Football · Guatemala Liga Nacional · 16/08, 03:00

Prediction: CSD Comunicaciones vs Malacateco

Team pages: CSD Comunicaciones · Malacateco

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.13Total

CSD Comunicaciones1.41

Malacateco0.71

1X2

53% 29% 18%

CSD Comunicaciones Draw Malacateco

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 64% Not both to score 52%

Most likely score

1-0

Recent form · 10 last

CSD Comunicaciones 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LWLLWDLDWL

Malacateco 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LWLLWLWDLD

Head-to-head

CSD Comunicaciones 3–1–2 Malacateco (6 last)

Malacateco1-0CSD Comunicaciones
CSD Comunicaciones3-2Malacateco
Malacateco2-0CSD Comunicaciones
CSD Comunicaciones1-0Malacateco
Malacateco2-2CSD Comunicaciones
CSD Comunicaciones2-1Malacateco

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CSD Comunicaciones 1497 · Malacateco 1470

	CSD Comunicaciones	Draw	Malacateco
Our model	53%	30%	18%
Market	54%	28%	19%

Estimated total (ours) 2.13 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours CSD Comunicaciones: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 11.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CSD Comunicaciones	Malacateco
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 1.2	0.8 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.1 / 0.7	0.2 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/50/40%	10/40/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.3 / 3.2	2.4 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	6 / 0.7	5.2 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.67

X3.25

24.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.93

2 (+0.75)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 21.77

Under 22.02

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.05

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 18:05

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.57 → 1.95▲	Bet365 1.95
X	3.40 → 3.00▼	Bet365 3.00
2	5.50 → 3.75▼	Pinn 4.29 ★

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 11.3% Pinnacle margin 9.1%

Time*	1	X	2
20:50 +36’	1.57	3.40	5.50
15:11 +4’	1.67▲	3.25▼	4.75▼
17:59 +6’	1.95▲	3.00▼	3.75▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
23:56	1.80	3.14	4.58
10:44 +1’	1.70▼	3.27▲	5.00▲
17:52 +13’	1.92▲	2.97▼	4.29▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · CSD Comunicaciones 3–1–2 Malacateco

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Date	Home	Score	Away
26/04/26 Guatemala Liga Nacional	Malacateco	1-0 HT 1-0	CSD Comunicaciones
04/03/26 Guatemala Liga Nacional	CSD Comunicaciones	3-2 HT 1-0	Malacateco
23/11/25 Guatemala Liga Nacional	Malacateco	2-0 HT 0-0	CSD Comunicaciones
17/09/25 Guatemala Liga Nacional	CSD Comunicaciones	1-0 HT 0-0	Malacateco
24/04/25 Guatemala Liga Nacional	Malacateco	2-2 HT 0-0	CSD Comunicaciones
24/02/25 Guatemala Liga Nacional	CSD Comunicaciones	2-1 HT 0-0	Malacateco

Standings · Guatemala Liga Nacional

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	CSD Municipal	3	3	0	0	6	1	9
2	Antigua GFC	2	2	0	0	5	1	6
3	Guastatoya	3	2	0	1	5	2	6
4	Deportivo San Pedro	3	2	0	1	4	1	6
5	Deportivo Mixco	3	2	0	1	3	2	6
6	Xelaju	3	1	1	1	5	4	4
7	CSD Comunicaciones	3	1	1	1	2	3	4
8	Aurora	3	1	0	2	4	5	3
9	Malacateco	3	0	2	1	3	7	2
10	Coban Imperial	2	0	1	1	1	3	1
11	Suchitepequez	3	0	1	2	0	5	1
12	Marquense	3	0	0	3	2	6	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CSD Comunicaciones	Malacateco
Xelaju	0-2 L	2-2 D
Antigua GFC	2-0 W	1-2 L
Guastatoya	1-0 W	0-4 L
CSD Municipal	0-1 L	0-1 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 2 L	0 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: CSD Comunicaciones (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CSD Comunicaciones

LWLLWDLDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	Aurora Guatemala Liga Nacional	0-3	1-3	7	6	L
02/08	Deportivo San Pedro Guatemala Liga Nacional	0-0	1-0	1	9	W
27/07	Suchitepequez Guatemala Liga Nacional	0-0	0-0	3	8	D
11/05	Xelaju Guatemala Liga Nacional	0-1	0-2	5	4	L
08/05	Xelaju Guatemala Liga Nacional	0-0	2-2	2	6	D
03/05	Antigua GFC Guatemala Liga Nacional	1-0	2-0	1	7	W
30/04	Antigua GFC Guatemala Liga Nacional	0-2	2-3	3	9	L
26/04	Malacateco Guatemala Liga Nacional	0-1	0-1	4	4	L
21/04	Guastatoya Guatemala Liga Nacional	0-0	1-0	4	4	W
16/04	CSD Municipal Guatemala Liga Nacional	0-0	0-1	2	10	L

Malacateco

LWLLWLWDLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	Xelaju Guatemala Liga Nacional	0-0	2-2	0	4	D
02/08	Guastatoya Guatemala Liga Nacional	0-2	0-4	3	7	L
26/07	Coban Imperial Guatemala Liga Nacional	0-1	1-1	8	6	D
26/04	CSD Comunicaciones Guatemala Liga Nacional	1-0	1-0	6	4	W
20/04	Antigua GFC Guatemala Liga Nacional	1-2	1-2	5	1	L
17/04	Coban Imperial Guatemala Liga Nacional	0-0	2-0	7	10	W
13/04	CD Achuapa Guatemala Liga Nacional	0-0	0-1	6	4	L
06/04	Xelaju Guatemala Liga Nacional	0-1	0-1	6	3	L
03/04	Guastatoya Guatemala Liga Nacional	0-0	1-0	4	10	W
29/03	CSD Municipal Guatemala Liga Nacional	0-1	0-1	5	6	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CSD Comunicaciones vs Malacateco?

According to our model, the most likely result is a CSD Comunicaciones win (53%). Probabilities: CSD Comunicaciones 53%, draw 29%, Malacateco 18%.

How many goals are expected in CSD Comunicaciones vs Malacateco?

The model expects 2.13 goals (CSD Comunicaciones 1.41 · Malacateco 0.71), with a 52% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in CSD Comunicaciones vs Malacateco?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.