	7	10
8	Birkirkara	7	3	1	3	9	6	10
9	Hibernians	7	1	3	3	6	11	6
10	Saint Patrick FC Zabbar	7	1	2	4	6	11	5
11	Gzira United	7	0	3	4	4	15	3
12	Birzebbuga	7	0	1	6	3	16	1

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Valletta	Sliema Wanderers
Birkirkara	2-0 W	2-1 W
Birzebbuga	3-0 W	2-1 W
Balzan FC	2-2 D	0-0 D
Hibernians	2-0 W	0-2 L
Gzira United	3-0 W	1-1 D
Saint Patrick FC Zabbar	4-2 W	1-1 D
Floriana	0-0 D	0-2 L
Record vs common	5 W 2 D 0 L	2 W 3 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Valletta (6 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Valletta

WDLWWLWDWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Birkirkara Malta Premier League	1-0	2-0	3	9	W
19/09	Birzebbuga Malta Premier League	1-0	3-0	6	1	W
13/09	Balzan FC Malta Premier League	1-2	2-2	10	10	D
02/09	Hibernians Malta Premier League	1-0	2-0	3	2	W
28/08	Marsaxlokk FC Malta Premier League	0-2	1-2	7	6	L
23/08	Gzira United Malta Premier League	0-0	3-0	–	–	W
16/08	Saint Patrick FC Zabbar Malta Premier League	1-2	4-2	–	–	W
15/05	Hamrun Spartans Malta Premier League	0-2	0-2	1	3	L
09/05	Floriana Malta Premier League	0-0	0-0	7	5	D
02/05	Hamrun Spartans Malta Premier League	0-0	2-1	3	5	W

Sliema Wanderers

DDLLLWWWDD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	Gzira United Malta Premier League	1-1	1-1	6	8	D
20/09	Balzan FC Malta Premier League	0-0	0-0	4	5	D
13/09	Mosta FC Malta Premier League	2-0	3-1	5	1	W
06/09	Birkirkara Malta Premier League	1-0	2-1	6	6	W
30/08	Birzebbuga Malta Premier League	1-0	2-1	7	7	W
21/08	Floriana Malta Premier League	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
16/08	Hibernians Malta Premier League	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
30/04	Tarxien Rainbows FC Malta Premier League	1-1	1-2	5	6	L
26/04	Saint Patrick FC Zabbar Malta Premier League	1-1	1-1	5	7	D
19/04	Mosta FC Malta Premier League	0-1	2-2	7	2	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Valletta vs Sliema Wanderers?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Valletta win (53%). Probabilities: Valletta 53%, draw 27%, Sliema Wanderers 20%.

How many goals are expected in Valletta vs Sliema Wanderers?

The model expects 2.6 goals (Valletta 1.65 · Sliema Wanderers 0.94), with a 52% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Valletta vs Sliema Wanderers?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.