Football · Hungary NB II · 31/10, 15:00

Prediction: FC Ajka vs Gyirmot SE

Team pages: FC Ajka · Gyirmot SE

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.66Total

FC Ajka1.28

Gyirmot SE1.38

1X2

34% 27% 39%

FC Ajka Draw Gyirmot SE

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Ajka 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

DDWWLWLDLW

Gyirmot SE 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WDWLLWLWWD

Head-to-head

FC Ajka 4–1–1 Gyirmot SE (6 last)

Gyirmot SE2-0FC Ajka
Gyirmot SE0-1FC Ajka
FC Ajka1-0Gyirmot SE
FC Ajka3-1Gyirmot SE
Gyirmot SE2-2FC Ajka
FC Ajka1-0Gyirmot SE

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Ajka 1514 · Gyirmot SE 1534

	FC Ajka	Draw	Gyirmot SE
Our model	33%	28%	38%
Market	35%	26%	39%

Estimated total (ours) 2.66 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours FC Ajka: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 10 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Ajka	Gyirmot SE
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.3	1.6 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.7	0.8 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 3.9	3.3 / 5.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0.3	6 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.60

X3.40

22.30

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)2.02

2 (0)1.77

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.85

Under 2.51.95

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 2.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 18:41

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.60 → 2.60	Bet365 2.60
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	2.30 → 2.30	Bet365 2.30

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
18:31 +10’	2.60	3.40	2.30

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Ajka 4–1–1 Gyirmot SE

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/07/26 Europe Friendlies	Gyirmot SE	2-0	FC Ajka
25/05/25 Hungary NB II	Gyirmot SE	0-1 HT 0-0	FC Ajka
25/01/25 Club Friendly List	FC Ajka	1-0 HT 1-0	Gyirmot SE
01/12/24 Hungary NB II	FC Ajka	3-1 HT 2-0	Gyirmot SE
29/06/24 Europe Friendlies	Gyirmot SE	2-2 HT 2-1	FC Ajka
31/03/24 Hungary NB II	FC Ajka	1-0 HT 0-0	Gyirmot SE

Standings · Hungary NB II

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Soroksar	11	7	3	1	29	15	24
2	Kecskemeti TE	11	7	2	2	23	14	23
3	Tiszakecske FC	11	6	5	0	24	15	23
4	Mezokovesd Zsory	11	6	2	3	20	11	20
5	Gyirmot SE	11	6	2	3	19	18	20
6	Kazincbarcikai BSC	11	5	5	1	20	14	20
7	FC Ajka	11	5	3	3	16	14	18
8	Diosgyori VTK	11	4	3	4	17	19	15
9	Szentlorinc SE	11	4	2	5	12	15	14
10	Fehervar FC	11	4	0	7	15	14	12
11	BVSC Zuglo	10	3	2	5	13	14	11
12	Karcagi SE	11	2	5	4	16	21	11
13	Szeged-Csanad Grosics	10	2	4	4	10	14	10
14	FC Nagykanizsa	11	3	0	8	8	16	9
15	Kozarmisleny SE	11	2	1	8	9	20	7
16	Csakvari TK	11	1	1	9	9	26	4

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Ajka	Gyirmot SE
Mezokovesd Zsory	1-1 D	2-4 L
Soroksar	0-3 L	3-3 D
Szentlorinc SE	1-0 W	2-1 W
FC Nagykanizsa	2-0 W	1-0 W
Diosgyori VTK	1-1 D	0-2 L
Karcagi SE	1-1 D	2-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 3 D 1 L	3 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: FC Ajka (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Ajka

DDWWLWLDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Fehervar FC Hungary NB II	1-1	2-1	3	3	W
17/10	BVSC Zuglo Hungary NB II	1-1	1-2	–	–	L
14/10	Mezokovesd Zsory Hungary NB II	0-0	1-1	2	1	D
10/10	Tiszakecske FC Hungary NB II	1-3	3-4	0	5	L
19/09	Csakvari TK Hungary NB II	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
05/09	Soroksar Hungary NB II	0-2	0-3	4	4	L
30/08	Szentlorinc SE Hungary NB II	1-0	1-0	3	6	W
22/08	FC Nagykanizsa Hungary NB II	1-0	2-0	7	8	W
15/08	Diosgyori VTK Hungary NB II	1-0	1-1	7	3	D
08/08	Karcagi SE Hungary NB II	0-0	1-1	5	4	D

Gyirmot SE

WDWLLWLWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Soroksar Hungary NB II	1-2	3-3	–	–	D
18/10	Szentlorinc SE Hungary NB II	1-1	2-1	11	5	W
10/10	FC Nagykanizsa Hungary NB II	1-0	1-0	6	4	W
19/09	Diosgyori VTK Hungary NB II	0-1	0-2	4	8	L
05/09	Karcagi SE Hungary NB II	2-0	2-0	4	5	W
29/08	Mezokovesd Zsory Hungary NB II	0-0	2-4	4	3	L
22/08	Kecskemeti TE Hungary NB II	1-2	1-4	8	5	L
15/08	Szeged-Csanad Grosics Hungary NB II	0-0	1-0	5	7	W
08/08	Kazincbarcikai BSC Hungary NB II	1-1	2-2	8	6	D
01/08	Kozarmisleny SE Hungary NB II	1-0	2-1	3	13	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Ajka vs Gyirmot SE?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Gyirmot SE win (39%). Probabilities: FC Ajka 34%, draw 27%, Gyirmot SE 39%.

How many goals are expected in FC Ajka vs Gyirmot SE?

The model expects 2.66 goals (FC Ajka 1.28 · Gyirmot SE 1.38), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Ajka vs Gyirmot SE?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.