Football · Hungary NB II · 01/11, 17:00

Prediction: Soroksar vs Kozarmisleny SE

Team pages: Soroksar · Kozarmisleny SE

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.49Total

Soroksar2.24

Kozarmisleny SE1.25

1X2

58% 22% 19%

Soroksar Draw Kozarmisleny SE

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

2-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Soroksar 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

DWWWWWDLWD

Kozarmisleny SE 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

LLLLLWDLWL

Head-to-head

Soroksar 3–2–1 Kozarmisleny SE (6 last)

Kozarmisleny SE3-2Soroksar
Soroksar3-2Kozarmisleny SE
Kozarmisleny SE1-1Soroksar
Soroksar3-1Kozarmisleny SE
Kozarmisleny SE1-1Soroksar
Soroksar2-1Kozarmisleny SE

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Soroksar 1563 · Kozarmisleny SE 1476

	Soroksar	Draw	Kozarmisleny SE
Our model	59%	22%	20%
Market	58%	23%	19%

Estimated total (ours) 3.49 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Soroksar (rating 1563 vs 1476).
H2H favours Soroksar: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 10.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Soroksar	Kozarmisleny SE
Goals for / against (FT)	2.8 / 1.5	0.9 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	1.4 / 0.9	0.2 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/30/20%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 4.8	2 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.7 / 0.1	6 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

11.55

X3.90

24.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.95

2 (+1)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 31.98

Under 31.82

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 3.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 19:12

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.55 → 1.55	Bet365 1.55
X	3.90 → 3.90	Bet365 3.90
2	4.75 → 4.75	Bet365 4.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
19:00 +12’	1.55	3.90	4.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Soroksar 3–2–1 Kozarmisleny SE

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Date	Home	Score	Away
28/10/26 Hungary Cup	Kozarmisleny SE	3-2 HT 0-0	Soroksar
22/02/26 Hungary NB II	Soroksar	3-2 HT 1-0	Kozarmisleny SE
17/08/25 Hungary NB II	Kozarmisleny SE	1-1 HT 0-1	Soroksar
20/04/25 Hungary NB II	Soroksar	3-1 HT 0-0	Kozarmisleny SE
20/10/24 Hungary NB II	Kozarmisleny SE	1-1 HT 0-0	Soroksar
25/02/24 Hungary NB II	Soroksar	2-1 HT 1-0	Kozarmisleny SE

Standings · Hungary NB II

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Soroksar	11	7	3	1	29	15	24
2	Kecskemeti TE	11	7	2	2	23	14	23
3	Tiszakecske FC	11	6	5	0	24	15	23
4	Mezokovesd Zsory	11	6	2	3	20	11	20
5	Gyirmot SE	11	6	2	3	19	18	20
6	Kazincbarcikai BSC	11	5	5	1	20	14	20
7	FC Ajka	11	5	3	3	16	14	18
8	Diosgyori VTK	11	4	3	4	17	19	15
9	Szentlorinc SE	11	4	2	5	12	15	14
10	Fehervar FC	11	4	0	7	15	14	12
11	BVSC Zuglo	10	3	2	5	13	14	11
12	Karcagi SE	11	2	5	4	16	21	11
13	Szeged-Csanad Grosics	10	2	4	4	10	14	10
14	FC Nagykanizsa	11	3	0	8	8	16	9
15	Kozarmisleny SE	11	2	1	8	9	20	7
16	Csakvari TK	11	1	1	9	9	26	4

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Soroksar	Kozarmisleny SE
Gyirmot SE	3-3 D	1-2 L
Csakvari TK	6-0 W	0-2 L
Szentlorinc SE	3-2 W	0-2 L
FC Nagykanizsa	1-0 W	3-0 W
Diosgyori VTK	4-0 W	0-2 L
Karcagi SE	2-2 D	1-1 D
Record vs common	4 W 2 D 0 L	1 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Soroksar (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Soroksar

DWWWWWDLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Gyirmot SE Hungary NB II	2-1	3-3	–	–	D
18/10	Fehervar FC Hungary NB II	1-0	1-0	3	4	W
12/10	BVSC Zuglo Hungary NB II	0-1	2-5	6	1	L
20/09	Tiszakecske FC Hungary NB II	1-3	3-3	6	7	D
05/09	FC Ajka Hungary NB II	2-0	3-0	11	4	W
30/08	Csakvari TK Hungary NB II	3-0	6-0	4	2	W
23/08	Szentlorinc SE Hungary NB II	2-2	3-2	2	7	W
15/08	FC Nagykanizsa Hungary NB II	1-0	1-0	2	8	W
09/08	Diosgyori VTK Hungary NB II	0-0	4-0	5	5	W
02/08	Karcagi SE Hungary NB II	2-2	2-2	4	5	D

Kozarmisleny SE

LLLLLWDLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Szentlorinc SE Hungary NB II	0-0	0-2	9	3	L
17/10	FC Nagykanizsa Hungary NB II	0-0	3-0	5	6	W
10/10	Diosgyori VTK Hungary NB II	0-0	0-2	7	5	L
20/09	Karcagi SE Hungary NB II	0-1	1-1	3	9	D
05/09	Mezokovesd Zsory Hungary NB II	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
29/08	Kecskemeti TE Hungary NB II	0-0	0-3	0	3	L
22/08	Szeged-Csanad Grosics Hungary NB II	1-0	1-2	4	4	L
15/08	Kazincbarcikai BSC Hungary NB II	0-1	1-2	–	–	L
09/08	Csakvari TK Hungary NB II	0-1	0-2	5	8	L
01/08	Gyirmot SE Hungary NB II	0-1	1-2	2	13	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Soroksar vs Kozarmisleny SE?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Soroksar win (58%). Probabilities: Soroksar 58%, draw 22%, Kozarmisleny SE 19%.

How many goals are expected in Soroksar vs Kozarmisleny SE?

The model expects 3.49 goals (Soroksar 2.24 · Kozarmisleny SE 1.25), with a 53% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Soroksar vs Kozarmisleny SE?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.