Football · Denmark Division 3 · 06/11, 19:00

Prediction: Holbæk vs Bronshoj BK

Team pages: Holbæk · Bronshoj BK

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.57Total

Holbæk1.93

Bronshoj BK1.64

1X2

44% 24% 32%

Holbæk Draw Bronshoj BK

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Holbæk 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

WWLWLWDWWL

Bronshoj BK 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

WWWWDDWWLW

Head-to-head

Holbæk 4–2–0 Bronshoj BK (6 last)

Bronshoj BK1-4Holbæk
Bronshoj BK0-2Holbæk
Holbæk5-3Bronshoj BK
Holbæk2-0Bronshoj BK
Bronshoj BK2-2Holbæk
Bronshoj BK1-1Holbæk

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Holbæk 1553 · Bronshoj BK 1543

	Holbæk	Draw	Bronshoj BK
Our model	44%	24%	32%
Market	44%	24%	32%

Estimated total (ours) 3.57 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Holbæk: 4-2-0.
Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Holbæk	Bronshoj BK
Goals for / against (FT)	2.2 / 1.5	2.5 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.9	1 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	30/70/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.4 / 3.2	2.7 / 5.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.3 / 0	3.2 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.05

X3.70

22.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.88

2 (+0.25)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 31.80

Under 32.00

Diff.: 0.7 · xG: 3.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 11:06

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.05 → 2.05	Bet365 2.05
X	3.70 → 3.70	Bet365 3.70
2	2.80 → 2.80	Bet365 2.80

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
11:05 +1’	2.05	3.70	2.80

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Holbæk 4–2–0 Bronshoj BK

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
21/08/26 Denmark Division 3	Bronshoj BK	1-4 HT 0-2	Holbæk
06/04/26 Denmark Division 3	Bronshoj BK	0-2 HT 0-1	Holbæk
16/08/25 Denmark Division 3	Holbæk	5-3 HT 2-1	Bronshoj BK
09/06/25 Denmark Division 3	Holbæk	2-0 HT 1-0	Bronshoj BK
14/05/25 Denmark Division 3	Bronshoj BK	2-2 HT 1-1	Holbæk
22/03/25 Denmark Division 3	Bronshoj BK	1-1 HT 1-0	Holbæk

Standings · Denmark Division 3

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Holbæk	14	9	2	3	32	20	29
2	Bronshoj BK	14	8	4	2	29	17	28
3	Vanløse	14	7	6	1	20	11	27
4	FC Helsingor	14	7	3	4	22	17	24
5	Horsholm-Usserod IK	14	6	4	4	32	24	22
6	Næsby	14	5	3	6	24	22	18
7	Ishoj	14	5	3	6	17	22	18
8	ASA Aarhus	14	5	2	7	18	21	17
9	Sundby	14	5	1	8	23	24	16
10	Frem	14	3	6	5	23	23	15
11	Holstebro	14	4	1	9	18	37	13
12	Ringsted IF	14	1	3	10	17	37	6

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Holbæk	Bronshoj BK
Vanløse	0-1 L	1-1 D
Næsby	2-1 W	2-1 W
Holstebro	4-0 W	4-2 W
ASA Aarhus	2-1 W	5-1 W
FC Helsingor	1-5 L	2-1 W
Ringsted IF	5-2 W	4-1 W
Horsholm-Usserod IK	1-3 L	2-0 W
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 3 L	6 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Bronshoj BK (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Holbæk

WWLWLWDWWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Vanløse Denmark Division 3	0-0	0-1	3	8	L
24/10	Næsby Denmark Division 3	1-1	2-1	3	3	W
17/10	Holstebro Denmark Division 3	1-0	4-0	5	2	W
10/10	Vanløse Denmark Division 3	0-0	0-0	4	4	D
03/10	ASA Aarhus Denmark Division 3	1-0	2-1	3	8	W
25/09	FC Helsingor Denmark Division 3	0-4	1-5	4	5	L
18/09	Ringsted IF Denmark Division 3	3-1	5-2	2	4	W
13/09	Horsholm-Usserod IK Denmark Division 3	0-1	1-3	6	4	L
05/09	Ishoj Denmark Division 3	1-0	4-0	0	3	W
29/08	Næsby Denmark Division 3	2-2	3-2	2	2	W

Bronshoj BK

WWWWDDWWLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Næsby Denmark Division 3	1-0	2-1	2	3	W
23/10	Sundby Denmark Division 3	1-1	1-3	12	3	L
17/10	Ringsted IF Denmark Division 3	2-0	4-1	5	1	W
10/10	Holstebro Denmark Division 3	2-2	4-2	5	4	W
03/10	Frem Denmark Division 3	1-1	1-1	7	1	D
26/09	Vanløse Denmark Division 3	1-1	1-1	4	7	D
19/09	ASA Aarhus Denmark Division 3	1-1	5-1	8	3	W
13/09	Ringsted IF Denmark Division 3	1-0	3-1	–	–	W
04/09	FC Helsingor Denmark Division 3	0-0	2-1	4	2	W
29/08	Horsholm-Usserod IK Denmark Division 3	0-0	2-0	6	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Holbæk vs Bronshoj BK?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Holbæk win (44%). Probabilities: Holbæk 44%, draw 24%, Bronshoj BK 32%.

How many goals are expected in Holbæk vs Bronshoj BK?

The model expects 3.57 goals (Holbæk 1.93 · Bronshoj BK 1.64), with a 56% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Holbæk vs Bronshoj BK?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.