Football · Denmark Division 3 · 10/10, 14:00

Prediction: Vanløse vs Holbæk

Team pages: Vanløse · Holbæk

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.26Total
Vanløse1.48
Holbæk1.78
1X2
31% 25% 44%
Vanløse Draw Holbæk
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Vanløse 5-4-1 (W-D-L)
DWLWDWWDDW
Holbæk 7-1-2 (W-D-L)
WDWWWWLWLW
Head-to-head
Vanløse 2–1–2 Holbæk (5 last)
  • Holbæk4-1Vanløse
  • Vanløse1-3Holbæk
  • Holbæk1-2Vanløse
  • Vanløse1-1Holbæk
  • Vanløse1-0Holbæk
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Vanløse 1554 · Holbæk 1547
VanløseDrawHolbæk
Our model31%25%44%
Market31%25%44%
Estimated total (ours) 3.26 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 9.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

VanløseHolbæk
Goals for / against (FT)1.6 / 0.92.6 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)1 / 0.41.1 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)60/30/10%50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)2 / 3.80.8 / 2.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5 / 0.44.3 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Vanløse 2–1–2 Holbæk

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DateHomeScoreAway
08/11/25
Denmark Division 3
Holbæk4-1
HT 2-1
Vanløse
20/09/25
Denmark Division 3
Vanløse1-3
HT 0-1
Holbæk
06/04/24
Denmark Division 3
Holbæk1-2
HT 0-0
Vanløse
18/08/23
Denmark Division 3
Vanløse1-1
HT 1-0
Holbæk
10/08/19
Denmark 2. Division Group 1
Vanløse1-0
HT 1-0
Holbæk

Standings · Denmark Division 3

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Holbæk 10712 261822
2 Bronshoj BK 9531 17918
3 FC Helsingor 9522 171117
4 Vanløse 9441 15916
5 ASA Aarhus 10514 141416
6 Næsby 9423 161414
7 Holstebro 9414 161813
8 Sundby 9315 141510
9 Horsholm-Usserod IK 9234 17189
10 Frem 9225 16188
11 Ishoj 10226 9198
12 Ringsted IF 10127 13275

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentVanløseHolbæk
Sundby 1-0 W 2-1 W
Bronshoj BK 1-1 D 4-1 W
Horsholm-Usserod IK 1-1 D 1-3 L
Ishoj 1-0 W 4-0 W
Holstebro 2-1 W 2-2 D
Frem 2-2 D 2-1 W
Ringsted IF 2-0 W 5-2 W
ASA Aarhus 1-2 L 2-1 W
Næsby 3-0 W 3-2 W
FC Helsingor 2-2 D 1-5 L
Record vs common 5 W 4 D 1 L 7 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Holbæk (5 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Vanløse

DWLWDWWDDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
03/10 Sundby
Denmark Division 3
0-0 1-0 64 W
26/09 Bronshoj BK
Denmark Division 3
1-1 1-1 37 D
19/09 Horsholm-Usserod IK
Denmark Division 3
1-0 1-1 –– D
13/09 Ishoj
Denmark Division 3
1-0 1-0 17 W
05/09 Holstebro
Denmark Division 3
2-1 2-1 56 W
29/08 Frem
Denmark Division 3
2-0 2-2 43 D
22/08 Ringsted IF
Denmark Division 3
0-0 2-0 –– W
15/08 ASA Aarhus
Denmark Division 3
1-0 1-2 –– L
08/08 Næsby
Denmark Division 3
2-0 3-0 –– W
31/07 FC Helsingor
Denmark Division 3
0-2 2-2 –– D

Holbæk

WDWWWWLWLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
03/10 ASA Aarhus
Denmark Division 3
1-0 2-1 38 W
25/09 FC Helsingor
Denmark Division 3
0-4 1-5 45 L
18/09 Ringsted IF
Denmark Division 3
3-1 5-2 24 W
13/09 Horsholm-Usserod IK
Denmark Division 3
0-1 1-3 64 L
05/09 Ishoj
Denmark Division 3
1-0 4-0 03 W
29/08 Næsby
Denmark Division 3
2-2 3-2 22 W
21/08 Bronshoj BK
Denmark Division 3
2-0 4-1 –– W
15/08 Sundby
Denmark Division 3
0-0 2-1 –– W
08/08 Holstebro
Denmark Division 3
1-1 2-2 –– D
01/08 Frem
Denmark Division 3
1-0 2-1 –– W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Vanløse vs Holbæk?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Holbæk win (44%). Probabilities: Vanløse 31%, draw 25%, Holbæk 44%.

How many goals are expected in Vanløse vs Holbæk?

The model expects 3.26 goals (Vanløse 1.48 · Holbæk 1.78), with a 55% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Vanløse vs Holbæk?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.