Football · Denmark Division 3 · 17/10, 14:00

Prediction: Horsholm-Usserod IK vs Frem

Team pages: Horsholm-Usserod IK · Frem

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.44Total
Horsholm-Usserod IK1.81
Frem1.63
1X2
42% 24% 34%
Horsholm-Usserod IK Draw Frem
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
1-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Horsholm-Usserod IK 4-3-3 (W-D-L)
DWDLLWDLWW
Frem 3-3-4 (W-D-L)
DLWDWLLLDW
Head-to-head
Horsholm-Usserod IK 1–1–1 Frem (3 last)
  • Frem1-1Horsholm-Usserod IK
  • Frem0-1Horsholm-Usserod IK
  • Horsholm-Usserod IK0-1Frem
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Horsholm-Usserod IK 1540 · Frem 1477
Horsholm-Usserod IKDrawFrem
Our model41%24%34%
Market42%24%35%
Estimated total (ours) 3.44 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Horsholm-Usserod IK (rating 1540 vs 1477).
  • Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Horsholm-Usserod IKFrem
Goals for / against (FT)2.2 / 1.81.8 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)1.1 / 0.91 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/30/30%40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)1.4 / 2.42.6 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.4 / 02.6 / 0.4

Head-to-head (H2H) · Horsholm-Usserod IK 1–1–1 Frem

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DateHomeScoreAway
07/08/26
Denmark Division 3
Frem1-1
HT 1-1
Horsholm-Usserod IK
18/10/25
Denmark Division 3
Frem0-1
HT 0-1
Horsholm-Usserod IK
27/09/25
Denmark Division 3
Horsholm-Usserod IK0-1
HT 0-0
Frem

Standings · Denmark Division 3

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Holbæk 11722 261823
2 Bronshoj BK 11641 221222
3 Vanløse 11551 16920
4 FC Helsingor 11623 201520
5 Næsby 11524 201617
6 ASA Aarhus 11515 151616
7 Horsholm-Usserod IK 11434 242115
8 Holstebro 11416 182613
9 Frem 11335 191912
10 Ishoj 11326 122111
11 Sundby 11317 161910
12 Ringsted IF 11128 15315

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentHorsholm-Usserod IKFrem
Ringsted IF 4-2 W 5-2 W
FC Helsingor 3-1 W 0-1 L
ASA Aarhus 1-2 L 3-1 W
Vanløse 1-1 D 2-2 D
Næsby 3-4 L 2-0 W
Bronshoj BK 0-2 L 1-1 D
Sundby 4-4 D 0-3 L
Ishoj 2-0 W 2-3 L
Record vs common 3 W 2 D 3 L 3 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Frem (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Horsholm-Usserod IK

DWDLLWDLWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
10/10 Ringsted IF
Denmark Division 3
4-2 4-2 33 W
03/10 FC Helsingor
Denmark Division 3
1-0 3-1 05 W
26/09 ASA Aarhus
Denmark Division 3
0-1 1-2 55 L
19/09 Vanløse
Denmark Division 3
0-1 1-1 –– D
13/09 Holbæk
Denmark Division 3
1-0 3-1 34 W
05/09 Næsby
Denmark Division 3
0-2 3-4 –– L
29/08 Bronshoj BK
Denmark Division 3
0-0 0-2 15 L
22/08 Sundby
Denmark Division 3
2-2 4-4 –– D
15/08 Ishoj
Denmark Division 3
2-0 2-0 –– W
07/08 Frem
Denmark Division 3
1-1 1-1 –– D

Frem

DLWDWLLLDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
10/10 Næsby
Denmark Division 3
1-0 2-0 56 W
03/10 Bronshoj BK
Denmark Division 3
1-1 1-1 11 D
26/09 Sundby
Denmark Division 3
0-1 0-3 45 L
19/09 Ishoj
Denmark Division 3
2-1 2-3 63 L
13/09 Holstebro
Denmark Division 3
0-0 2-3 51 L
04/09 Ringsted IF
Denmark Division 3
3-1 5-2 52 W
29/08 Vanløse
Denmark Division 3
0-2 2-2 63 D
22/08 ASA Aarhus
Denmark Division 3
2-0 3-1 –– W
14/08 FC Helsingor
Denmark Division 3
0-0 0-1 –– L
07/08 Horsholm-Usserod IK
Denmark Division 3
1-1 1-1 –– D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Horsholm-Usserod IK vs Frem?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Horsholm-Usserod IK win (42%). Probabilities: Horsholm-Usserod IK 42%, draw 24%, Frem 34%.

How many goals are expected in Horsholm-Usserod IK vs Frem?

The model expects 3.44 goals (Horsholm-Usserod IK 1.81 · Frem 1.63), with a 50% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Horsholm-Usserod IK vs Frem?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.