Football · Guatemala Liga Nacional · 15/10, 05:00
Prediction: Marquense vs Deportivo Mixco
Team pages: Marquense · Deportivo Mixco
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.63Total
Marquense1.61
Deportivo Mixco1.03
1X2
Marquense
Draw
Deportivo Mixco
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Marquense
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Deportivo Mixco
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Marquense
1–1–4
Deportivo Mixco
(6 last)
- Deportivo Mixco1-0Marquense
- Deportivo Mixco2-1Marquense
- Marquense2-1Deportivo Mixco
- Marquense1-2Deportivo Mixco
- Deportivo Mixco1-0Marquense
- Marquense1-1Deportivo Mixco
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Marquense 1525 · Deportivo Mixco 1533
| Marquense | Draw | Deportivo Mixco | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 27% | 23% |
| Market | 50% | 27% | 23% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.63 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Deportivo Mixco: 4-1-1.
- High corners: 11.9 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 9.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Marquense | Deportivo Mixco | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1 | 1.7 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.6 | 0.8 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 6.6 | 2.4 / 5.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0.4 | 5.8 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Marquense 1–1–4 Deportivo Mixco
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08/26 Guatemala Liga Nacional | Deportivo Mixco | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Marquense |
| 07/04/26 Guatemala Liga Nacional | Deportivo Mixco | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Marquense |
| 20/02/26 Guatemala Liga Nacional | Marquense | 2-1 HT 2-1 | Deportivo Mixco |
| 16/11/25 Guatemala Liga Nacional | Marquense | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Deportivo Mixco |
| 12/09/25 Guatemala Liga Nacional | Deportivo Mixco | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Marquense |
| 10/03/25 Guatemala Liga Nacional | Marquense | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Deportivo Mixco |
Standings · Guatemala Liga Nacional
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CSD Municipal | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 18 | 7 | 25 |
| 2 | Antigua GFC | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 24 | 19 | 25 |
| 3 | Guastatoya | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 15 | 25 |
| 4 | Deportivo San Pedro | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 13 | 21 |
| 5 | Marquense | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 16 | 20 |
| 6 | Deportivo Mixco | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 20 | 19 |
| 7 | Xelaju | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 16 | 18 |
| 8 | Aurora | 13 | 5 | 0 | 8 | 19 | 22 | 15 |
| 9 | Malacateco | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 19 | 15 |
| 10 | CSD Comunicaciones | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 16 | 21 | 14 |
| 11 | Coban Imperial | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 20 | 13 |
| 12 | Suchitepequez | 13 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 29 | 7 |
Common opponents 9 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Marquense | Deportivo Mixco |
|---|---|---|
| Antigua GFC | 2-1 W | 3-1 W |
| Malacateco | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Aurora | 0-1 L | 3-2 W |
| Deportivo San Pedro | 0-0 D | 0-2 L |
| CSD Comunicaciones | 2-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Xelaju | 0-4 L | 1-4 L |
| Guastatoya | 2-1 W | 4-2 W |
| Coban Imperial | 2-1 W | 2-3 L |
| Suchitepequez | 2-1 W | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 6 W 1 D 2 L | 4 W 1 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Deportivo Mixco (5 of 9 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Marquense
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/10 | CSD Municipal Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 03/10 | Antigua GFC Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 27/09 | Malacateco Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 19/09 | Aurora Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 13/09 | Deportivo San Pedro Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 14 | 5 | D |
| 10/09 | CSD Comunicaciones Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 06/09 | Xelaju Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-3 | 0-4 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 29/08 | Guastatoya Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 24/08 | Coban Imperial Guatemala Liga Nacional |
2-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 17/08 | Suchitepequez Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
Deportivo Mixco
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | Antigua GFC Guatemala Liga Nacional |
2-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 21/09 | Malacateco Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 13/09 | Aurora Guatemala Liga Nacional |
3-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 09/09 | Deportivo San Pedro Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 05/09 | CSD Comunicaciones Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 31/08 | Xelaju Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-1 | 1-4 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 23/08 | Guastatoya Guatemala Liga Nacional |
3-0 | 4-2 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 15/08 | Coban Imperial Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 9 | L |
| 08/08 | Marquense Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 8 | W |
| 01/08 | Suchitepequez Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Marquense vs Deportivo Mixco?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Marquense win (50%). Probabilities: Marquense 50%, draw 27%, Deportivo Mixco 23%.
How many goals are expected in Marquense vs Deportivo Mixco?
The model expects 2.63 goals (Marquense 1.61 · Deportivo Mixco 1.03), with a 55% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Marquense vs Deportivo Mixco?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.