Football · Hungary NB II · 24/10, 17:00

Prediction: Fehervar FC vs FC Ajka

Team pages: Fehervar FC · FC Ajka

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.53Total

Fehervar FC1.6

FC Ajka0.93

1X2

53% 26% 21%

Fehervar FC Draw FC Ajka

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Fehervar FC 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

WLWLLLWLWL

FC Ajka 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

WDDWWLWLDL

Head-to-head

Fehervar FC 2–1–0 FC Ajka (3 last)

Fehervar FC1-0FC Ajka
FC Ajka1-1Fehervar FC
Fehervar FC3-2FC Ajka

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Fehervar FC 1475 · FC Ajka 1491

	Fehervar FC	Draw	FC Ajka
Our model	52%	27%	21%
Market	53%	26%	21%

Estimated total (ours) 2.53 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Fehervar FC: 2-1-0.
Cards-heavy: 9.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Fehervar FC	FC Ajka
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.2	1.4 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.4	0.6 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/60/20%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.9 / 5.4	2.4 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.3 / 0.8	3.9 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.70

X3.50

24.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.95

2 (+0.75)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.95

Under 2.51.85

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 22:10

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.70 → 1.70	Bet365 1.70
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
21:45 +24’	1.70	3.50	4.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Fehervar FC 2–1–0 FC Ajka

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Date	Home	Score	Away
07/02/26 Hungary NB II	Fehervar FC	1-0 HT 1-0	FC Ajka
03/08/25 Hungary NB II	FC Ajka	1-1 HT 1-0	Fehervar FC
05/07/24 Europe Friendlies	Fehervar FC	3-2 HT 1-0	FC Ajka

Standings · Hungary NB II

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Soroksar	10	7	2	1	26	12	23
2	Tiszakecske FC	10	6	4	0	22	13	22
3	Kecskemeti TE	10	6	2	2	18	12	20
4	Gyirmot SE	10	6	1	3	16	15	19
5	Mezokovesd Zsory	10	5	2	3	16	11	17
6	Kazincbarcikai BSC	10	4	5	1	18	13	17
7	FC Ajka	10	4	3	3	14	13	15
8	Fehervar FC	10	4	0	6	14	12	12
9	Diosgyori VTK	10	3	3	4	13	18	12
10	Szentlorinc SE	10	3	2	5	10	15	11
11	Karcagi SE	10	2	5	3	14	16	11
12	BVSC Zuglo	9	3	1	5	11	12	10
13	Szeged-Csanad Grosics	9	2	4	3	9	10	10
14	FC Nagykanizsa	10	3	0	7	7	14	9
15	Kozarmisleny SE	10	2	1	7	9	18	7
16	Csakvari TK	10	1	1	8	9	22	4

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Fehervar FC	FC Ajka
Soroksar	0-1 L	0-3 L
Szentlorinc SE	3-0 W	1-0 W
FC Nagykanizsa	0-1 L	2-0 W
Diosgyori VTK	2-1 W	1-1 D
Karcagi SE	1-2 L	1-1 D
Mezokovesd Zsory	1-2 L	1-1 D
Kecskemeti TE	1-2 L	3-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 5 L	3 W 3 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: FC Ajka (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Fehervar FC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Soroksar Hungary NB II	0-1	0-1	11	4	L
10/10	Szentlorinc SE Hungary NB II	2-0	3-0	4	7	W
19/09	FC Nagykanizsa Hungary NB II	0-0	0-1	7	5	L
07/09	Diosgyori VTK Hungary NB II	0-1	2-1	5	5	W
30/08	Karcagi SE Hungary NB II	0-0	1-2	4	7	L
22/08	Mezokovesd Zsory Hungary NB II	1-1	1-2	7	7	L
15/08	Kecskemeti TE Hungary NB II	0-0	1-2	1	5	L
08/08	Szeged-Csanad Grosics Hungary NB II	0-0	1-0	0	15	W
01/08	Kazincbarcikai BSC Hungary NB II	1-1	1-3	7	1	L
25/07	Kozarmisleny SE Hungary NB II	1-0	4-0	8	5	W

FC Ajka

WDDWWLWLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	BVSC Zuglo Hungary NB II	1-1	1-2	–	–	L
14/10	Mezokovesd Zsory Hungary NB II	0-0	1-1	2	1	D
10/10	Tiszakecske FC Hungary NB II	1-3	3-4	0	5	L
19/09	Csakvari TK Hungary NB II	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
05/09	Soroksar Hungary NB II	0-2	0-3	4	4	L
30/08	Szentlorinc SE Hungary NB II	1-0	1-0	3	6	W
22/08	FC Nagykanizsa Hungary NB II	1-0	2-0	7	8	W
15/08	Diosgyori VTK Hungary NB II	1-0	1-1	7	3	D
08/08	Karcagi SE Hungary NB II	0-0	1-1	5	4	D
25/07	Kecskemeti TE Hungary NB II	1-0	3-1	4	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Fehervar FC vs FC Ajka?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Fehervar FC win (53%). Probabilities: Fehervar FC 53%, draw 26%, FC Ajka 21%.

How many goals are expected in Fehervar FC vs FC Ajka?

The model expects 2.53 goals (Fehervar FC 1.6 · FC Ajka 0.93), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Fehervar FC vs FC Ajka?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.