Football · Denmark Division 3 · 06/11, 19:00

Prediction: Sundby vs FC Helsingor

Team pages: Sundby · FC Helsingor

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.89Total

Sundby1.39

FC Helsingor1.5

1X2

35% 26% 39%

Sundby Draw FC Helsingor

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Sundby 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

LWLWWLLWWL

FC Helsingor 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WLWDWLWLDW

Head-to-head

Sundby 0–2 FC Helsingor (2 last)

FC Helsingor2-1Sundby
FC Helsingor1-0Sundby

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sundby 1493 · FC Helsingor 1518

	Sundby	Draw	FC Helsingor
Our model	34%	27%	39%
Market	35%	25%	40%

Estimated total (ours) 2.89 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours FC Helsingor: 2-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Sundby	FC Helsingor
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.3	1.5 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.6	0.8 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/60/20%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 4.9	2.1 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.4 / 0.1	3.9 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.55

X3.60

22.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)2.02

2 (0)1.77

Line ⓘ

Over 32.02

Under 31.77

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 11:06

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.55 → 2.55	Bet365 2.55
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	2.25 → 2.25	Bet365 2.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
11:05 +1’	2.55	3.60	2.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Sundby 0–0–2 FC Helsingor

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Date	Home	Score	Away
13/09/26 Denmark Division 3	FC Helsingor	2-1 HT 2-1	Sundby
23/07/25 Europe Friendlies	FC Helsingor	1-0 HT 1-0	Sundby

Standings · Denmark Division 3

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Holbæk	14	9	2	3	32	20	29
2	Bronshoj BK	14	8	4	2	29	17	28
3	Vanløse	14	7	6	1	20	11	27
4	FC Helsingor	14	7	3	4	22	17	24
5	Horsholm-Usserod IK	14	6	4	4	32	24	22
6	Næsby	14	5	3	6	24	22	18
7	Ishoj	14	5	3	6	17	22	18
8	ASA Aarhus	14	5	2	7	18	21	17
9	Sundby	14	5	1	8	23	24	16
10	Frem	14	3	6	5	23	23	15
11	Holstebro	14	4	1	9	18	37	13
12	Ringsted IF	14	1	3	10	17	37	6

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Sundby	FC Helsingor
Horsholm-Usserod IK	2-3 L	1-3 L
Bronshoj BK	3-1 W	1-2 L
ASA Aarhus	2-1 W	2-1 W
Ishoj	2-3 L	0-1 L
Frem	3-0 W	1-1 D
Ringsted IF	0-2 L	1-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 3 L	2 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Sundby (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sundby

LWLWWLLWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Horsholm-Usserod IK Denmark Division 3	1-1	2-3	1	3	L
23/10	Bronshoj BK Denmark Division 3	1-1	3-1	1	3	W
17/10	ASA Aarhus Denmark Division 3	1-0	2-1	3	2	W
09/10	Ishoj Denmark Division 3	1-1	2-3	6	5	L
03/10	Vanløse Denmark Division 3	0-0	0-1	6	4	L
26/09	Frem Denmark Division 3	1-0	3-0	5	5	W
19/09	Holstebro Denmark Division 3	0-0	2-0	11	2	W
13/09	FC Helsingor Denmark Division 3	1-2	1-2	6	7	L
05/09	ASA Aarhus Denmark Division 3	0-0	1-0	5	1	W
29/08	Ringsted IF Denmark Division 3	0-1	0-2	–	–	L

FC Helsingor

WLWDWLWLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/10	Ringsted IF Denmark Division 3	0-0	1-0	4	3	W
23/10	Frem Denmark Division 3	0-0	1-1	6	3	D
17/10	Ishoj Denmark Division 3	0-1	0-1	4	3	L
10/10	ASA Aarhus Denmark Division 3	1-0	2-1	1	3	W
03/10	Horsholm-Usserod IK Denmark Division 3	0-1	1-3	9	5	L
25/09	Holbæk Denmark Division 3	4-0	5-1	4	5	W
19/09	Næsby Denmark Division 3	0-0	1-1	2	4	D
13/09	Sundby Denmark Division 3	2-1	2-1	5	7	W
04/09	Bronshoj BK Denmark Division 3	0-0	1-2	4	2	L
28/08	Ishoj Denmark Division 3	1-0	1-0	4	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sundby vs FC Helsingor?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Helsingor win (39%). Probabilities: Sundby 35%, draw 26%, FC Helsingor 39%.

How many goals are expected in Sundby vs FC Helsingor?

The model expects 2.89 goals (Sundby 1.39 · FC Helsingor 1.5), with a 55% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Sundby vs FC Helsingor?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.