Football · Guatemala Liga Nacional · 16/10, 03:00
Prediction: Suchitepequez vs Deportivo San Pedro
Team pages: Suchitepequez · Deportivo San Pedro
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.27Total
Suchitepequez1.28
Deportivo San Pedro1
1X2
Suchitepequez
Draw
Deportivo San Pedro
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 60%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Suchitepequez
1-2-7 (W-D-L)
Deportivo San Pedro
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Suchitepequez
2–1–3
Deportivo San Pedro
(6 last)
- Deportivo San Pedro3-0Suchitepequez
- Deportivo San Pedro2-0Suchitepequez
- Suchitepequez1-0Deportivo San Pedro
- Suchitepequez1-0Deportivo San Pedro
- Deportivo San Pedro0-0Suchitepequez
- Suchitepequez0-2Deportivo San Pedro
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Suchitepequez 1413 · Deportivo San Pedro 1526
| Suchitepequez | Draw | Deportivo San Pedro | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 31% | 28% |
| Market | 43% | 28% | 29% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.27 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 57%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Deportivo San Pedro (rating 1413 vs 1526).
- H2H favours Deportivo San Pedro: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 10.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Suchitepequez | Deportivo San Pedro | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 2.4 | 1.2 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 1.3 | 0.6 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/30/60% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1 / 2.9 | 2.3 / 3.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.1 / 0.2 | 5.4 / 0.8 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Suchitepequez 2–1–3 Deportivo San Pedro
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08/26 Guatemala Liga Nacional | Deportivo San Pedro | 3-0 HT 3-0 | Suchitepequez |
| 24/05/26 Guatemala Primera Division | Deportivo San Pedro | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Suchitepequez |
| 17/05/26 Guatemala Primera Division | Suchitepequez | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Deportivo San Pedro |
| 09/03/26 Guatemala Primera Division | Suchitepequez | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Deportivo San Pedro |
| 25/01/26 Guatemala Primera Division | Deportivo San Pedro | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Suchitepequez |
| 09/11/25 Guatemala Primera Division | Suchitepequez | 0-2 | Deportivo San Pedro |
Standings · Guatemala Liga Nacional
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CSD Municipal | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 18 | 7 | 25 |
| 2 | Antigua GFC | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 24 | 19 | 25 |
| 3 | Guastatoya | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 15 | 25 |
| 4 | Deportivo San Pedro | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 13 | 21 |
| 5 | Marquense | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 16 | 20 |
| 6 | Deportivo Mixco | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 20 | 19 |
| 7 | Xelaju | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 16 | 18 |
| 8 | Aurora | 13 | 5 | 0 | 8 | 19 | 22 | 15 |
| 9 | Malacateco | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 19 | 15 |
| 10 | CSD Comunicaciones | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 16 | 21 | 14 |
| 11 | Coban Imperial | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 20 | 13 |
| 12 | Suchitepequez | 13 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 29 | 7 |
Common opponents 9 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Suchitepequez | Deportivo San Pedro |
|---|---|---|
| CSD Comunicaciones | 0-3 L | 2-1 W |
| CSD Municipal | 0-3 L | 0-0 D |
| Xelaju | 2-2 D | 0-2 L |
| Antigua GFC | 2-3 L | 4-3 W |
| Guastatoya | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| Malacateco | 0-2 L | 0-2 L |
| Coban Imperial | 3-2 W | 1-1 D |
| Aurora | 2-3 L | 2-1 W |
| Marquense | 1-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 6 L | 3 W 3 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Deportivo San Pedro (5 of 9 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Suchitepequez
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/10 | CSD Comunicaciones Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-1 | 0-3 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 25/09 | CSD Municipal Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-2 | 0-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 21/09 | Xelaju Guatemala Liga Nacional |
2-2 | 2-2 | 9 | 4 | D |
| 15/09 | Antigua GFC Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 8 | L |
| 10/09 | Guastatoya Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 06/09 | Malacateco Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 29/08 | Coban Imperial Guatemala Liga Nacional |
2-1 | 3-2 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 22/08 | Aurora Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 17/08 | Marquense Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 09/08 | Deportivo San Pedro Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-3 | 0-3 | 2 | 7 | L |
Deportivo San Pedro
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | CSD Comunicaciones Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 04/10 | Xelaju Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 26/09 | Guastatoya Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 20/09 | Coban Imperial Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 8 | D |
| 13/09 | Marquense Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 09/09 | Deportivo Mixco Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 07/09 | CSD Municipal Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 30/08 | Antigua GFC Guatemala Liga Nacional |
3-1 | 4-3 | 0 | 6 | W |
| 24/08 | Malacateco Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 16/08 | Aurora Guatemala Liga Nacional |
2-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Suchitepequez vs Deportivo San Pedro?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Suchitepequez win (42%). Probabilities: Suchitepequez 42%, draw 29%, Deportivo San Pedro 28%.
How many goals are expected in Suchitepequez vs Deportivo San Pedro?
The model expects 2.27 goals (Suchitepequez 1.28 · Deportivo San Pedro 1), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Suchitepequez vs Deportivo San Pedro?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.