Football · Denmark Division 3 · 10/10, 13:00

Prediction: FC Helsingor vs ASA Aarhus

Team pages: FC Helsingor · ASA Aarhus

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.12Total
FC Helsingor1.9
ASA Aarhus1.22
1X2
52% 24% 24%
FC Helsingor Draw ASA Aarhus
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
FC Helsingor 5-2-3 (W-D-L)
DWWLWLWDWL
ASA Aarhus 5-1-4 (W-D-L)
DWWLWLWLWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Helsingor 1505 · ASA Aarhus 1493
FC HelsingorDrawASA Aarhus
Our model52%24%23%
Market53%24%24%
Estimated total (ours) 3.12 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 8.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

FC HelsingorASA Aarhus
Goals for / against (FT)1.8 / 1.41.4 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)1 / 0.50.6 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/30/30%40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)2.5 / 4.71.3 / 2.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.7 / 03.7 / 0

Standings · Denmark Division 3

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Holbæk 10712 261822
2 Bronshoj BK 9531 17918
3 FC Helsingor 9522 171117
4 Vanløse 9441 15916
5 ASA Aarhus 10514 141416
6 Næsby 9423 161414
7 Holstebro 9414 161813
8 Sundby 9315 141510
9 Horsholm-Usserod IK 9234 17189
10 Frem 9225 16188
11 Ishoj 10226 9198
12 Ringsted IF 10127 13275

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentFC HelsingorASA Aarhus
Horsholm-Usserod IK 1-3 L 2-1 W
Holbæk 5-1 W 1-2 L
Næsby 1-1 D 1-0 W
Sundby 2-1 W 0-1 L
Bronshoj BK 1-2 L 1-5 L
Ishoj 1-0 W 1-0 W
Holstebro 1-2 L 4-0 W
Frem 1-0 W 1-3 L
Ringsted IF 3-2 W 1-1 D
Vanløse 2-2 D 2-1 W
Record vs common 5 W 2 D 3 L 5 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: FC Helsingor (5 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Helsingor

DWWLWLWDWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
03/10 Horsholm-Usserod IK
Denmark Division 3
0-1 1-3 95 L
25/09 Holbæk
Denmark Division 3
4-0 5-1 45 W
19/09 Næsby
Denmark Division 3
0-0 1-1 24 D
13/09 Sundby
Denmark Division 3
2-1 2-1 57 W
04/09 Bronshoj BK
Denmark Division 3
0-0 1-2 42 L
28/08 Ishoj
Denmark Division 3
1-0 1-0 45 W
22/08 Holstebro
Denmark Division 3
0-1 1-2 –– L
14/08 Frem
Denmark Division 3
0-0 1-0 –– W
08/08 Ringsted IF
Denmark Division 3
1-2 3-2 –– W
31/07 Vanløse
Denmark Division 3
2-0 2-2 –– D

ASA Aarhus

DWWLWLWLWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
03/10 Holbæk
Denmark Division 3
0-1 1-2 38 L
26/09 Horsholm-Usserod IK
Denmark Division 3
1-0 2-1 15 W
19/09 Bronshoj BK
Denmark Division 3
1-1 1-5 13 L
13/09 Næsby
Denmark Division 3
1-0 1-0 23 W
05/09 Sundby
Denmark Division 3
0-0 0-1 71 L
28/08 Holstebro
Denmark Division 3
2-0 4-0 33 W
22/08 Frem
Denmark Division 3
0-2 1-3 –– L
15/08 Vanløse
Denmark Division 3
0-1 2-1 –– W
11/08 Ishoj
Denmark Division 3
1-0 1-0 03 W
01/08 Ringsted IF
Denmark Division 3
0-0 1-1 –– D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Helsingor vs ASA Aarhus?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Helsingor win (52%). Probabilities: FC Helsingor 52%, draw 24%, ASA Aarhus 24%.

How many goals are expected in FC Helsingor vs ASA Aarhus?

The model expects 3.12 goals (FC Helsingor 1.9 · ASA Aarhus 1.22), with a 51% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Helsingor vs ASA Aarhus?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.