Football · Denmark Division 3 · 13/11, 19:00

Prediction: FC Helsingor vs Holstebro

Team pages: FC Helsingor · Holstebro

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.34Total

FC Helsingor2.22

Holstebro1.12

1X2

62% 21% 18%

FC Helsingor Draw Holstebro

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

2-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Helsingor 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

LWDWLWLDWD

Holstebro 2-0-8 (W-D-L)

LWLLLLLLLW

Head-to-head

FC Helsingor 0–1 Holstebro (1 last)

Holstebro2-1FC Helsingor

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Helsingor 1504 · Holstebro 1419

	FC Helsingor	Draw	Holstebro
Our model	61%	21%	17%
Market	62%	20%	18%

Estimated total (ours) 3.34 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Helsingor (rating 1504 vs 1419).
Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Helsingor	Holstebro
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.2	0.9 / 2.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.4	0.4 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	10/40/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4.7	2.6 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.9 / 0.1	3.5 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.45

X4.50

25.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)1.98

2 (+1.25)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.95

Under 3.251.85

Diff.: 0 · xG: 3.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 19:04

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.45 → 1.45	Bet365 1.45
X	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50
2	5.00 → 5.00	Bet365 5.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
18:59 +6’	1.45	4.50	5.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Helsingor 0–0–1 Holstebro

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Date	Home	Score	Away
22/08/26 Denmark Division 3	Holstebro	2-1 HT 1-0	FC Helsingor

Standings · Denmark Division 3

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Bronshoj BK	15	9	4	2	31	18	31
2	Holbæk	15	9	2	4	33	22	29
3	Vanløse	15	7	6	2	21	13	27
4	Horsholm-Usserod IK	15	7	4	4	34	25	25
5	FC Helsingor	15	7	4	4	23	18	25
6	Næsby	15	6	3	6	29	23	21
7	Frem	15	4	6	5	26	24	18
8	Ishoj	15	5	3	7	18	25	18
9	Sundby	15	5	2	8	24	25	17
10	ASA Aarhus	15	5	2	8	19	26	17
11	Holstebro	15	5	1	9	20	38	16
12	Ringsted IF	15	1	3	11	18	39	6

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Helsingor	Holstebro
Sundby	1-1 D	0-2 L
Ringsted IF	1-0 W	2-1 W
Frem	1-1 D	3-2 W
Ishoj	0-1 L	0-3 L
Horsholm-Usserod IK	1-3 L	0-4 L
Holbæk	5-1 W	0-4 L
Næsby	1-1 D	0-4 L
Bronshoj BK	1-2 L	2-4 L
Record vs common	2 W 3 D 3 L	2 W 0 D 6 L

Better against common opponents: FC Helsingor (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Helsingor

LWDWLWLDWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/11	Sundby Denmark Division 3	1-1	1-1	8	5	D
30/10	Ringsted IF Denmark Division 3	0-0	1-0	4	3	W
23/10	Frem Denmark Division 3	0-0	1-1	6	3	D
17/10	Ishoj Denmark Division 3	0-1	0-1	4	3	L
10/10	ASA Aarhus Denmark Division 3	1-0	2-1	1	3	W
03/10	Horsholm-Usserod IK Denmark Division 3	0-1	1-3	9	5	L
25/09	Holbæk Denmark Division 3	4-0	5-1	4	5	W
19/09	Næsby Denmark Division 3	0-0	1-1	2	4	D
13/09	Sundby Denmark Division 3	2-1	2-1	5	7	W
04/09	Bronshoj BK Denmark Division 3	0-0	1-2	4	2	L

Holstebro

LWLLLLLLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Ringsted IF Denmark Division 3	1-0	2-1	7	8	W
31/10	Ishoj Denmark Division 3	0-1	0-3	1	4	L
24/10	Horsholm-Usserod IK Denmark Division 3	0-3	0-4	5	5	L
17/10	Holbæk Denmark Division 3	0-1	0-4	4	2	L
10/10	Bronshoj BK Denmark Division 3	2-2	2-4	0	4	L
03/10	Næsby Denmark Division 3	0-2	0-4	7	2	L
26/09	Ishoj Denmark Division 3	0-0	1-3	5	1	L
19/09	Sundby Denmark Division 3	0-0	0-2	6	2	L
13/09	Frem Denmark Division 3	0-0	3-2	8	1	W
05/09	Vanløse Denmark Division 3	1-2	1-2	7	6	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Helsingor vs Holstebro?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Helsingor win (62%). Probabilities: FC Helsingor 62%, draw 21%, Holstebro 18%.

How many goals are expected in FC Helsingor vs Holstebro?

The model expects 3.34 goals (FC Helsingor 2.22 · Holstebro 1.12), with a 51% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Helsingor vs Holstebro?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.