Football · Guatemala Liga Nacional · 16/08, 01:00
Prediction: Guastatoya vs CSD Municipal
Team pages: Guastatoya · CSD Municipal
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.97Total
Guastatoya0.95
CSD Municipal1.02
1X2
Guastatoya
Draw
CSD Municipal
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 60%
Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
0-0
Recent form · 10 last
Guastatoya
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
CSD Municipal
9-1-0 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Guastatoya
0–1–5
CSD Municipal
(6 last)
- CSD Municipal2-0Guastatoya
- Guastatoya0-1CSD Municipal
- Guastatoya1-1CSD Municipal
- CSD Municipal2-1Guastatoya
- CSD Municipal3-0Guastatoya
- Guastatoya0-3CSD Municipal
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Guastatoya 1489 · CSD Municipal 1680
| Guastatoya | Draw | CSD Municipal | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 31% | 34% | 35% |
| Market | 33% | 30% | 37% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.97 goals · Bet365 line 2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 63%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CSD Municipal (rating 1489 vs 1680).
- H2H favours CSD Municipal: 5-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 9.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Guastatoya | CSD Municipal | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 0.8 | 2.3 / 0.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.3 | 1.1 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 60/40/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 3.9 | 3 / 5.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.9 / 0.9 | 4.2 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Guastatoya 0–1–5 CSD Municipal
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/05/26 Guatemala Liga Nacional | CSD Municipal | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Guastatoya |
| 01/05/26 Guatemala Liga Nacional | Guastatoya | 0-1 HT 0-0 | CSD Municipal |
| 22/03/26 Guatemala Liga Nacional | Guastatoya | 1-1 HT 0-0 | CSD Municipal |
| 01/02/26 Guatemala Liga Nacional | CSD Municipal | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Guastatoya |
| 27/11/25 Guatemala Liga Nacional | CSD Municipal | 3-0 HT 0-0 | Guastatoya |
| 14/09/25 Guatemala Liga Nacional | Guastatoya | 0-3 HT 0-1 | CSD Municipal |
Standings · Guatemala Liga Nacional
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CSD Municipal | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 9 |
| 2 | Antigua GFC | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Guastatoya | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 4 | Deportivo San Pedro | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 6 |
| 5 | Deportivo Mixco | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 |
| 6 | Xelaju | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
| 7 | CSD Comunicaciones | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
| 8 | Aurora | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
| 9 | Malacateco | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 2 |
| 10 | Coban Imperial | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| 11 | Suchitepequez | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 1 |
| 12 | Marquense | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Guastatoya | CSD Municipal |
|---|---|---|
| Marquense | 4-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Coban Imperial | 1-1 D | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 0 L | 2 W 0 D 0 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Guastatoya
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Antigua GFC Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 02/08 | Malacateco Guatemala Liga Nacional |
2-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 25/07 | Aurora Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 04/05 | CSD Municipal Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 01/05 | CSD Municipal Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 8 | L |
| 26/04 | Marquense Guatemala Liga Nacional |
3-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 21/04 | CSD Comunicaciones Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 16/04 | Antigua GFC Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 12/04 | Coban Imperial Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 12 | D |
| 07/04 | CD Achuapa Guatemala Liga Nacional |
2-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
CSD Municipal
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/08 | Coban Imperial Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 07/08 | Verdes FC CONCACAF Central American Cup |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 03/08 | Marquense Guatemala Liga Nacional |
2-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 31/07 | Cartagines CONCACAF Central American Cup |
1-1 | 1-1 | 11 | 2 | D |
| 25/07 | Deportivo Mixco Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 24/05 | Xelaju Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 17/05 | Xelaju Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-1 | 4-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 10/05 | Deportivo Mixco Guatemala Liga Nacional |
2-0 | 5-0 | 5 | 8 | W |
| 06/05 | Deportivo Mixco Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 04/05 | Guastatoya Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Guastatoya vs CSD Municipal?
According to our model, the most likely result is an CSD Municipal win (36%). Probabilities: Guastatoya 32%, draw 32%, CSD Municipal 36%.
How many goals are expected in Guastatoya vs CSD Municipal?
The model expects 1.97 goals (Guastatoya 0.95 · CSD Municipal 1.02), with a 52% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Guastatoya vs CSD Municipal?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.