Prediction: Deportivo San Pedro vs Aurora

Team pages: Deportivo San Pedro · Aurora

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.4Total
Deportivo San Pedro1.61
Aurora0.79
1X2
56% 27% 17%
Deportivo San Pedro Draw Aurora
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
Deportivo San Pedro 6-2-2 (W-D-L)
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Aurora 2-2-6 (W-D-L)
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Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Deportivo San Pedro 1552 · Aurora 1447
Deportivo San PedroDrawAurora
Our model56%27%17%
Market56%27%17%
Estimated total (ours) 2.4 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Deportivo San Pedro (rating 1552 vs 1447).
  • Cards-heavy: 8.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Deportivo San PedroAurora
Goals for / against (FT)1.5 / 0.30.6 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 0.10.4 / 0.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/50/10%20/70/10%
Corners (HT / FT)2.1 / 3.91.7 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.6 / 0.54.3 / 1

Standings · Guatemala Liga Nacional

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 CSD Municipal 3300 619
2 Antigua GFC 2200 516
3 Guastatoya 3201 526
4 Deportivo San Pedro 3201 416
5 Deportivo Mixco 3201 326
6 Xelaju 3111 544
7 CSD Comunicaciones 3111 234
8 Aurora 3102 453
9 Malacateco 3021 372
10 Coban Imperial 2011 131
11 Suchitepequez 3012 051
12 Marquense 3003 260

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentDeportivo San PedroAurora
CSD Comunicaciones 0-1 L 3-1 W
Xelaju 1-0 W 1-3 L
Record vs common 1 W 0 D 1 L 1 W 0 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Deportivo San Pedro

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
09/08 Suchitepequez
Guatemala Liga Nacional
3-0 3-0 37 W
02/08 CSD Comunicaciones
Guatemala Liga Nacional
0-0 0-1 99 L
25/07 Xelaju
Guatemala Liga Nacional
0-0 1-0 18 W
24/05 Suchitepequez
Guatemala Primera Division
0-0 2-0 82 W
17/05 Suchitepequez
Guatemala Primera Division
0-0 0-1 16 L
10/05 Nueva Santa Rosa CDF
Guatemala Primera Division
1-0 1-0 65 W
03/05 Nueva Santa Rosa CDF
Guatemala Primera Division
0-1 1-1 44 D
26/04 Coatepeque FC
Guatemala Primera Division
1-0 4-0 40 W
22/04 Coatepeque FC
Guatemala Primera Division
0-0 0-0 13 D
12/04 Aguacatan FC
Guatemala Primera Division
1-0 3-0 27 W

Aurora

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
08/08 CSD Comunicaciones
Guatemala Liga Nacional
3-0 3-1 66 W
04/08 Xelaju
Guatemala Liga Nacional
0-1 1-3 27 L
25/07 Guastatoya
Guatemala Liga Nacional
0-0 0-1 73 L
26/04 Mictlán
Guatemala Liga Nacional
1-0 1-1 410 D
19/04 Deportivo Mixco
Guatemala Liga Nacional
0-0 0-4 52 L
15/04 Marquense
Guatemala Liga Nacional
0-0 0-1 44 L
11/04 CSD Comunicaciones
Guatemala Liga Nacional
0-0 0-1 57 L
04/04 Antigua GFC
Guatemala Liga Nacional
0-0 0-2 45 L
01/04 Coban Imperial
Guatemala Liga Nacional
0-0 0-0 55 D
29/03 CD Achuapa
Guatemala Liga Nacional
0-0 1-0 64 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Deportivo San Pedro vs Aurora?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Deportivo San Pedro win (56%). Probabilities: Deportivo San Pedro 56%, draw 27%, Aurora 17%.

How many goals are expected in Deportivo San Pedro vs Aurora?

The model expects 2.4 goals (Deportivo San Pedro 1.61 · Aurora 0.79), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Deportivo San Pedro vs Aurora?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.