Prediction: ASA Aarhus vs Holbæk
Team pages: ASA Aarhus · Holbæk
- Holbæk2-1ASA Aarhus
| ASA Aarhus | Draw | Holbæk | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 25% | 24% | 51% |
| Market | 26% | 23% | 51% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Holbæk (rating 1440 vs 1510).
- Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| ASA Aarhus | Holbæk | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 2.1 | 2 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.8 | 0.8 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/30/50% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 4.1 | 1.2 / 3.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0.1 | 4.6 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · ASA Aarhus 0–0–1 Holbæk
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10/26 Denmark Division 3 | Holbæk | 2-1 HT 1-0 | ASA Aarhus |
Standings · Denmark Division 3
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bronshoj BK | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 31 | 18 | 31 |
| 2 | Holbæk | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 33 | 22 | 29 |
| 3 | Vanløse | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 21 | 13 | 27 |
| 4 | Horsholm-Usserod IK | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 34 | 25 | 25 |
| 5 | FC Helsingor | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 18 | 25 |
| 6 | Næsby | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 29 | 23 | 21 |
| 7 | Frem | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 26 | 24 | 18 |
| 8 | Ishoj | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 18 | 25 | 18 |
| 9 | Sundby | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 24 | 25 | 17 |
| 10 | ASA Aarhus | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 26 | 17 |
| 11 | Holstebro | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 20 | 38 | 16 |
| 12 | Ringsted IF | 15 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 18 | 39 | 6 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | ASA Aarhus | Holbæk |
|---|---|---|
| Næsby | 1-5 L | 2-1 W |
| Vanløse | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| FC Helsingor | 1-2 L | 1-5 L |
| Horsholm-Usserod IK | 2-1 W | 1-3 L |
| Bronshoj BK | 1-5 L | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 4 L | 1 W 0 D 4 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
ASA Aarhus
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11 | Næsby Denmark Division 3 |
0-2 | 1-5 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 31/10 | Frem Denmark Division 3 |
1-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 24/10 | Vanløse Denmark Division 3 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 17/10 | Sundby Denmark Division 3 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 10/10 | FC Helsingor Denmark Division 3 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 03/10 | Holbæk Denmark Division 3 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 26/09 | Horsholm-Usserod IK Denmark Division 3 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 19/09 | Bronshoj BK Denmark Division 3 |
1-1 | 1-5 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 13/09 | Næsby Denmark Division 3 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 05/09 | Sundby Denmark Division 3 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 1 | L |
Holbæk
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/11 | Bronshoj BK Denmark Division 3 |
1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 31/10 | Vanløse Denmark Division 3 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 24/10 | Næsby Denmark Division 3 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 17/10 | Holstebro Denmark Division 3 |
1-0 | 4-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 10/10 | Vanløse Denmark Division 3 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 03/10 | ASA Aarhus Denmark Division 3 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 25/09 | FC Helsingor Denmark Division 3 |
0-4 | 1-5 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 18/09 | Ringsted IF Denmark Division 3 |
3-1 | 5-2 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 13/09 | Horsholm-Usserod IK Denmark Division 3 |
0-1 | 1-3 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 05/09 | Ishoj Denmark Division 3 |
1-0 | 4-0 | 0 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in ASA Aarhus vs Holbæk?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Holbæk win (51%). Probabilities: ASA Aarhus 25%, draw 24%, Holbæk 51%.
How many goals are expected in ASA Aarhus vs Holbæk?
The model expects 3.21 goals (ASA Aarhus 1.3 · Holbæk 1.91), with a 53% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in ASA Aarhus vs Holbæk?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.