Football · Hungary NB II · 24/10, 17:00

Prediction: Gyirmot SE vs Soroksar

Team pages: Gyirmot SE · Soroksar

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.19Total

Gyirmot SE1.76

Soroksar1.43

1X2

44% 26% 30%

Gyirmot SE Draw Soroksar

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Gyirmot SE 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

WWDWLLWLWW

Soroksar 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

WDWWWWWDLW

Head-to-head

Gyirmot SE 3–2–1 Soroksar (6 last)

Gyirmot SE4-0Soroksar
Soroksar1-2Gyirmot SE
Gyirmot SE1-0Soroksar
Soroksar1-0Gyirmot SE
Soroksar1-1Gyirmot SE
Gyirmot SE2-2Soroksar

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Gyirmot SE 1534 · Soroksar 1581

	Gyirmot SE	Draw	Soroksar
Our model	44%	25%	30%
Market	44%	26%	30%

Estimated total (ours) 3.19 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Soroksar (rating 1534 vs 1581).
H2H favours Gyirmot SE: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 10.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Gyirmot SE	Soroksar
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.5	2.6 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.6	1.2 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.2 / 5.8	1.8 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	6.1 / 0.2	4.5 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.05

X3.40

23.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.85

2 (+0.25)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 2.752.00

Under 2.751.80

Diff.: 0.7 · xG: 3.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 22:10

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.05 → 2.05	Bet365 2.05
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
21:51 +19’	2.05	3.40	3.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Gyirmot SE 3–2–1 Soroksar

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Date	Home	Score	Away
09/02/25 Hungary NB II	Gyirmot SE	4-0 HT 1-0	Soroksar
28/07/24 Hungary NB II	Soroksar	1-2 HT 1-0	Gyirmot SE
04/02/24 Hungary NB II	Gyirmot SE	1-0 HT 0-0	Soroksar
06/08/23 Hungary NB II	Soroksar	1-0 HT 1-0	Gyirmot SE
16/04/23 Hungary NB II	Soroksar	1-1 HT 1-1	Gyirmot SE
22/10/22 Hungary NB II	Gyirmot SE	2-2 HT 2-0	Soroksar

Standings · Hungary NB II

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Soroksar	10	7	2	1	26	12	23
2	Tiszakecske FC	10	6	4	0	22	13	22
3	Kecskemeti TE	10	6	2	2	18	12	20
4	Gyirmot SE	10	6	1	3	16	15	19
5	Mezokovesd Zsory	10	5	2	3	16	11	17
6	Kazincbarcikai BSC	10	4	5	1	18	13	17
7	FC Ajka	10	4	3	3	14	13	15
8	Fehervar FC	10	4	0	6	14	12	12
9	Diosgyori VTK	10	3	3	4	13	18	12
10	Szentlorinc SE	10	3	2	5	10	15	11
11	Karcagi SE	10	2	5	3	14	16	11
12	BVSC Zuglo	9	3	1	5	11	12	10
13	Szeged-Csanad Grosics	9	2	4	3	9	10	10
14	FC Nagykanizsa	10	3	0	7	7	14	9
15	Kozarmisleny SE	10	2	1	7	9	18	7
16	Csakvari TK	10	1	1	8	9	22	4

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Gyirmot SE	Soroksar
Szentlorinc SE	2-1 W	3-2 W
FC Nagykanizsa	1-0 W	1-0 W
Diosgyori VTK	0-2 L	4-0 W
Karcagi SE	2-0 W	2-2 D
Mezokovesd Zsory	2-4 L	1-0 W
Csakvari TK	3-1 W	6-0 W
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 2 L	5 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Soroksar (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Gyirmot SE

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Szentlorinc SE Hungary NB II	1-1	2-1	11	5	W
10/10	FC Nagykanizsa Hungary NB II	1-0	1-0	6	4	W
19/09	Diosgyori VTK Hungary NB II	0-1	0-2	4	8	L
05/09	Karcagi SE Hungary NB II	2-0	2-0	4	5	W
29/08	Mezokovesd Zsory Hungary NB II	0-0	2-4	4	3	L
22/08	Kecskemeti TE Hungary NB II	1-2	1-4	8	5	L
15/08	Szeged-Csanad Grosics Hungary NB II	0-0	1-0	5	7	W
08/08	Kazincbarcikai BSC Hungary NB II	1-1	2-2	8	6	D
01/08	Kozarmisleny SE Hungary NB II	1-0	2-1	3	13	W
26/07	Csakvari TK Hungary NB II	1-1	3-1	5	7	W

Soroksar

WDWWWWWDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Fehervar FC Hungary NB II	1-0	1-0	3	4	W
12/10	BVSC Zuglo Hungary NB II	0-1	2-5	6	1	L
20/09	Tiszakecske FC Hungary NB II	1-3	3-3	6	7	D
05/09	FC Ajka Hungary NB II	2-0	3-0	11	4	W
30/08	Csakvari TK Hungary NB II	3-0	6-0	4	2	W
23/08	Szentlorinc SE Hungary NB II	2-2	3-2	2	7	W
15/08	FC Nagykanizsa Hungary NB II	1-0	1-0	2	8	W
09/08	Diosgyori VTK Hungary NB II	0-0	4-0	5	5	W
02/08	Karcagi SE Hungary NB II	2-2	2-2	4	5	D
26/07	Mezokovesd Zsory Hungary NB II	0-0	1-0	2	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Gyirmot SE vs Soroksar?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Gyirmot SE win (44%). Probabilities: Gyirmot SE 44%, draw 26%, Soroksar 30%.

How many goals are expected in Gyirmot SE vs Soroksar?

The model expects 3.19 goals (Gyirmot SE 1.76 · Soroksar 1.43), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Gyirmot SE vs Soroksar?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.