Football · Hungary NB II · 01/11, 13:00

Prediction: Karcagi SE vs Mezokovesd Zsory

Team pages: Karcagi SE · Mezokovesd Zsory

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.13Total

Karcagi SE1.34

Mezokovesd Zsory1.8

1X2

27% 25% 47%

Karcagi SE Draw Mezokovesd Zsory

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Karcagi SE 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

DDDWWLDLLL

Mezokovesd Zsory 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

LWWWLWDDWW

Head-to-head

Karcagi SE 0–2 Mezokovesd Zsory (2 last)

Karcagi SE0-3Mezokovesd Zsory
Mezokovesd Zsory2-0Karcagi SE

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Karcagi SE 1439 · Mezokovesd Zsory 1548

	Karcagi SE	Draw	Mezokovesd Zsory
Our model	28%	25%	47%
Market	27%	26%	47%

Estimated total (ours) 3.13 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mezokovesd Zsory (rating 1439 vs 1548).
H2H favours Mezokovesd Zsory: 2-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Karcagi SE	Mezokovesd Zsory
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 2.1	2 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.8	0.9 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.3 / 3.6	2.8 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.5 / 0.3	3.1 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

13.30

X3.50

21.91

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.82

2 (-0.5)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.80

Under 2.52.00

Diff.: 0.85 · xG: 3.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 21:08

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	1.91 → 1.91	Bet365 1.91

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
21:01 +7’	3.30	3.50	1.91

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Karcagi SE 0–0–2 Mezokovesd Zsory

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Date	Home	Score	Away
01/02/26 Hungary NB II	Karcagi SE	0-3 HT 0-1	Mezokovesd Zsory
27/07/25 Hungary NB II	Mezokovesd Zsory	2-0 HT 2-0	Karcagi SE

Standings · Hungary NB II

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Soroksar	11	7	3	1	29	15	24
2	Kecskemeti TE	11	7	2	2	23	14	23
3	Tiszakecske FC	11	6	5	0	24	15	23
4	Mezokovesd Zsory	11	6	2	3	20	11	20
5	Gyirmot SE	11	6	2	3	19	18	20
6	Kazincbarcikai BSC	11	5	5	1	20	14	20
7	FC Ajka	11	5	3	3	16	14	18
8	Diosgyori VTK	11	4	3	4	17	19	15
9	Szentlorinc SE	11	4	2	5	12	15	14
10	Fehervar FC	11	4	0	7	15	14	12
11	BVSC Zuglo	10	3	2	5	13	14	11
12	Karcagi SE	11	2	5	4	16	21	11
13	Szeged-Csanad Grosics	10	2	4	4	10	14	10
14	FC Nagykanizsa	11	3	0	8	8	16	9
15	Kozarmisleny SE	11	2	1	8	9	20	7
16	Csakvari TK	11	1	1	9	9	26	4

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Karcagi SE	Mezokovesd Zsory
Kecskemeti TE	2-5 L	3-1 W
Szeged-Csanad Grosics	1-2 L	1-1 D
Kazincbarcikai BSC	0-3 L	4-1 W
Kozarmisleny SE	1-1 D	0-2 L
Gyirmot SE	0-2 L	4-2 W
Fehervar FC	2-1 W	2-1 W
BVSC Zuglo	4-1 W	1-0 W
Tiszakecske FC	3-3 D	0-1 L
FC Ajka	1-1 D	1-1 D
Record vs common	2 W 3 D 4 L	5 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Mezokovesd Zsory (4 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Karcagi SE

DDDWWLDLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Kecskemeti TE Hungary NB II	1-2	2-5	5	6	L
18/10	Szeged-Csanad Grosics Hungary NB II	0-0	1-2	10	6	L
10/10	Kazincbarcikai BSC Hungary NB II	0-1	0-3	4	5	L
20/09	Kozarmisleny SE Hungary NB II	1-0	1-1	2	9	D
05/09	Gyirmot SE Hungary NB II	0-2	0-2	3	5	L
30/08	Fehervar FC Hungary NB II	0-0	2-1	2	7	W
22/08	BVSC Zuglo Hungary NB II	1-1	4-1	1	4	W
16/08	Tiszakecske FC Hungary NB II	1-0	3-3	6	7	D
08/08	FC Ajka Hungary NB II	0-0	1-1	1	4	D
02/08	Soroksar Hungary NB II	2-2	2-2	2	5	D

Mezokovesd Zsory

LWWWLWDDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	Csakvari TK Hungary NB II	3-0	4-0	3	4	W
17/10	Kecskemeti TE Hungary NB II	0-0	3-1	1	0	W
14/10	FC Ajka Hungary NB II	0-0	1-1	11	1	D
10/10	Szeged-Csanad Grosics Hungary NB II	1-0	1-1	7	5	D
19/09	Kazincbarcikai BSC Hungary NB II	3-0	4-1	4	3	W
05/09	Kozarmisleny SE Hungary NB II	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
29/08	Gyirmot SE Hungary NB II	0-0	4-2	2	3	W
22/08	Fehervar FC Hungary NB II	1-1	2-1	5	7	W
15/08	BVSC Zuglo Hungary NB II	1-0	1-0	8	3	W
08/08	Tiszakecske FC Hungary NB II	0-1	0-1	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Karcagi SE vs Mezokovesd Zsory?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Mezokovesd Zsory win (47%). Probabilities: Karcagi SE 27%, draw 25%, Mezokovesd Zsory 47%.

How many goals are expected in Karcagi SE vs Mezokovesd Zsory?

The model expects 3.13 goals (Karcagi SE 1.34 · Mezokovesd Zsory 1.8), with a 56% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Karcagi SE vs Mezokovesd Zsory?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.