Football · Denmark Division 3 · 17/10, 15:00

Prediction: ASA Aarhus vs Sundby

Team pages: ASA Aarhus · Sundby

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.1Total
ASA Aarhus1.88
Sundby1.23
1X2
52% 24% 24%
ASA Aarhus Draw Sundby
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
ASA Aarhus 5-0-5 (W-D-L)
WWLWLWLWLL
Sundby 3-1-6 (W-D-L)
LLDLWLWWLL
Head-to-head
ASA Aarhus 0–1 Sundby (1 last)
  • Sundby1-0ASA Aarhus
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · ASA Aarhus 1484 · Sundby 1456
ASA AarhusDrawSundby
Our model52%25%24%
Market52%24%24%
Estimated total (ours) 3.1 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

ASA AarhusSundby
Goals for / against (FT)1.4 / 1.51.5 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 0.60.5 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/20/40%10/60/30%
Corners (HT / FT)1.4 / 2.93 / 6.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.6 / 03.8 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · ASA Aarhus 0–0–1 Sundby

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DateHomeScoreAway
05/09/26
Denmark Division 3
Sundby1-0
HT 0-0
ASA Aarhus

Standings · Denmark Division 3

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Holbæk 11722 261823
2 Bronshoj BK 11641 221222
3 Vanløse 11551 16920
4 FC Helsingor 11623 201520
5 Næsby 11524 201617
6 ASA Aarhus 11515 151616
7 Horsholm-Usserod IK 11434 242115
8 Holstebro 11416 182613
9 Frem 11335 191912
10 Ishoj 11326 122111
11 Sundby 11317 161910
12 Ringsted IF 11128 15315

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentASA AarhusSundby
FC Helsingor 1-2 L 1-2 L
Holbæk 1-2 L 1-2 L
Horsholm-Usserod IK 2-1 W 4-4 D
Bronshoj BK 1-5 L 1-3 L
Holstebro 4-0 W 2-0 W
Frem 1-3 L 3-0 W
Vanløse 2-1 W 0-1 L
Ishoj 1-0 W 2-3 L
Record vs common 4 W 0 D 4 L 2 W 1 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: ASA Aarhus (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

ASA Aarhus

WWLWLWLWLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
10/10 FC Helsingor
Denmark Division 3
0-1 1-2 63 L
03/10 Holbæk
Denmark Division 3
0-1 1-2 38 L
26/09 Horsholm-Usserod IK
Denmark Division 3
1-0 2-1 15 W
19/09 Bronshoj BK
Denmark Division 3
1-1 1-5 13 L
13/09 Næsby
Denmark Division 3
1-0 1-0 23 W
05/09 Sundby
Denmark Division 3
0-0 0-1 71 L
28/08 Holstebro
Denmark Division 3
2-0 4-0 33 W
22/08 Frem
Denmark Division 3
0-2 1-3 –– L
15/08 Vanløse
Denmark Division 3
0-1 2-1 –– W
11/08 Ishoj
Denmark Division 3
1-0 1-0 03 W

Sundby

LLDLWLWWLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
09/10 Ishoj
Denmark Division 3
1-1 2-3 65 L
03/10 Vanløse
Denmark Division 3
0-0 0-1 64 L
26/09 Frem
Denmark Division 3
1-0 3-0 55 W
19/09 Holstebro
Denmark Division 3
0-0 2-0 112 W
13/09 FC Helsingor
Denmark Division 3
1-2 1-2 67 L
05/09 ASA Aarhus
Denmark Division 3
0-0 1-0 51 W
29/08 Ringsted IF
Denmark Division 3
0-1 0-2 –– L
22/08 Horsholm-Usserod IK
Denmark Division 3
2-2 4-4 –– D
15/08 Holbæk
Denmark Division 3
0-0 1-2 –– L
08/08 Bronshoj BK
Denmark Division 3
0-1 1-3 –– L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in ASA Aarhus vs Sundby?

According to our model, the most likely result is a ASA Aarhus win (52%). Probabilities: ASA Aarhus 52%, draw 24%, Sundby 24%.

How many goals are expected in ASA Aarhus vs Sundby?

The model expects 3.1 goals (ASA Aarhus 1.88 · Sundby 1.23), with a 52% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in ASA Aarhus vs Sundby?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.