Football · Denmark Division 3 · 07/11, 14:00

Prediction: Vanløse vs Horsholm-Usserod IK

Team pages: Vanløse · Horsholm-Usserod IK

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.53Total

Vanløse1.5

Horsholm-Usserod IK1.03

1X2

48% 26% 26%

Vanløse Draw Horsholm-Usserod IK

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Vanløse 5-5-0 (W-D-L)

DWWDDWDDWW

Horsholm-Usserod IK 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

LLWDLWWDWW

Head-to-head

Vanløse 3–2–1 Horsholm-Usserod IK (6 last)

Horsholm-Usserod IK1-1Vanløse
Vanløse0-2Horsholm-Usserod IK
Horsholm-Usserod IK0-1Vanløse
Horsholm-Usserod IK0-1Vanløse
Vanløse2-2Horsholm-Usserod IK
Vanløse1-0Horsholm-Usserod IK

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Vanløse 1549 · Horsholm-Usserod IK 1526

	Vanløse	Draw	Horsholm-Usserod IK
Our model	47%	28%	25%
Market	49%	24%	27%

Estimated total (ours) 2.53 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 50%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Vanløse: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 9.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Vanløse	Horsholm-Usserod IK
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 0.7	2.3 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.2	1.1 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/60/0%	50/20/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 4	2.3 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.3 / 0.3	4.4 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.83

X3.80

23.30

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.88

2 (+0.5)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 32.00

Under 31.80

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 11:12

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.83 → 1.83	Bet365 1.83
X	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
2	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
11:05 +7’	1.83	3.80	3.30

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Vanløse 3–2–1 Horsholm-Usserod IK

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
19/09/26 Denmark Division 3	Horsholm-Usserod IK	1-1 HT 0-1	Vanløse
06/06/26 Denmark Division 3	Vanløse	0-2 HT 0-1	Horsholm-Usserod IK
02/05/26 Denmark Division 3	Horsholm-Usserod IK	0-1 HT 0-0	Vanløse
07/03/26 Denmark Division 3	Horsholm-Usserod IK	0-1 HT 0-0	Vanløse
04/10/25 Denmark Division 3	Vanløse	2-2 HT 1-0	Horsholm-Usserod IK
14/06/25 Denmark Danmarksserien Promotion	Vanløse	1-0	Horsholm-Usserod IK

Standings · Denmark Division 3

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Holbæk	14	9	2	3	32	20	29
2	Bronshoj BK	14	8	4	2	29	17	28
3	Vanløse	14	7	6	1	20	11	27
4	FC Helsingor	14	7	3	4	22	17	24
5	Horsholm-Usserod IK	14	6	4	4	32	24	22
6	Næsby	14	5	3	6	24	22	18
7	Ishoj	14	5	3	6	17	22	18
8	ASA Aarhus	14	5	2	7	18	21	17
9	Sundby	14	5	1	8	23	24	16
10	Frem	14	3	6	5	23	23	15
11	Holstebro	14	4	1	9	18	37	13
12	Ringsted IF	14	1	3	10	17	37	6

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Vanløse	Horsholm-Usserod IK
Holbæk	1-0 W	3-1 W
ASA Aarhus	1-0 W	1-2 L
Næsby	2-2 D	3-4 L
Sundby	1-0 W	3-2 W
Bronshoj BK	1-1 D	0-2 L
Holstebro	2-1 W	4-0 W
Frem	2-2 D	1-1 D
Record vs common	4 W 3 D 0 L	3 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Vanløse (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Vanløse

DWWDDWDDWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Holbæk Denmark Division 3	0-0	1-0	4	8	W
24/10	ASA Aarhus Denmark Division 3	0-0	1-0	5	6	W
17/10	Næsby Denmark Division 3	0-0	2-2	6	6	D
10/10	Holbæk Denmark Division 3	0-0	0-0	2	4	D
03/10	Sundby Denmark Division 3	0-0	1-0	6	4	W
26/09	Bronshoj BK Denmark Division 3	1-1	1-1	3	7	D
19/09	Horsholm-Usserod IK Denmark Division 3	1-0	1-1	–	–	D
13/09	Ishoj Denmark Division 3	1-0	1-0	1	7	W
05/09	Holstebro Denmark Division 3	2-1	2-1	5	6	W
29/08	Frem Denmark Division 3	2-0	2-2	4	3	D

Horsholm-Usserod IK

LLWDLWWDWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Sundby Denmark Division 3	1-1	3-2	11	3	W
24/10	Holstebro Denmark Division 3	3-0	4-0	5	5	W
17/10	Frem Denmark Division 3	1-0	1-1	10	5	D
10/10	Ringsted IF Denmark Division 3	4-2	4-2	3	3	W
03/10	FC Helsingor Denmark Division 3	1-0	3-1	0	5	W
26/09	ASA Aarhus Denmark Division 3	0-1	1-2	5	5	L
19/09	Vanløse Denmark Division 3	0-1	1-1	–	–	D
13/09	Holbæk Denmark Division 3	1-0	3-1	3	4	W
05/09	Næsby Denmark Division 3	0-2	3-4	–	–	L
29/08	Bronshoj BK Denmark Division 3	0-0	0-2	1	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Vanløse vs Horsholm-Usserod IK?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Vanløse win (48%). Probabilities: Vanløse 48%, draw 26%, Horsholm-Usserod IK 26%.

How many goals are expected in Vanløse vs Horsholm-Usserod IK?

The model expects 2.53 goals (Vanløse 1.5 · Horsholm-Usserod IK 1.03), with a 60% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Vanløse vs Horsholm-Usserod IK?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.