Football · Hungary NB II · 01/11, 13:00

Prediction: FC Nagykanizsa vs Szeged-Csanad Grosics

Team pages: FC Nagykanizsa · Szeged-Csanad Grosics

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.24Total

FC Nagykanizsa0.88

Szeged-Csanad Grosics1.36

1X2

24% 28% 48%

FC Nagykanizsa Draw Szeged-Csanad Grosics

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Nagykanizsa 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

WLLLLWWLLL

Szeged-Csanad Grosics 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

DLLWDDLDWL

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Nagykanizsa 1451 · Szeged-Csanad Grosics 1498

	FC Nagykanizsa	Draw	Szeged-Csanad Grosics
Our model	23%	30%	47%
Market	25%	26%	49%

Estimated total (ours) 2.24 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Szeged-Csanad Grosics (rating 1451 vs 1498).
Cards-heavy: 12.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Nagykanizsa	Szeged-Csanad Grosics
Goals for / against (FT)	0.6 / 1.3	1 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.6	0.4 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/60/30%	10/50/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 4.9	3 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.7 / 0.2	6.5 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

13.60

X3.40

21.85

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.90

2 (-0.5)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.95

Under 2.51.85

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 2.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 21:08

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	1.85 → 1.85	Bet365 1.85

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
21:03 +5’	3.60	3.40	1.85

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Standings · Hungary NB II

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Soroksar	11	7	3	1	29	15	24
2	Kecskemeti TE	11	7	2	2	23	14	23
3	Tiszakecske FC	11	6	5	0	24	15	23
4	Mezokovesd Zsory	11	6	2	3	20	11	20
5	Gyirmot SE	11	6	2	3	19	18	20
6	Kazincbarcikai BSC	11	5	5	1	20	14	20
7	FC Ajka	11	5	3	3	16	14	18
8	Diosgyori VTK	11	4	3	4	17	19	15
9	Szentlorinc SE	11	4	2	5	12	15	14
10	Fehervar FC	11	4	0	7	15	14	12
11	BVSC Zuglo	10	3	2	5	13	14	11
12	Karcagi SE	11	2	5	4	16	21	11
13	Szeged-Csanad Grosics	10	2	4	4	10	14	10
14	FC Nagykanizsa	11	3	0	8	8	16	9
15	Kozarmisleny SE	11	2	1	8	9	20	7
16	Csakvari TK	11	1	1	9	9	26	4

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Nagykanizsa	Szeged-Csanad Grosics
Kazincbarcikai BSC	1-2 L	1-1 D
Kozarmisleny SE	0-3 L	2-1 W
Gyirmot SE	0-1 L	0-1 L
Fehervar FC	1-0 W	0-1 L
Tiszakecske FC	1-2 L	1-1 D
Csakvari TK	2-1 W	2-2 D
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 4 L	1 W 3 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Szeged-Csanad Grosics (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Nagykanizsa

WLLLLWWLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Kazincbarcikai BSC Hungary NB II	1-1	1-2	–	–	L
17/10	Kozarmisleny SE Hungary NB II	0-0	0-3	8	6	L
10/10	Gyirmot SE Hungary NB II	0-1	0-1	3	4	L
19/09	Fehervar FC Hungary NB II	0-0	1-0	6	5	W
05/09	BVSC Zuglo Hungary NB II	1-0	1-0	2	2	W
29/08	Tiszakecske FC Hungary NB II	1-1	1-2	4	6	L
22/08	FC Ajka Hungary NB II	0-1	0-2	8	8	L
15/08	Soroksar Hungary NB II	0-1	0-1	3	8	L
09/08	Szentlorinc SE Hungary NB II	0-0	0-1	7	6	L
02/08	Csakvari TK Hungary NB II	1-1	2-1	3	8	W

Szeged-Csanad Grosics

DLLWDDLDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Diosgyori VTK Hungary NB II	1-3	1-4	3	4	L
18/10	Karcagi SE Hungary NB II	0-0	2-1	4	6	W
10/10	Mezokovesd Zsory Hungary NB II	0-1	1-1	5	5	D
19/09	Kecskemeti TE Hungary NB II	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
06/09	Csakvari TK Hungary NB II	2-1	2-2	7	6	D
31/08	Kazincbarcikai BSC Hungary NB II	1-1	1-1	4	9	D
22/08	Kozarmisleny SE Hungary NB II	0-1	2-1	8	4	W
15/08	Gyirmot SE Hungary NB II	0-0	0-1	5	7	L
08/08	Fehervar FC Hungary NB II	0-0	0-1	7	15	L
25/07	Tiszakecske FC Hungary NB II	0-1	1-1	–	–	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Nagykanizsa vs Szeged-Csanad Grosics?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Szeged-Csanad Grosics win (48%). Probabilities: FC Nagykanizsa 24%, draw 28%, Szeged-Csanad Grosics 48%.

How many goals are expected in FC Nagykanizsa vs Szeged-Csanad Grosics?

The model expects 2.24 goals (FC Nagykanizsa 0.88 · Szeged-Csanad Grosics 1.36), with a 56% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Nagykanizsa vs Szeged-Csanad Grosics?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.