Football · Denmark Division 3 · 14/11, 13:00

Prediction: Ishoj vs Sundby

Team pages: Ishoj · Sundby

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.28Total

Ishoj1.78

Sundby1.5

1X2

44% 25% 32%

Ishoj Draw Sundby

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Ishoj 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

LLWWDWWDWL

Sundby 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WLWWLLWWLD

Head-to-head

Ishoj 1–1–0 Sundby (2 last)

Sundby2-3Ishoj
Ishoj1-1Sundby

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ishoj 1516 · Sundby 1497

	Ishoj	Draw	Sundby
Our model	43%	25%	32%
Market	44%	24%	32%

Estimated total (ours) 3.28 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Ishoj	Sundby
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1.6	1.7 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.8	0.7 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	20/70/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 4.6	2.2 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.2 / 0.3	3.6 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.05

X3.70

22.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.88

2 (+0.25)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 31.90

Under 31.90

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 3.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 19:06

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.05 → 2.05	Bet365 2.05
X	3.70 → 3.70	Bet365 3.70
2	2.80 → 2.80	Bet365 2.80

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
18:57 +10’	2.05	3.70	2.80

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Ishoj 1–1–0 Sundby

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Date	Home	Score	Away
09/10/26 Denmark Division 3	Sundby	2-3 HT 1-1	Ishoj
25/01/25 Europe Friendlies	Ishoj	1-1 HT 0-1	Sundby

Standings · Denmark Division 3

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Bronshoj BK	15	9	4	2	31	18	31
2	Holbæk	15	9	2	4	33	22	29
3	Vanløse	15	7	6	2	21	13	27
4	Horsholm-Usserod IK	15	7	4	4	34	25	25
5	FC Helsingor	15	7	4	4	23	18	25
6	Næsby	15	6	3	6	29	23	21
7	Frem	15	4	6	5	26	24	18
8	Ishoj	15	5	3	7	18	25	18
9	Sundby	15	5	2	8	24	25	17
10	ASA Aarhus	15	5	2	8	19	26	17
11	Holstebro	15	5	1	9	20	38	16
12	Ringsted IF	15	1	3	11	18	39	6

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Ishoj	Sundby
Frem	1-3 L	3-0 W
Holstebro	3-0 W	2-0 W
FC Helsingor	1-0 W	1-1 D
Vanløse	0-1 L	0-1 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 2 L	2 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Ishoj (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ishoj

LLWWDWWDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Frem Denmark Division 3	1-1	1-3	3	3	L
31/10	Holstebro Denmark Division 3	1-0	3-0	6	4	W
24/10	Ringsted IF Denmark Division 3	0-1	1-1	2	3	D
17/10	FC Helsingor Denmark Division 3	1-0	1-0	6	3	W
09/10	Sundby Denmark Division 3	1-1	3-2	4	5	W
03/10	Ringsted IF Denmark Division 3	1-1	2-2	6	3	D
26/09	Holstebro Denmark Division 3	0-0	3-1	4	1	W
19/09	Frem Denmark Division 3	1-2	3-2	6	3	W
13/09	Vanløse Denmark Division 3	0-1	0-1	7	7	L
05/09	Holbæk Denmark Division 3	0-1	0-4	2	3	L

Sundby

WLWWLLWWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/11	FC Helsingor Denmark Division 3	1-1	1-1	3	5	D
31/10	Horsholm-Usserod IK Denmark Division 3	1-1	2-3	1	3	L
23/10	Bronshoj BK Denmark Division 3	1-1	3-1	1	3	W
17/10	ASA Aarhus Denmark Division 3	1-0	2-1	3	2	W
09/10	Ishoj Denmark Division 3	1-1	2-3	6	5	L
03/10	Vanløse Denmark Division 3	0-0	0-1	6	4	L
26/09	Frem Denmark Division 3	1-0	3-0	5	5	W
19/09	Holstebro Denmark Division 3	0-0	2-0	11	2	W
13/09	FC Helsingor Denmark Division 3	1-2	1-2	6	7	L
05/09	ASA Aarhus Denmark Division 3	0-0	1-0	5	1	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ishoj vs Sundby?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Ishoj win (44%). Probabilities: Ishoj 44%, draw 25%, Sundby 32%.

How many goals are expected in Ishoj vs Sundby?

The model expects 3.28 goals (Ishoj 1.78 · Sundby 1.5), with a 52% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Ishoj vs Sundby?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.