Football · Guatemala Liga Nacional · 15/10, 23:00

Prediction: Coban Imperial vs CSD Municipal

Team pages: Coban Imperial · CSD Municipal

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.03Total

Coban Imperial0.97

CSD Municipal1.06

1X2

32% 31% 37%

Coban Imperial Draw CSD Municipal

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 67% Not both to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 15%

Recent form · 10 last

Coban Imperial 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

LLLLDDDWWL

CSD Municipal 5-4-1 (W-D-L)

WLWWDWDWDD

Head-to-head

Coban Imperial 1–2–3 CSD Municipal (6 last)

CSD Municipal2-0Coban Imperial
CSD Municipal0-0Coban Imperial
Coban Imperial0-0CSD Municipal
CSD Municipal3-1Coban Imperial
Coban Imperial0-1CSD Municipal
Coban Imperial2-1CSD Municipal

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Coban Imperial 1469 · CSD Municipal 1546

	Coban Imperial	Draw	CSD Municipal
Our model	31%	33%	36%
Market	33%	29%	38%

Estimated total (ours) 2.03 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CSD Municipal (rating 1469 vs 1546).
H2H favours CSD Municipal: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 10.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Coban Imperial	CSD Municipal
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.5	1.4 / 0.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.7	0.8 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/50/40%	60/30/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 4.6	2.3 / 5.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.8 / 0.6	4.6 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.70

X3.10

22.35

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)2.02

2 (0)1.77

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.85

Under 2.251.95

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 22:27

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.70 → 2.70	Bet365 2.70
X	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
2	2.35 → 2.35	Bet365 2.35

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
22:12 +15’	2.70	3.10	2.35

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Coban Imperial 1–2–3 CSD Municipal

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/08/26 Guatemala Liga Nacional	CSD Municipal	2-0 HT 1-0	Coban Imperial
06/04/26 Guatemala Liga Nacional	CSD Municipal	0-0 HT 0-0	Coban Imperial
18/02/26 Guatemala Liga Nacional	Coban Imperial	0-0 HT 0-0	CSD Municipal
12/10/25 Guatemala Liga Nacional	CSD Municipal	3-1 HT 2-0	Coban Imperial
03/08/25 Guatemala Liga Nacional	Coban Imperial	0-1 HT 0-0	CSD Municipal
27/04/25 Guatemala Liga Nacional	Coban Imperial	2-1 HT 1-0	CSD Municipal

Standings · Guatemala Liga Nacional

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	CSD Municipal	12	7	4	1	18	7	25
2	Antigua GFC	13	8	1	4	24	19	25
3	Guastatoya	13	8	1	4	19	15	25
4	Deportivo San Pedro	13	6	3	4	16	13	21
5	Marquense	13	6	2	5	14	16	20
6	Deportivo Mixco	12	6	1	5	22	20	19
7	Xelaju	13	5	3	5	25	16	18
8	Aurora	13	5	0	8	19	22	15
9	Malacateco	13	4	3	6	14	19	15
10	CSD Comunicaciones	13	4	2	7	16	21	14
11	Coban Imperial	13	3	4	6	16	20	13
12	Suchitepequez	13	1	4	8	14	29	7

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Coban Imperial	CSD Municipal
Antigua GFC	1-2 L	1-1 D
Malacateco	2-0 W	2-2 D
Aurora	3-2 W	2-1 W
Deportivo San Pedro	1-1 D	0-0 D
CSD Comunicaciones	2-2 D	1-0 W
Xelaju	0-0 D	2-0 W
Guastatoya	0-1 L	0-1 L
Suchitepequez	2-3 L	3-0 W
Marquense	1-2 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	2 W 3 D 4 L	4 W 4 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: CSD Municipal (5 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Coban Imperial

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/10	Antigua GFC Guatemala Liga Nacional	0-1	1-2	4	5	L
03/10	Malacateco Guatemala Liga Nacional	1-0	2-0	8	6	W
27/09	Aurora Guatemala Liga Nacional	1-1	3-2	8	5	W
20/09	Deportivo San Pedro Guatemala Liga Nacional	0-0	1-1	2	8	D
13/09	CSD Comunicaciones Guatemala Liga Nacional	0-1	2-2	3	6	D
11/09	Xelaju Guatemala Liga Nacional	0-0	0-0	0	6	D
06/09	Guastatoya Guatemala Liga Nacional	0-0	0-1	9	6	L
29/08	Suchitepequez Guatemala Liga Nacional	1-2	2-3	5	6	L
24/08	Marquense Guatemala Liga Nacional	0-2	1-2	–	–	L
19/08	Antigua GFC Guatemala Liga Nacional	0-0	0-2	2	9	L

CSD Municipal

WLWWDWDWDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/10	Marquense Guatemala Liga Nacional	1-0	1-1	6	4	D
09/10	Antigua GFC Guatemala Liga Nacional	1-1	1-1	3	7	D
25/09	Suchitepequez Guatemala Liga Nacional	2-0	3-0	5	3	W
14/09	Malacateco Guatemala Liga Nacional	0-1	2-2	9	2	D
10/09	Aurora Guatemala Liga Nacional	1-0	2-1	4	6	W
07/09	Deportivo San Pedro Guatemala Liga Nacional	0-0	0-0	12	5	D
30/08	CSD Comunicaciones Guatemala Liga Nacional	1-0	1-0	3	6	W
23/08	Xelaju Guatemala Liga Nacional	1-0	2-0	6	5	W
16/08	Guastatoya Guatemala Liga Nacional	0-0	0-1	1	6	L
10/08	Coban Imperial Guatemala Liga Nacional	1-0	2-0	6	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Coban Imperial vs CSD Municipal?

According to our model, the most likely result is an CSD Municipal win (37%). Probabilities: Coban Imperial 32%, draw 31%, CSD Municipal 37%.

How many goals are expected in Coban Imperial vs CSD Municipal?

The model expects 2.03 goals (Coban Imperial 0.97 · CSD Municipal 1.06), with a 54% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Coban Imperial vs CSD Municipal?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.