Football · Denmark Division 3 · 10/10, 14:00

Prediction: Frem vs Næsby

Team pages: Frem · Næsby

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.45Total

Frem1.73

Næsby1.73

1X2

38% 24% 38%

Frem Draw Næsby

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Frem 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

LDLWDWLLLD

Næsby 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WLDWLWLDWW

Head-to-head

Frem 2–1–3 Næsby (6 last)

Næsby3-2Frem
Frem1-2Næsby
Frem5-3Næsby
Næsby1-4Frem
Frem0-0Næsby
Næsby4-2Frem

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Frem 1467 · Næsby 1535

	Frem	Draw	Næsby
Our model	38%	24%	38%
Market	38%	23%	38%

Estimated total (ours) 3.45 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Næsby (rating 1467 vs 1535).
H2H favours Næsby: 3-1-2.
High corners: 11.1 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 4.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Frem	Næsby
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1.9	2 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.8	1.1 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 4.5	3 / 6.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.3 / 0.2	2.6 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.35

X3.90

22.35

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.90

2 (0)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.82

Under 3.251.98

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 3.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:27

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.35 → 2.35	Bet365 2.35
X	3.90 → 3.90	Bet365 3.90
2	2.35 → 2.35	Bet365 2.35

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.7%

Time*	1	X	2
15:42 +45’	2.35	3.90	2.35

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Frem 2–1–3 Næsby

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Date	Home	Score	Away
06/04/26 Denmark Division 3	Næsby	3-2 HT 1-1	Frem
16/08/25 Denmark Division 3	Frem	1-2 HT 0-2	Næsby
15/06/24 Denmark Division 3	Frem	5-3 HT 1-1	Næsby
13/04/24 Denmark Division 3	Næsby	1-4 HT 1-3	Frem
28/10/23 Denmark Division 3	Frem	0-0 HT 0-0	Næsby
05/08/23 Denmark Division 3	Næsby	4-2 HT 2-1	Frem

Standings · Denmark Division 3

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Holbæk	10	7	1	2	26	18	22
2	Bronshoj BK	9	5	3	1	17	9	18
3	FC Helsingor	9	5	2	2	17	11	17
4	Vanløse	9	4	4	1	15	9	16
5	ASA Aarhus	10	5	1	4	14	14	16
6	Næsby	9	4	2	3	16	14	14
7	Holstebro	9	4	1	4	16	18	13
8	Sundby	9	3	1	5	14	15	10
9	Horsholm-Usserod IK	9	2	3	4	17	18	9
10	Frem	9	2	2	5	16	18	8
11	Ishoj	10	2	2	6	9	19	8
12	Ringsted IF	10	1	2	7	13	27	5

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Frem	Næsby
Bronshoj BK	1-1 D	0-0 D
Sundby	0-3 L	2-1 W
Ishoj	2-3 L	5-1 W
Holstebro	2-3 L	4-0 W
Ringsted IF	5-2 W	2-1 W
Vanløse	2-2 D	0-3 L
ASA Aarhus	3-1 W	0-1 L
FC Helsingor	0-1 L	1-1 D
Horsholm-Usserod IK	1-1 D	4-3 W
Holbæk	1-2 L	2-3 L
Record vs common	2 W 3 D 5 L	5 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Næsby (5 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Frem

LDLWDWLLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	Bronshoj BK Denmark Division 3	1-1	1-1	1	1	D
26/09	Sundby Denmark Division 3	0-1	0-3	4	5	L
19/09	Ishoj Denmark Division 3	2-1	2-3	6	3	L
13/09	Holstebro Denmark Division 3	0-0	2-3	5	1	L
04/09	Ringsted IF Denmark Division 3	3-1	5-2	5	2	W
29/08	Vanløse Denmark Division 3	0-2	2-2	6	3	D
22/08	ASA Aarhus Denmark Division 3	2-0	3-1	–	–	W
14/08	FC Helsingor Denmark Division 3	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
07/08	Horsholm-Usserod IK Denmark Division 3	1-1	1-1	–	–	D
01/08	Holbæk Denmark Division 3	0-1	1-2	–	–	L

Næsby

WLDWLWLDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	Holstebro Denmark Division 3	2-0	4-0	5	2	W
26/09	Ringsted IF Denmark Division 3	1-1	2-1	5	2	W
19/09	FC Helsingor Denmark Division 3	0-0	1-1	13	4	D
13/09	ASA Aarhus Denmark Division 3	0-1	0-1	3	3	L
05/09	Horsholm-Usserod IK Denmark Division 3	2-0	4-3	–	–	W
29/08	Holbæk Denmark Division 3	2-2	2-3	7	2	L
22/08	Ishoj Denmark Division 3	2-0	5-1	–	–	W
15/08	Bronshoj BK Denmark Division 3	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
08/08	Vanløse Denmark Division 3	0-2	0-3	–	–	L
01/08	Sundby Denmark Division 3	2-0	2-1	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Frem vs Næsby?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Frem win (38%). Probabilities: Frem 38%, draw 24%, Næsby 38%.

How many goals are expected in Frem vs Næsby?

The model expects 3.45 goals (Frem 1.73 · Næsby 1.73), with a 52% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Frem vs Næsby?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.