Football · Hungary NB II · 02/11, 19:30

Prediction: Diosgyori VTK vs Kecskemeti TE

Team pages: Diosgyori VTK · Kecskemeti TE

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.25Total

Diosgyori VTK1.61

Kecskemeti TE1.64

1X2

37% 25% 38%

Diosgyori VTK Draw Kecskemeti TE

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Diosgyori VTK 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

LDLLLWWDDW

Kecskemeti TE 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

DWWWWDWWLW

Head-to-head

Diosgyori VTK 3–2–1 Kecskemeti TE (6 last)

Diosgyori VTK2-1Kecskemeti TE
Kecskemeti TE0-0Diosgyori VTK
Diosgyori VTK1-0Kecskemeti TE
Diosgyori VTK0-0Kecskemeti TE
Kecskemeti TE2-1Diosgyori VTK
Diosgyori VTK3-1Kecskemeti TE

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Diosgyori VTK 1497 · Kecskemeti TE 1597

	Diosgyori VTK	Draw	Kecskemeti TE
Our model	37%	25%	38%
Market	37%	25%	38%

Estimated total (ours) 3.25 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kecskemeti TE (rating 1497 vs 1597).
H2H favours Diosgyori VTK: 3-2-1.
High corners: 12.9 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Diosgyori VTK	Kecskemeti TE
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.7	2.2 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.5	0.6 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	20/70/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 6.9	2.9 / 6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.9 / 0.1	4.4 / 1

Odds Bet365

12.45

X3.60

22.35

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.98

2 (0)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 31.98

Under 31.82

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 3.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 19:25

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.45 → 2.45	Bet365 2.45
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	2.35 → 2.35	Bet365 2.35

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
19:10 +16’	2.45	3.60	2.35

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Diosgyori VTK 3–2–1 Kecskemeti TE

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/04/25 Hungary NB I	Diosgyori VTK	2-1 HT 0-1	Kecskemeti TE
07/12/24 Hungary NB I	Kecskemeti TE	0-0 HT 0-0	Diosgyori VTK
24/08/24 Hungary NB I	Diosgyori VTK	1-0 HT 0-0	Kecskemeti TE
27/04/24 Hungary NB I	Diosgyori VTK	0-0 HT 0-0	Kecskemeti TE
08/02/24 Hungary NB I	Kecskemeti TE	2-1 HT 1-0	Diosgyori VTK
01/10/23 Hungary NB I	Diosgyori VTK	3-1 HT 2-0	Kecskemeti TE

Standings · Hungary NB II

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Soroksar	11	7	3	1	29	15	24
2	Kecskemeti TE	11	7	2	2	23	14	23
3	Tiszakecske FC	11	6	5	0	24	15	23
4	Mezokovesd Zsory	11	6	2	3	20	11	20
5	Gyirmot SE	11	6	2	3	19	18	20
6	Kazincbarcikai BSC	11	5	5	1	20	14	20
7	FC Ajka	11	5	3	3	16	14	18
8	Diosgyori VTK	11	4	3	4	17	19	15
9	Szentlorinc SE	11	4	2	5	12	15	14
10	Fehervar FC	11	4	0	7	15	14	12
11	BVSC Zuglo	10	3	2	5	13	14	11
12	Karcagi SE	11	2	5	4	16	21	11
13	Szeged-Csanad Grosics	10	2	4	4	10	14	10
14	FC Nagykanizsa	11	3	0	8	8	16	9
15	Kozarmisleny SE	11	2	1	8	9	20	7
16	Csakvari TK	11	1	1	9	9	26	4

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Diosgyori VTK	Kecskemeti TE
Szeged-Csanad Grosics	4-1 W	1-0 W
Kazincbarcikai BSC	2-2 D	2-2 D
Kozarmisleny SE	2-0 W	3-0 W
Gyirmot SE	2-0 W	4-1 W
Fehervar FC	1-2 L	2-1 W
BVSC Zuglo	0-2 L	1-0 W
Tiszakecske FC	1-4 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 3 L	5 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Kecskemeti TE (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Diosgyori VTK

LDLLLWWDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Szeged-Csanad Grosics Hungary NB II	3-1	4-1	4	4	W
19/10	Kazincbarcikai BSC Hungary NB II	0-0	2-2	10	7	D
13/10	Szentlorinc SE Hungary NB II	0-0	1-1	19	1	D
10/10	Kozarmisleny SE Hungary NB II	0-0	2-0	5	5	W
19/09	Gyirmot SE Hungary NB II	1-0	2-0	2	8	W
07/09	Fehervar FC Hungary NB II	1-0	1-2	6	5	L
29/08	BVSC Zuglo Hungary NB II	0-1	0-2	7	0	L
22/08	Tiszakecske FC Hungary NB II	1-2	1-4	6	2	L
15/08	FC Ajka Hungary NB II	0-1	1-1	8	3	D
09/08	Soroksar Hungary NB II	0-0	0-4	2	5	L

Kecskemeti TE

DWWWWDWWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Karcagi SE Hungary NB II	2-1	5-2	7	6	W
17/10	Mezokovesd Zsory Hungary NB II	0-0	1-3	9	0	L
11/10	Csakvari TK Hungary NB II	0-1	2-1	11	10	W
19/09	Szeged-Csanad Grosics Hungary NB II	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
05/09	Kazincbarcikai BSC Hungary NB II	1-1	2-2	2	9	D
29/08	Kozarmisleny SE Hungary NB II	0-0	3-0	7	3	W
22/08	Gyirmot SE Hungary NB II	2-1	4-1	3	5	W
15/08	Fehervar FC Hungary NB II	0-0	2-1	3	5	W
08/08	BVSC Zuglo Hungary NB II	0-0	1-0	7	3	W
01/08	Tiszakecske FC Hungary NB II	1-1	1-1	5	8	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Diosgyori VTK vs Kecskemeti TE?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Kecskemeti TE win (38%). Probabilities: Diosgyori VTK 37%, draw 25%, Kecskemeti TE 38%.

How many goals are expected in Diosgyori VTK vs Kecskemeti TE?

The model expects 3.25 goals (Diosgyori VTK 1.61 · Kecskemeti TE 1.64), with a 50% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Diosgyori VTK vs Kecskemeti TE?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.