Football · Denmark Division 3 · 14/11, 14:00

Prediction: Bronshoj BK vs Vanløse

Team pages: Bronshoj BK · Vanløse

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.64Total

Bronshoj BK1.56

Vanløse1.09

1X2

48% 26% 26%

Bronshoj BK Draw Vanløse

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Bronshoj BK 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

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Vanløse 5-4-1 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Bronshoj BK 2–4–0 Vanløse (6 last)

Vanløse1-1Bronshoj BK
Bronshoj BK1-1Vanløse
Vanløse1-1Bronshoj BK
Vanløse0-0Bronshoj BK
Bronshoj BK3-2Vanløse
Vanløse0-1Bronshoj BK

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Bronshoj BK 1568 · Vanløse 1528

	Bronshoj BK	Draw	Vanløse
Our model	47%	28%	25%
Market	49%	24%	27%

Estimated total (ours) 2.64 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Bronshoj BK (rating 1568 vs 1528).
H2H favours Bronshoj BK: 2-4-0.
Cards-heavy: 8.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Bronshoj BK	Vanløse
Goals for / against (FT)	2.5 / 1.3	1.1 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)	1.2 / 0.7	0.5 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/60/0%	30/60/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 5.7	1.8 / 4.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.2 / 0	5.7 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.83

X3.70

23.30

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.88

2 (+0.5)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.85

Under 2.751.95

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 19:07

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.83 → 1.83	Bet365 1.83
X	3.70 → 3.70	Bet365 3.70
2	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
19:04 +4’	1.83	3.70	3.30

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Bronshoj BK 2–4–0 Vanløse

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Date	Home	Score	Away
26/09/26 Denmark Division 3	Vanløse	1-1 HT 1-1	Bronshoj BK
29/05/26 Denmark Division 3	Bronshoj BK	1-1 HT 0-0	Vanløse
18/04/26 Denmark Division 3	Vanløse	1-1 HT 0-1	Bronshoj BK
01/11/25 Denmark Division 3	Vanløse	0-0 HT 0-0	Bronshoj BK
10/10/25 Denmark Division 3	Bronshoj BK	3-2 HT 1-0	Vanløse
22/02/25 Europe Friendlies	Vanløse	0-1 HT 0-1	Bronshoj BK

Standings · Denmark Division 3

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Bronshoj BK	15	9	4	2	31	18	31
2	Holbæk	15	9	2	4	33	22	29
3	Vanløse	15	7	6	2	21	13	27
4	Horsholm-Usserod IK	15	7	4	4	34	25	25
5	FC Helsingor	15	7	4	4	23	18	25
6	Næsby	15	6	3	6	29	23	21
7	Frem	15	4	6	5	26	24	18
8	Ishoj	15	5	3	7	18	25	18
9	Sundby	15	5	2	8	24	25	17
10	ASA Aarhus	15	5	2	8	19	26	17
11	Holstebro	15	5	1	9	20	38	16
12	Ringsted IF	15	1	3	11	18	39	6

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Bronshoj BK	Vanløse
Holbæk	2-1 W	1-0 W
Næsby	2-1 W	2-2 D
Sundby	1-3 L	1-0 W
Holstebro	4-2 W	2-1 W
ASA Aarhus	5-1 W	1-0 W
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 1 L	4 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Bronshoj BK (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Bronshoj BK

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/11	Holbæk Denmark Division 3	2-1	2-1	4	5	W
31/10	Næsby Denmark Division 3	1-0	2-1	2	3	W
23/10	Sundby Denmark Division 3	1-1	1-3	12	3	L
17/10	Ringsted IF Denmark Division 3	2-0	4-1	5	1	W
10/10	Holstebro Denmark Division 3	2-2	4-2	5	4	W
03/10	Frem Denmark Division 3	1-1	1-1	7	1	D
26/09	Vanløse Denmark Division 3	1-1	1-1	4	7	D
19/09	ASA Aarhus Denmark Division 3	1-1	5-1	8	3	W
13/09	Ringsted IF Denmark Division 3	1-0	3-1	–	–	W
04/09	FC Helsingor Denmark Division 3	0-0	2-1	4	2	W

Vanløse

WWDDWDDWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Horsholm-Usserod IK Denmark Division 3	0-1	1-2	5	6	L
31/10	Holbæk Denmark Division 3	0-0	1-0	4	8	W
24/10	ASA Aarhus Denmark Division 3	0-0	1-0	5	6	W
17/10	Næsby Denmark Division 3	0-0	2-2	6	6	D
10/10	Holbæk Denmark Division 3	0-0	0-0	2	4	D
03/10	Sundby Denmark Division 3	0-0	1-0	6	4	W
26/09	Bronshoj BK Denmark Division 3	1-1	1-1	3	7	D
19/09	Horsholm-Usserod IK Denmark Division 3	1-0	1-1	–	–	D
13/09	Ishoj Denmark Division 3	1-0	1-0	1	7	W
05/09	Holstebro Denmark Division 3	2-1	2-1	5	6	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Bronshoj BK vs Vanløse?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Bronshoj BK win (48%). Probabilities: Bronshoj BK 48%, draw 26%, Vanløse 26%.

How many goals are expected in Bronshoj BK vs Vanløse?

The model expects 2.64 goals (Bronshoj BK 1.56 · Vanløse 1.09), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Bronshoj BK vs Vanløse?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.