Football · Hungary NB II · 24/10, 13:00

Prediction: BVSC Zuglo vs Tiszakecske FC

Team pages: BVSC Zuglo · Tiszakecske FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.06Total

BVSC Zuglo1.53

Tiszakecske FC1.53

1X2

37% 27% 37%

BVSC Zuglo Draw Tiszakecske FC

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

BVSC Zuglo 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

WDLLLWLLWW

Tiszakecske FC 6-4-0 (W-D-L)

DDWDWWWDWW

Head-to-head

BVSC Zuglo 2–2–1 Tiszakecske FC (5 last)

BVSC Zuglo3-1Tiszakecske FC
Tiszakecske FC1-0BVSC Zuglo
Tiszakecske FC1-1BVSC Zuglo
BVSC Zuglo0-0Tiszakecske FC
BVSC Zuglo3-1Tiszakecske FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · BVSC Zuglo 1505 · Tiszakecske FC 1547

	BVSC Zuglo	Draw	Tiszakecske FC
Our model	37%	26%	37%
Market	36%	27%	36%

Estimated total (ours) 3.06 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tiszakecske FC (rating 1505 vs 1547).
H2H favours BVSC Zuglo: 2-2-1.
High corners: 12.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	BVSC Zuglo	Tiszakecske FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.3	2.2 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.6	1.4 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	70/20/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 5.7	3.2 / 6.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.1 / 0.1	5.5 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.45

X3.30

22.45

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.90

2 (0)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.93

Under 2.51.88

Diff.: 0.65 · xG: 3.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 21:52

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.45 → 2.45	Bet365 2.45
X	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30
2	2.45 → 2.45	Bet365 2.45

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
21:29 +23’	2.45	3.30	2.45

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · BVSC Zuglo 2–2–1 Tiszakecske FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
08/03/26 Hungary NB II	BVSC Zuglo	3-1 HT 1-0	Tiszakecske FC
31/08/25 Hungary NB II	Tiszakecske FC	1-0 HT 0-0	BVSC Zuglo
19/05/24 Hungary NB II	Tiszakecske FC	1-1 HT 0-0	BVSC Zuglo
26/11/23 Hungary NB II	BVSC Zuglo	0-0 HT 0-0	Tiszakecske FC
08/11/20 Hungary NB III	BVSC Zuglo	3-1 HT 2-1	Tiszakecske FC

Standings · Hungary NB II

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Soroksar	10	7	2	1	26	12	23
2	Tiszakecske FC	10	6	4	0	22	13	22
3	Kecskemeti TE	10	6	2	2	18	12	20
4	Gyirmot SE	10	6	1	3	16	15	19
5	Mezokovesd Zsory	10	5	2	3	16	11	17
6	Kazincbarcikai BSC	10	4	5	1	18	13	17
7	FC Ajka	10	4	3	3	14	13	15
8	Fehervar FC	10	4	0	6	14	12	12
9	Diosgyori VTK	10	3	3	4	13	18	12
10	Szentlorinc SE	10	3	2	5	10	15	11
11	Karcagi SE	10	2	5	3	14	16	11
12	BVSC Zuglo	9	3	1	5	11	12	10
13	Szeged-Csanad Grosics	9	2	4	3	9	10	10
14	FC Nagykanizsa	10	3	0	7	7	14	9
15	Kozarmisleny SE	10	2	1	7	9	18	7
16	Csakvari TK	10	1	1	8	9	22	4

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	BVSC Zuglo	Tiszakecske FC
FC Ajka	2-1 W	4-3 W
Soroksar	5-2 W	3-3 D
Szentlorinc SE	1-2 L	2-0 W
FC Nagykanizsa	0-1 L	2-1 W
Diosgyori VTK	2-0 W	4-1 W
Karcagi SE	1-4 L	3-3 D
Mezokovesd Zsory	0-1 L	1-0 W
Kecskemeti TE	0-1 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 5 L	5 W 3 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Tiszakecske FC (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

BVSC Zuglo

WDLLLWLLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	FC Ajka Hungary NB II	1-1	2-1	–	–	W
12/10	Soroksar Hungary NB II	1-0	5-2	5	1	W
20/09	Szentlorinc SE Hungary NB II	0-1	1-2	11	7	L
05/09	FC Nagykanizsa Hungary NB II	0-1	0-1	9	2	L
29/08	Diosgyori VTK Hungary NB II	1-0	2-0	2	0	W
22/08	Karcagi SE Hungary NB II	1-1	1-4	6	4	L
15/08	Mezokovesd Zsory Hungary NB II	0-1	0-1	3	3	L
08/08	Kecskemeti TE Hungary NB II	0-0	0-1	7	3	L
25/07	Kazincbarcikai BSC Hungary NB II	0-0	0-0	8	6	D
17/05	Kispest Honved Hungary NB II	2-1	4-1	0	3	W

Tiszakecske FC

DDWDWWWDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Csakvari TK Hungary NB II	1-0	1-0	–	–	W
10/10	FC Ajka Hungary NB II	3-1	4-3	7	5	W
20/09	Soroksar Hungary NB II	3-1	3-3	3	7	D
05/09	Szentlorinc SE Hungary NB II	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
29/08	FC Nagykanizsa Hungary NB II	1-1	2-1	8	6	W
22/08	Diosgyori VTK Hungary NB II	2-1	4-1	13	2	W
16/08	Karcagi SE Hungary NB II	0-1	3-3	4	7	D
08/08	Mezokovesd Zsory Hungary NB II	1-0	1-0	–	–	W
01/08	Kecskemeti TE Hungary NB II	1-1	1-1	6	8	D
25/07	Szeged-Csanad Grosics Hungary NB II	1-0	1-1	–	–	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in BVSC Zuglo vs Tiszakecske FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a BVSC Zuglo win (37%). Probabilities: BVSC Zuglo 37%, draw 27%, Tiszakecske FC 37%.

How many goals are expected in BVSC Zuglo vs Tiszakecske FC?

The model expects 3.06 goals (BVSC Zuglo 1.53 · Tiszakecske FC 1.53), with a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in BVSC Zuglo vs Tiszakecske FC?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.