Football · Denmark Division 3 · 23/10, 19:00

Prediction: Sundby vs Bronshoj BK

Team pages: Sundby · Bronshoj BK

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.42Total
Sundby1.33
Bronshoj BK2.09
1X2
23% 23% 54%
Sundby Draw Bronshoj BK
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Sundby 4-1-5 (W-D-L)
LDLWLWWLLW
Bronshoj BK 6-3-1 (W-D-L)
DLWWWWDDWW
Head-to-head
Sundby 1–2–3 Bronshoj BK (6 last)
  • Bronshoj BK3-1Sundby
  • Bronshoj BK4-2Sundby
  • Sundby3-3Bronshoj BK
  • Bronshoj BK0-0Sundby
  • Sundby1-3Bronshoj BK
  • Sundby5-0Bronshoj BK
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sundby 1463 · Bronshoj BK 1573
SundbyDrawBronshoj BK
Our model23%23%54%
Market23%23%54%
Estimated total (ours) 3.42 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Bronshoj BK (rating 1463 vs 1573).
  • H2H favours Bronshoj BK: 3-2-1.
  • High corners: 11.6 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

SundbyBronshoj BK
Goals for / against (FT)1.6 / 1.52.3 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 0.60.8 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/60/20%20/70/10%
Corners (HT / FT)3 / 62.6 / 5.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.6 / 0.13.3 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Sundby 1–2–3 Bronshoj BK

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DateHomeScoreAway
08/08/26
Denmark Division 3
Bronshoj BK3-1
HT 1-0
Sundby
07/03/26
Denmark Division 3
Bronshoj BK4-2
HT 2-0
Sundby
20/09/25
Denmark Division 3
Sundby3-3
HT 1-2
Bronshoj BK
15/03/25
Denmark Division 3
Bronshoj BK0-0
HT 0-0
Sundby
20/09/24
Denmark Division 3
Sundby1-3
HT 0-2
Bronshoj BK
28/10/23
Denmark Series Group 1
Sundby5-0
HT 4-0
Bronshoj BK

Standings · Denmark Division 3

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Holbæk 12822 301826
2 Bronshoj BK 12741 261325
3 Vanløse 12561 181121
4 FC Helsingor 12624 201620
5 Næsby 12534 221818
6 Horsholm-Usserod IK 12444 252216
7 ASA Aarhus 12516 161816
8 Ishoj 12426 132114
9 Frem 12345 202013
10 Sundby 12417 182013
11 Holstebro 12417 183013
12 Ringsted IF 12129 16355

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentSundbyBronshoj BK
ASA Aarhus 2-1 W 5-1 W
Vanløse 0-1 L 1-1 D
Frem 3-0 W 1-1 D
Holstebro 2-0 W 4-2 W
FC Helsingor 1-2 L 2-1 W
Ringsted IF 0-2 L 4-1 W
Horsholm-Usserod IK 4-4 D 2-0 W
Holbæk 1-2 L 1-4 L
Record vs common 3 W 1 D 4 L 5 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Bronshoj BK (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sundby

LDLWLWWLLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
17/10 ASA Aarhus
Denmark Division 3
1-0 2-1 32 W
09/10 Ishoj
Denmark Division 3
1-1 2-3 65 L
03/10 Vanløse
Denmark Division 3
0-0 0-1 64 L
26/09 Frem
Denmark Division 3
1-0 3-0 55 W
19/09 Holstebro
Denmark Division 3
0-0 2-0 112 W
13/09 FC Helsingor
Denmark Division 3
1-2 1-2 67 L
05/09 ASA Aarhus
Denmark Division 3
0-0 1-0 51 W
29/08 Ringsted IF
Denmark Division 3
0-1 0-2 –– L
22/08 Horsholm-Usserod IK
Denmark Division 3
2-2 4-4 –– D
15/08 Holbæk
Denmark Division 3
0-0 1-2 –– L

Bronshoj BK

DLWWWWDDWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
17/10 Ringsted IF
Denmark Division 3
2-0 4-1 51 W
10/10 Holstebro
Denmark Division 3
2-2 4-2 54 W
03/10 Frem
Denmark Division 3
1-1 1-1 71 D
26/09 Vanløse
Denmark Division 3
1-1 1-1 47 D
19/09 ASA Aarhus
Denmark Division 3
1-1 5-1 83 W
13/09 Ringsted IF
Denmark Division 3
1-0 3-1 –– W
04/09 FC Helsingor
Denmark Division 3
0-0 2-1 42 W
29/08 Horsholm-Usserod IK
Denmark Division 3
0-0 2-0 65 W
21/08 Holbæk
Denmark Division 3
0-2 1-4 –– L
15/08 Næsby
Denmark Division 3
0-0 0-0 –– D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sundby vs Bronshoj BK?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Bronshoj BK win (54%). Probabilities: Sundby 23%, draw 23%, Bronshoj BK 54%.

How many goals are expected in Sundby vs Bronshoj BK?

The model expects 3.42 goals (Sundby 1.33 · Bronshoj BK 2.09), with a 51% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Sundby vs Bronshoj BK?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.