Football · Denmark Division 3 · 17/10, 14:00

Prediction: Bronshoj BK vs Ringsted IF

Team pages: Bronshoj BK · Ringsted IF

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.07Total

Bronshoj BK2.84

Ringsted IF1.22

1X2

70% 17% 13%

Bronshoj BK Draw Ringsted IF

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

2-1 8%

Recent form · 10 last

Bronshoj BK 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

WDLWWWWDDW

Ringsted IF 1-1-8 (W-D-L)

LLLWLLLLDL

Head-to-head

Bronshoj BK 2–1–0 Ringsted IF (3 last)

Ringsted IF1-3Bronshoj BK
Ringsted IF1-2Bronshoj BK
Bronshoj BK1-1Ringsted IF

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Bronshoj BK 1556 · Ringsted IF 1407

	Bronshoj BK	Draw	Ringsted IF
Our model	70%	17%	13%
Market	70%	17%	13%

Estimated total (ours) 4.07 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 77%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Bronshoj BK (rating 1556 vs 1407).
H2H favours Bronshoj BK: 2-1-0.
Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Bronshoj BK	Ringsted IF
Goals for / against (FT)	2.2 / 1.2	1.4 / 3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.7	0.9 / 1.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/70/10%	20/30/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 5.7	1.8 / 4.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.7 / 0	2.8 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.28

X5.25

27.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.75)1.95

2 (+1.75)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.90

Under 3.51.90

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 3.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:13

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.28 → 1.28	Bet365 1.28
X	5.25 → 5.25	Bet365 5.25
2	7.00 → 7.00	Bet365 7.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
17:05 +8’	1.28	5.25	7.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Bronshoj BK 2–1–0 Ringsted IF

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Date	Home	Score	Away
13/09/26 Denmark Division 3	Ringsted IF	1-3 HT 0-1	Bronshoj BK
06/08/24 Denmark Cup	Ringsted IF	1-2 HT 1-1	Bronshoj BK
29/01/22 Europe Friendlies	Bronshoj BK	1-1 HT 1-1	Ringsted IF

Standings · Denmark Division 3

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Holbæk	11	7	2	2	26	18	23
2	Bronshoj BK	11	6	4	1	22	12	22
3	Vanløse	11	5	5	1	16	9	20
4	FC Helsingor	11	6	2	3	20	15	20
5	Næsby	11	5	2	4	20	16	17
6	ASA Aarhus	11	5	1	5	15	16	16
7	Horsholm-Usserod IK	11	4	3	4	24	21	15
8	Holstebro	11	4	1	6	18	26	13
9	Frem	11	3	3	5	19	19	12
10	Ishoj	11	3	2	6	12	21	11
11	Sundby	11	3	1	7	16	19	10
12	Ringsted IF	11	1	2	8	15	31	5

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Bronshoj BK	Ringsted IF
Holstebro	4-2 W	0-4 L
Frem	1-1 D	2-5 L
Vanløse	1-1 D	0-2 L
FC Helsingor	2-1 W	2-3 L
Horsholm-Usserod IK	2-0 W	2-4 L
Holbæk	1-4 L	2-5 L
Næsby	0-0 D	1-2 L
Sundby	3-1 W	2-0 W
Record vs common	4 W 3 D 1 L	1 W 0 D 7 L

Better against common opponents: Bronshoj BK (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Bronshoj BK

WDLWWWWDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Holstebro Denmark Division 3	2-2	4-2	5	4	W
03/10	Frem Denmark Division 3	1-1	1-1	7	1	D
26/09	Vanløse Denmark Division 3	1-1	1-1	4	7	D
19/09	ASA Aarhus Denmark Division 3	1-1	5-1	8	3	W
13/09	Ringsted IF Denmark Division 3	1-0	3-1	–	–	W
04/09	FC Helsingor Denmark Division 3	0-0	2-1	4	2	W
29/08	Horsholm-Usserod IK Denmark Division 3	0-0	2-0	6	5	W
21/08	Holbæk Denmark Division 3	0-2	1-4	–	–	L
15/08	Næsby Denmark Division 3	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
08/08	Sundby Denmark Division 3	1-0	3-1	–	–	W

Ringsted IF

LLLWLLLLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Horsholm-Usserod IK Denmark Division 3	2-4	2-4	5	3	L
03/10	Ishoj Denmark Division 3	1-1	2-2	6	3	D
26/09	Næsby Denmark Division 3	1-1	1-2	6	2	L
18/09	Holbæk Denmark Division 3	1-3	2-5	1	4	L
13/09	Bronshoj BK Denmark Division 3	0-1	1-3	–	–	L
04/09	Frem Denmark Division 3	1-3	2-5	3	2	L
29/08	Sundby Denmark Division 3	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
22/08	Vanløse Denmark Division 3	0-0	0-2	–	–	L
15/08	Holstebro Denmark Division 3	0-1	0-4	–	–	L
08/08	FC Helsingor Denmark Division 3	2-1	2-3	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Bronshoj BK vs Ringsted IF?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Bronshoj BK win (70%). Probabilities: Bronshoj BK 70%, draw 17%, Ringsted IF 13%.

How many goals are expected in Bronshoj BK vs Ringsted IF?

The model expects 4.07 goals (Bronshoj BK 2.84 · Ringsted IF 1.22), with a 54% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Bronshoj BK vs Ringsted IF?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.