Football · Denmark Division 3 · 10/10, 13:00

Prediction: Ringsted IF vs Horsholm-Usserod IK

Team pages: Ringsted IF · Horsholm-Usserod IK

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.68Total

Ringsted IF1.46

Horsholm-Usserod IK2.22

1X2

24% 22% 54%

Ringsted IF Draw Horsholm-Usserod IK

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-2 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Ringsted IF 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

DLLLWLLLLD

Horsholm-Usserod IK 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

LDWDLLWDLW

Head-to-head

Ringsted IF 2–1–2 Horsholm-Usserod IK (5 last)

Ringsted IF1-0Horsholm-Usserod IK
Horsholm-Usserod IK3-1Ringsted IF
Ringsted IF1-1Horsholm-Usserod IK
Horsholm-Usserod IK4-2Ringsted IF
Ringsted IF3-2Horsholm-Usserod IK

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ringsted IF 1410 · Horsholm-Usserod IK 1507

	Ringsted IF	Draw	Horsholm-Usserod IK
Our model	24%	22%	54%
Market	24%	23%	54%

Estimated total (ours) 3.68 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Horsholm-Usserod IK (rating 1410 vs 1507).
Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Ringsted IF	Horsholm-Usserod IK
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 2.7	2 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 1.1	0.9 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.3 / 4	1.3 / 2.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.8 / 0	4.8 / 0

Odds Bet365

13.80

X3.90

21.67

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.75)1.85

2 (-0.75)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.82

Under 3.251.98

Diff.: 0.7 · xG: 3.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:21

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
X	3.90 → 3.90	Bet365 3.90
2	1.67 → 1.67	Bet365 1.67

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12%

Time*	1	X	2
16:14 +6’	3.80	3.90	1.67

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Ringsted IF 2–1–2 Horsholm-Usserod IK

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/07/25 Europe Friendlies	Ringsted IF	1-0 HT 1-0	Horsholm-Usserod IK
26/10/24 Denmark Series Group 1	Horsholm-Usserod IK	3-1	Ringsted IF
23/08/24 Denmark Series Group 1	Ringsted IF	1-1	Horsholm-Usserod IK
23/03/24 Denmark Series Group 2	Horsholm-Usserod IK	4-2 HT 1-2	Ringsted IF
16/09/23 Denmark Series Group 2	Ringsted IF	3-2	Horsholm-Usserod IK

Standings · Denmark Division 3

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Holbæk	10	7	1	2	26	18	22
2	Bronshoj BK	9	5	3	1	17	9	18
3	FC Helsingor	9	5	2	2	17	11	17
4	Vanløse	9	4	4	1	15	9	16
5	ASA Aarhus	10	5	1	4	14	14	16
6	Næsby	9	4	2	3	16	14	14
7	Holstebro	9	4	1	4	16	18	13
8	Sundby	9	3	1	5	14	15	10
9	Horsholm-Usserod IK	9	2	3	4	17	18	9
10	Frem	9	2	2	5	16	18	8
11	Ishoj	10	2	2	6	9	19	8
12	Ringsted IF	10	1	2	7	13	27	5

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Ringsted IF	Horsholm-Usserod IK
Ishoj	2-2 D	2-0 W
Næsby	1-2 L	3-4 L
Holbæk	2-5 L	3-1 W
Bronshoj BK	1-3 L	0-2 L
Frem	2-5 L	1-1 D
Sundby	2-0 W	4-4 D
Vanløse	0-2 L	1-1 D
Holstebro	0-4 L	2-3 L
FC Helsingor	2-3 L	3-1 W
ASA Aarhus	1-1 D	1-2 L
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 7 L	3 W 3 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Horsholm-Usserod IK (6 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ringsted IF

DLLLWLLLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	Ishoj Denmark Division 3	1-1	2-2	6	3	D
26/09	Næsby Denmark Division 3	1-1	1-2	6	2	L
18/09	Holbæk Denmark Division 3	1-3	2-5	1	4	L
13/09	Bronshoj BK Denmark Division 3	0-1	1-3	–	–	L
04/09	Frem Denmark Division 3	1-3	2-5	3	2	L
29/08	Sundby Denmark Division 3	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
22/08	Vanløse Denmark Division 3	0-0	0-2	–	–	L
15/08	Holstebro Denmark Division 3	0-1	0-4	–	–	L
08/08	FC Helsingor Denmark Division 3	2-1	2-3	–	–	L
01/08	ASA Aarhus Denmark Division 3	0-0	1-1	–	–	D

Horsholm-Usserod IK

LDWDLLWDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	FC Helsingor Denmark Division 3	1-0	3-1	0	5	W
26/09	ASA Aarhus Denmark Division 3	0-1	1-2	5	5	L
19/09	Vanløse Denmark Division 3	0-1	1-1	–	–	D
13/09	Holbæk Denmark Division 3	1-0	3-1	3	4	W
05/09	Næsby Denmark Division 3	0-2	3-4	–	–	L
29/08	Bronshoj BK Denmark Division 3	0-0	0-2	1	5	L
22/08	Sundby Denmark Division 3	2-2	4-4	–	–	D
15/08	Ishoj Denmark Division 3	2-0	2-0	–	–	W
07/08	Frem Denmark Division 3	1-1	1-1	–	–	D
01/08	Holstebro Denmark Division 3	2-2	2-3	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ringsted IF vs Horsholm-Usserod IK?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Horsholm-Usserod IK win (54%). Probabilities: Ringsted IF 24%, draw 22%, Horsholm-Usserod IK 54%.

How many goals are expected in Ringsted IF vs Horsholm-Usserod IK?

The model expects 3.68 goals (Ringsted IF 1.46 · Horsholm-Usserod IK 2.22), with a 54% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Ringsted IF vs Horsholm-Usserod IK?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.