Football · Denmark Division 3 · 23/10, 18:30

Prediction: Frem vs FC Helsingor

Team pages: Frem · FC Helsingor

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.13Total

Frem1.58

FC Helsingor1.55

1X2

38% 25% 37%

Frem Draw FC Helsingor

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Frem 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

LWDWLLLDWD

FC Helsingor 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WLWLWDWLWL

Head-to-head

Frem 0–2–4 FC Helsingor (6 last)

FC Helsingor1-0Frem
FC Helsingor1-0Frem
Frem1-1FC Helsingor
FC Helsingor1-1Frem
Frem2-3FC Helsingor
Frem2-4FC Helsingor

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Frem 1490 · FC Helsingor 1495

	Frem	Draw	FC Helsingor
Our model	38%	26%	36%
Market	38%	25%	37%

Estimated total (ours) 3.13 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours FC Helsingor: 4-2-0.
Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Frem	FC Helsingor
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 1.7	1.5 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.7	0.8 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 5.3	2 / 4.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.9 / 0.4	4.1 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.35

X3.60

22.45

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.85

2 (0)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 31.85

Under 31.95

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 3.1

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 22:30

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.60 → 2.35▼	Bet365 2.35
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	2.20 → 2.45▲	Pinn 2.74 ★

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.1% Pinnacle margin 10.5%

Time*	1	X	2
20:24 +1’	2.60	3.60	2.20
22:19 +11’	2.35▼	3.60	2.45▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
19:53 +32’	2.35	3.18	2.74

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Frem 0–2–4 FC Helsingor

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/08/26 Denmark Division 3	FC Helsingor	1-0 HT 0-0	Frem
23/05/25 Denmark Division 2	FC Helsingor	1-0 HT 1-0	Frem
26/04/25 Denmark Division 2	Frem	1-1 HT 0-1	FC Helsingor
25/10/24 Denmark Division 2	FC Helsingor	1-1 HT 0-0	Frem
15/09/24 Denmark Division 2	Frem	2-3 HT 0-2	FC Helsingor
21/01/23 Club Friendly List	Frem	2-4 HT 0-0	FC Helsingor

Standings · Denmark Division 3

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Holbæk	12	8	2	2	30	18	26
2	Bronshoj BK	12	7	4	1	26	13	25
3	Vanløse	12	5	6	1	18	11	21
4	FC Helsingor	12	6	2	4	20	16	20
5	Næsby	12	5	3	4	22	18	18
6	Horsholm-Usserod IK	12	4	4	4	25	22	16
7	ASA Aarhus	12	5	1	6	16	18	16
8	Ishoj	12	4	2	6	13	21	14
9	Frem	12	3	4	5	20	20	13
10	Sundby	12	4	1	7	18	20	13
11	Holstebro	12	4	1	7	18	30	13
12	Ringsted IF	12	1	2	9	16	35	5

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Frem	FC Helsingor
Horsholm-Usserod IK	1-1 D	1-3 L
Næsby	2-0 W	1-1 D
Bronshoj BK	1-1 D	1-2 L
Sundby	0-3 L	2-1 W
Ishoj	2-3 L	0-1 L
Holstebro	2-3 L	1-2 L
ASA Aarhus	3-1 W	2-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 3 L	2 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Frem (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Frem

LWDWLLLDWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Horsholm-Usserod IK Denmark Division 3	0-1	1-1	10	5	D
10/10	Næsby Denmark Division 3	1-0	2-0	5	6	W
03/10	Bronshoj BK Denmark Division 3	1-1	1-1	1	1	D
26/09	Sundby Denmark Division 3	0-1	0-3	4	5	L
19/09	Ishoj Denmark Division 3	2-1	2-3	6	3	L
13/09	Holstebro Denmark Division 3	0-0	2-3	5	1	L
04/09	Ringsted IF Denmark Division 3	3-1	5-2	5	2	W
29/08	Vanløse Denmark Division 3	0-2	2-2	6	3	D
22/08	ASA Aarhus Denmark Division 3	2-0	3-1	–	–	W
14/08	FC Helsingor Denmark Division 3	0-0	0-1	–	–	L

FC Helsingor

WLWLWDWLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Ishoj Denmark Division 3	0-1	0-1	4	3	L
10/10	ASA Aarhus Denmark Division 3	1-0	2-1	1	3	W
03/10	Horsholm-Usserod IK Denmark Division 3	0-1	1-3	9	5	L
25/09	Holbæk Denmark Division 3	4-0	5-1	4	5	W
19/09	Næsby Denmark Division 3	0-0	1-1	2	4	D
13/09	Sundby Denmark Division 3	2-1	2-1	5	7	W
04/09	Bronshoj BK Denmark Division 3	0-0	1-2	4	2	L
28/08	Ishoj Denmark Division 3	1-0	1-0	4	5	W
22/08	Holstebro Denmark Division 3	0-1	1-2	–	–	L
14/08	Frem Denmark Division 3	0-0	1-0	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Frem vs FC Helsingor?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Frem win (38%). Probabilities: Frem 38%, draw 25%, FC Helsingor 37%.

How many goals are expected in Frem vs FC Helsingor?

The model expects 3.13 goals (Frem 1.58 · FC Helsingor 1.55), with a 50% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Frem vs FC Helsingor?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.