Football · Hungary NB II · 24/10, 15:00

Prediction: Kecskemeti TE vs Karcagi SE

Team pages: Kecskemeti TE · Karcagi SE

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.25Total

Kecskemeti TE2.23

Karcagi SE1.02

1X2

64% 21% 15%

Kecskemeti TE Draw Karcagi SE

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

2-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Kecskemeti TE 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

LDWWWWDWWL

Karcagi SE 2-5-3 (W-D-L)

DDDDWWLDLL

Head-to-head

Kecskemeti TE 2–1 Karcagi SE (3 last)

Karcagi SE1-2Kecskemeti TE
Kecskemeti TE2-0Karcagi SE
Karcagi SE1-0Kecskemeti TE

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Kecskemeti TE 1580 · Karcagi SE 1448

	Kecskemeti TE	Draw	Karcagi SE
Our model	64%	21%	15%
Market	64%	21%	15%

Estimated total (ours) 3.25 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kecskemeti TE (rating 1580 vs 1448).
H2H favours Kecskemeti TE: 2-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 9.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Kecskemeti TE	Karcagi SE
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 1.2	1.4 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.5	0.5 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/70/20%	20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 6.8	1.4 / 3.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.1 / 0.9	5.1 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.40

X4.20

26.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)1.85

2 (+1.25)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.80

Under 2.752.00

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 22:00

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.40 → 1.40	Bet365 1.40
X	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20
2	6.00 → 6.00	Bet365 6.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
21:59 +1’	1.40	4.20	6.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Kecskemeti TE 2–0–1 Karcagi SE

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Date	Home	Score	Away
19/04/26 Hungary NB II	Karcagi SE	1-2 HT 0-2	Kecskemeti TE
26/10/25 Hungary NB II	Kecskemeti TE	2-0 HT 0-0	Karcagi SE
30/10/24 Hungary Cup	Karcagi SE	1-0 HT 0-0	Kecskemeti TE

Standings · Hungary NB II

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Soroksar	10	7	2	1	26	12	23
2	Tiszakecske FC	10	6	4	0	22	13	22
3	Kecskemeti TE	10	6	2	2	18	12	20
4	Gyirmot SE	10	6	1	3	16	15	19
5	Mezokovesd Zsory	10	5	2	3	16	11	17
6	Kazincbarcikai BSC	10	4	5	1	18	13	17
7	FC Ajka	10	4	3	3	14	13	15
8	Fehervar FC	10	4	0	6	14	12	12
9	Diosgyori VTK	10	3	3	4	13	18	12
10	Szentlorinc SE	10	3	2	5	10	15	11
11	Karcagi SE	10	2	5	3	14	16	11
12	BVSC Zuglo	9	3	1	5	11	12	10
13	Szeged-Csanad Grosics	9	2	4	3	9	10	10
14	FC Nagykanizsa	10	3	0	7	7	14	9
15	Kozarmisleny SE	10	2	1	7	9	18	7
16	Csakvari TK	10	1	1	8	9	22	4

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Kecskemeti TE	Karcagi SE
Szeged-Csanad Grosics	1-0 W	1-2 L
Kazincbarcikai BSC	2-2 D	0-3 L
Kozarmisleny SE	3-0 W	1-1 D
Gyirmot SE	4-1 W	0-2 L
Fehervar FC	2-1 W	2-1 W
BVSC Zuglo	1-0 W	4-1 W
Tiszakecske FC	1-1 D	3-3 D
FC Ajka	1-3 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	5 W 2 D 1 L	2 W 3 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Kecskemeti TE (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Kecskemeti TE

LDWWWWDWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Mezokovesd Zsory Hungary NB II	0-0	1-3	9	0	L
11/10	Csakvari TK Hungary NB II	0-1	2-1	11	10	W
19/09	Szeged-Csanad Grosics Hungary NB II	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
05/09	Kazincbarcikai BSC Hungary NB II	1-1	2-2	2	9	D
29/08	Kozarmisleny SE Hungary NB II	0-0	3-0	7	3	W
22/08	Gyirmot SE Hungary NB II	2-1	4-1	3	5	W
15/08	Fehervar FC Hungary NB II	0-0	2-1	3	5	W
08/08	BVSC Zuglo Hungary NB II	0-0	1-0	7	3	W
01/08	Tiszakecske FC Hungary NB II	1-1	1-1	5	8	D
25/07	FC Ajka Hungary NB II	0-1	1-3	14	2	L

Karcagi SE

DDDDWWLDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Szeged-Csanad Grosics Hungary NB II	0-0	1-2	10	6	L
10/10	Kazincbarcikai BSC Hungary NB II	0-1	0-3	4	5	L
20/09	Kozarmisleny SE Hungary NB II	1-0	1-1	2	9	D
05/09	Gyirmot SE Hungary NB II	0-2	0-2	3	5	L
30/08	Fehervar FC Hungary NB II	0-0	2-1	2	7	W
22/08	BVSC Zuglo Hungary NB II	1-1	4-1	1	4	W
16/08	Tiszakecske FC Hungary NB II	1-0	3-3	6	7	D
08/08	FC Ajka Hungary NB II	0-0	1-1	1	4	D
02/08	Soroksar Hungary NB II	2-2	2-2	2	5	D
26/07	Szentlorinc SE Hungary NB II	0-0	0-0	2	1	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kecskemeti TE vs Karcagi SE?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Kecskemeti TE win (64%). Probabilities: Kecskemeti TE 64%, draw 21%, Karcagi SE 15%.

How many goals are expected in Kecskemeti TE vs Karcagi SE?

The model expects 3.25 goals (Kecskemeti TE 2.23 · Karcagi SE 1.02), with a 55% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Kecskemeti TE vs Karcagi SE?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.