Football · Hungary NB II · 24/10, 13:00

Prediction: Kazincbarcikai BSC vs FC Nagykanizsa

Team pages: Kazincbarcikai BSC · FC Nagykanizsa

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.8Total

Kazincbarcikai BSC1.84

FC Nagykanizsa0.95

1X2

58% 24% 19%

Kazincbarcikai BSC Draw FC Nagykanizsa

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Kazincbarcikai BSC 4-5-1 (W-D-L)

DWDWWDDLWD

FC Nagykanizsa 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

LWLLLLWWLL

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Kazincbarcikai BSC 1521 · FC Nagykanizsa 1451

	Kazincbarcikai BSC	Draw	FC Nagykanizsa
Our model	57%	25%	18%
Market	58%	23%	19%

Estimated total (ours) 2.8 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kazincbarcikai BSC (rating 1521 vs 1451).
Cards-heavy: 10.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Kazincbarcikai BSC	FC Nagykanizsa
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 1.3	0.7 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.7	0.4 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/60/10%	10/60/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 4.2	2.9 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.2 / 0.3	5.4 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.55

X3.90

24.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.95

2 (+1)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.82

Under 2.751.98

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 21:52

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.55 → 1.55	Bet365 1.55
X	3.90 → 3.90	Bet365 3.90
2	4.75 → 4.75	Bet365 4.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
20:45 +67’	1.55	3.90	4.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Standings · Hungary NB II

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Soroksar	10	7	2	1	26	12	23
2	Tiszakecske FC	10	6	4	0	22	13	22
3	Kecskemeti TE	10	6	2	2	18	12	20
4	Gyirmot SE	10	6	1	3	16	15	19
5	Mezokovesd Zsory	10	5	2	3	16	11	17
6	Kazincbarcikai BSC	10	4	5	1	18	13	17
7	FC Ajka	10	4	3	3	14	13	15
8	Fehervar FC	10	4	0	6	14	12	12
9	Diosgyori VTK	10	3	3	4	13	18	12
10	Szentlorinc SE	10	3	2	5	10	15	11
11	Karcagi SE	10	2	5	3	14	16	11
12	BVSC Zuglo	9	3	1	5	11	12	10
13	Szeged-Csanad Grosics	9	2	4	3	9	10	10
14	FC Nagykanizsa	10	3	0	7	7	14	9
15	Kozarmisleny SE	10	2	1	7	9	18	7
16	Csakvari TK	10	1	1	8	9	22	4

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Kazincbarcikai BSC	FC Nagykanizsa
Diosgyori VTK	2-2 D	2-3 L
Csakvari TK	2-0 W	2-1 W
Kozarmisleny SE	2-1 W	0-3 L
Gyirmot SE	2-2 D	0-1 L
Fehervar FC	3-1 W	1-0 W
BVSC Zuglo	0-0 D	1-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 3 D 0 L	3 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Kazincbarcikai BSC (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Kazincbarcikai BSC

DWDWWDDLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/10	Diosgyori VTK Hungary NB II	0-0	2-2	0	7	D
10/10	Karcagi SE Hungary NB II	1-0	3-0	6	5	W
19/09	Mezokovesd Zsory Hungary NB II	0-3	1-4	4	3	L
05/09	Kecskemeti TE Hungary NB II	1-1	2-2	4	9	D
31/08	Szeged-Csanad Grosics Hungary NB II	1-1	1-1	3	9	D
23/08	Csakvari TK Hungary NB II	1-0	2-0	9	4	W
15/08	Kozarmisleny SE Hungary NB II	1-0	2-1	–	–	W
08/08	Gyirmot SE Hungary NB II	1-1	2-2	3	6	D
01/08	Fehervar FC Hungary NB II	1-1	3-1	4	1	W
25/07	BVSC Zuglo Hungary NB II	0-0	0-0	5	6	D

FC Nagykanizsa

LWLLLLWWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Kozarmisleny SE Hungary NB II	0-0	0-3	8	6	L
10/10	Gyirmot SE Hungary NB II	0-1	0-1	3	4	L
19/09	Fehervar FC Hungary NB II	0-0	1-0	6	5	W
05/09	BVSC Zuglo Hungary NB II	1-0	1-0	2	2	W
29/08	Tiszakecske FC Hungary NB II	1-1	1-2	4	6	L
22/08	FC Ajka Hungary NB II	0-1	0-2	8	8	L
15/08	Soroksar Hungary NB II	0-1	0-1	3	8	L
09/08	Szentlorinc SE Hungary NB II	0-0	0-1	7	6	L
02/08	Csakvari TK Hungary NB II	1-1	2-1	3	8	W
25/07	Diosgyori VTK Hungary NB II	1-1	2-3	7	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kazincbarcikai BSC vs FC Nagykanizsa?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Kazincbarcikai BSC win (58%). Probabilities: Kazincbarcikai BSC 58%, draw 24%, FC Nagykanizsa 19%.

How many goals are expected in Kazincbarcikai BSC vs FC Nagykanizsa?

The model expects 2.8 goals (Kazincbarcikai BSC 1.84 · FC Nagykanizsa 0.95), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Kazincbarcikai BSC vs FC Nagykanizsa?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.